2111 Maplewood Rd · Jefferson, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming country home on Over 3 Acres!Welcome to this cozy and inviting 3-bedroom, 11/2-bath home tucked away on a quiet country road, offering the perfect blend of peaceful living and everyday convenience. Situated on over 3 beautiful acres with a flat open yard and some woods, this property is ideal for anyone looking to enjoy the outdoors, hobby farm life, or simply relax in a serene setting. Inside, you'll find warm and comfortable living spaces full of charm and character, while outside features include a screened porch, plus a chicken coop ready for your backyard homestead. Conveniently located in North Pocono School District, just a short drive to major highways, Scranton, and Lake W
Key facts
- Over 3 acres
- Flat open yard
- Screened porch
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank; 200+ amp electrical service
- Home design: Single family house; Two levels
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Stone foundation; Composition/shingle roof; Built on a 3.3 acre lot
- Exterior features: Covered, screened and enclosed front, side and porch areas; Back yard; Wooded and cleared areas; Poultry coop and shed(s); Has a view; Paved, public maintained state road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Free‑standing gas range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Hot water heating; Oil heating; Ceiling fans for cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; 6 total rooms; Basement with concrete floor, sump pump and exterior entry
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in upper-level bathroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($404/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (10.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $232k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.1% in Jefferson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,242 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- North Pocono SD (rural): math 45% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #82 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 337 active listings in the ZIP; 251 units permitted in Lackawanna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lackawanna County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.55%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $688,800
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 Lake Heights Ct | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,536 (-9%) | 22mo | $630,000 | $410 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $143,782
- Equity at exit
- $234,229
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.79×
- Total profit
- $421,798
- Equity at exit
- $505,123
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18436
- Home prices YoY
- 16.9%
- Active inventory
- 337
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,317 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$325 /mo · $3,900/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$487
- Net cashflow
- $34
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $213 | -5% $124 | +0% $34 | +5% $-56 | +10% $-146 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-149 | -5% $-58 | +0% $34 | +5% $125 | +10% $217 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $165 | -0.5pp $100 | base $34 | +0.5pp $-34 | +1.0pp $-102 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $260,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $260,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $260,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $260,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$260,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,805
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$3,900
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,224
- − Management
- −$2,224
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$3,972
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$953
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,357/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This charming country home on over 3 acres is in good condition with a good condition score of 75. It has a good kitchen, good bathrooms, and good exterior. The home is move-in ready with minor cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal
- Resale Replace gutters — Improves home's appearance and functionality
- Both Update kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and increases value
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Replace gutters — Improves home's appearance and functionality ↑
- Both Update kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and increases value ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Pocono SD
- NCES district ID
- 4217310
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,555
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1894
- State rank
- #82 of 539 in PA
Livability — Jefferson
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #1242
- US rank
- #14897
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 152
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,225
Population outlook (Lackawanna County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 210,652 people
- By 2030
- 208,623 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 203,980 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 201,069 · -4.5%
- By 2075
- 205,026 · -2.7%
- By 2100
- 210,851 · +0.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lackawanna
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 48.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.0pp · 2024: 2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.8 2020: D+8.4 2016: D+3.4 2012: D+27.4 2008: D+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 47.95%
- Current HPI
- 331.9645
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $260,000 PWMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…