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2514 W Orangethorpe #35
C+ Composite 64.17
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

2514 W Orangethorpe #35 · Fullerton, CA 92833
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · Manufactured · 48 Days on market
Built 1978 Average condition Est $173k · 21% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious three-section manufactured home offering an expansive, flexible floor plan designed for comfortable living and effortless entertaining. This home truly feels large, featuring a generous living room and formal dining area ideal for gatherings, along with an oversized den/family room that provides even more space to relax, host, or customize to your needs. A versatile bonus area in the Primary room offers the perfect setup for guests, a home office, or hobbies. The home includes 2 generously sized bedrooms, including a private primary suite with walk-in closet and dressing area, all laid out with a natural, easy flow. A large laundry room adds everyday convenience. Step outside to a

Key facts

  • Oversized den
  • Flexible floor plan
  • Versatile bonus area

Tags

FLEXIBLE FLOOR PLANOVERSIZED DENVERSATILE BONUS AREAPRIVATE PRIMARY SUITEWALK-IN CLOSETLARGE LAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area is estimated
  • Financial info: Land lease: $1,632 per month (includes water and trash)
  • HOA & community: Community features include street lighting; Park name: Fullerton Mobile Estates, LLC; Manager approval required; Pets allowed with breed restrictions

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Manufactured/mobile home (model: Goldenage, 12' x 60'); Single story; Mobile home remains on site
  • Construction: Year built: other/unspecified
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Open patio; Deck; Community pool; Greenbelt; No sprinkler system

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Double oven
  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms on the main floor
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bath with double sinks; Shower and shower-in-tub
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: One-level home; Entry accessed via stairs; Main floor primary bedroom; Primary suite; Bonus room; Living room and family room; Walk-in closet; Laundry room (inside, individual room)
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry in a dedicated room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $210k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $204k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 2.0% in Fullerton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#328 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime D-, cost of living F.
  • Fullerton Joint Union High (suburban): math 51% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #82 of 517 in CA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Buena Park High (math 28% / reading 50%, grade F, #558 of 1,170 statewide, top 48%, 1,804 students, 84% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 39% at this address vs 58% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fullerton Joint Union High average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $203,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
13.09%
Cash-on-cash
24.27%
DSCR
2.08
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$173,040
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2514 W Orangethorpe Ave #7 0.01mi 2/2.0 1,700 (+1%) 10mo $175,000 $103 89

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$37,512
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$113,400
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92833

Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,342 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax est. 1.5%
$262 /mo · $3,150/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$702
Net cashflow
$1,189

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,837
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,334 -5% $1,262 +0% $1,189 +5% $1,117 +10% $1,044
Rent -10% $925 -5% $1,057 +0% $1,189 +5% $1,321 +10% $1,453
Rate -1.0pp $1,295 -0.5pp $1,243 base $1,189 +0.5pp $1,135 +1.0pp $1,079

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1400 Peckham St Fullerton, CA 2.0 2.0 1200 $2,650 $2.21 1d 1 0.10mi
1113 S Pine Dr Fullerton, CA 3.0 1.5 1069 $3,900 $3.65 6d 1 0.36mi
6998 Crimson Dr Buena Park, CA 3.0 2.5 1819 $4,100 $2.25 18d 1 0.36mi
2721 W Olive Ave Fullerton, CA 3.0 2.0 1654 $3,700 $2.24 3d 1 0.44mi
8640 Auto Center Dr Buena Park, CA 2.0 1.0–1.5 1058 $2,500 $2.36 1d 2 0.64mi
1612 W Hill Ave Fullerton, CA 3.0 2.0 1453 $3,500 $2.41 24d 1 0.94mi
8041 Page St Buena Park, CA 2.0 1.5 1080 $2,550 $2.36 2d 2 1.22mi
8041 Page St Apt 11 Buena Park, CA 2.0 1.5 1080 $2,550 $2.36 22d 1 1.22mi
1406 W Roberta Ave Fullerton, CA 3.0 2.5 1750 $8,250 $4.71 22d 1 1.25mi
522 N Hampton St Anaheim, CA 3.0 1.5 1139 $3,300 $2.90 19d 1 1.28mi
8182 7th St Unit 12 Buena Park, CA 2.0 1.5 1075 $2,750 $2.56 18d 1 1.32mi
1442 W Valencia Dr Fullerton, CA 3.0 2.0 1761 $3,750 $2.13 3d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $210,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $210,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-05-01
    listed $210,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,108
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$3,150
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,209
− Management
−$3,209
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$11,619
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,788
After-tax cash flow
$11,482/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Average 55/100 Moderate rehab

This manufactured home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathrooms, which would significantly increase its resale value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
  • Moderate bathroom fixtures — outdated and in need of replacement
  • Minor exterior siding — slight wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would attract more buyers
  • Resale replace outdated bathroom fixtures — newer fixtures would appeal to potential buyers
  • Both paint interior walls — improves the home's appearance and can be done inexpensively

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · outdated and in need of replacement Moderate $3,000–15,000
exterior siding · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $6,500–33,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would attract more buyers
  • Resale replace outdated bathroom fixtures — newer fixtures would appeal to potential buyers
  • Both paint interior walls — improves the home's appearance and can be done inexpensively

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fullerton Joint Union High
NCES district ID
0614760
Math proficiency
51% ▲ 7.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$66,666
Composite
51.37/100
National rank
#1735
State rank
#82 of 517 in CA

Livability — Fullerton

Score
67/100
State rank
#328
US rank
#11149

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D- Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety D User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fullerton, CA
County
Orange County · 3,096,323 people
City population
140,763
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
51,842
Household income
$114,176
Rent vs Own
44.2% rent · 55.8% own
Severe rent burden
2530.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 40% Asian 35% White 20% Two or more races 15% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
36% · South Korea, Canada, China
Languages at home
46% English-only · Spanish 24% Korean 20% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -917.00%
Current HPI
351.652
Rent YoY
▲ 1.72%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $210,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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