2514 W Orangethorpe #35 · Fullerton, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious three-section manufactured home offering an expansive, flexible floor plan designed for comfortable living and effortless entertaining. This home truly feels large, featuring a generous living room and formal dining area ideal for gatherings, along with an oversized den/family room that provides even more space to relax, host, or customize to your needs. A versatile bonus area in the Primary room offers the perfect setup for guests, a home office, or hobbies. The home includes 2 generously sized bedrooms, including a private primary suite with walk-in closet and dressing area, all laid out with a natural, easy flow. A large laundry room adds everyday convenience. Step outside to a
Key facts
- Oversized den
- Flexible floor plan
- Versatile bonus area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area is estimated
- Financial info: Land lease: $1,632 per month (includes water and trash)
- HOA & community: Community features include street lighting; Park name: Fullerton Mobile Estates, LLC; Manager approval required; Pets allowed with breed restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home (model: Goldenage, 12' x 60'); Single story; Mobile home remains on site
- Construction: Year built: other/unspecified
- Exterior features: Front porch; Open patio; Deck; Community pool; Greenbelt; No sprinkler system
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Double oven
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms on the main floor
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bath with double sinks; Shower and shower-in-tub
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: One-level home; Entry accessed via stairs; Main floor primary bedroom; Primary suite; Bonus room; Living room and family room; Walk-in closet; Laundry room (inside, individual room)
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry in a dedicated room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $210k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
- Recommended offer: $204k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 2.0% in Fullerton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#328 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime D-, cost of living F.
- Fullerton Joint Union High (suburban): math 51% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #82 of 517 in CA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Buena Park High (math 28% / reading 50%, grade F, #558 of 1,170 statewide, top 48%, 1,804 students, 84% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 39% at this address vs 58% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fullerton Joint Union High average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.27%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $173,040
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2514 W Orangethorpe Ave #7 | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 | 1,700 (+1%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $103 | 89 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $37,512
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $113,400
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92833
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,342 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$262 /mo · $3,150/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$702
- Net cashflow
- $1,189
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,334 | -5% $1,262 | +0% $1,189 | +5% $1,117 | +10% $1,044 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $925 | -5% $1,057 | +0% $1,189 | +5% $1,321 | +10% $1,453 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,295 | -0.5pp $1,243 | base $1,189 | +0.5pp $1,135 | +1.0pp $1,079 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1400 Peckham St Fullerton, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,650 | $2.21 | 1d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1113 S Pine Dr Fullerton, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1069 | $3,900 | $3.65 | 6d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 6998 Crimson Dr Buena Park, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1819 | $4,100 | $2.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2721 W Olive Ave Fullerton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1654 | $3,700 | $2.24 | 3d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 8640 Auto Center Dr Buena Park, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1058 | $2,500 | $2.36 | 1d | 2 | 0.64mi |
| 1612 W Hill Ave Fullerton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $3,500 | $2.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8041 Page St Buena Park, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $2,550 | $2.36 | 2d | 2 | 1.22mi |
| 8041 Page St Apt 11 Buena Park, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $2,550 | $2.36 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1406 W Roberta Ave Fullerton, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1750 | $8,250 | $4.71 | 22d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 522 N Hampton St Anaheim, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1139 | $3,300 | $2.90 | 19d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 8182 7th St Unit 12 Buena Park, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1075 | $2,750 | $2.56 | 18d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1442 W Valencia Dr Fullerton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1761 | $3,750 | $2.13 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $210,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$210,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,108
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$3,150
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,209
- − Management
- −$3,209
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable income
- $11,619
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,788
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,482/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathrooms, which would significantly increase its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — outdated and in need of replacement
- Minor exterior siding — slight wear
Value-add opportunities
- Resale update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would attract more buyers
- Resale replace outdated bathroom fixtures — newer fixtures would appeal to potential buyers
- Both paint interior walls — improves the home's appearance and can be done inexpensively
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · outdated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior siding · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would attract more buyers ↑
- Resale replace outdated bathroom fixtures — newer fixtures would appeal to potential buyers ↑
- Both paint interior walls — improves the home's appearance and can be done inexpensively ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fullerton Joint Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0614760
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▲ 7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,666
- Composite
- 51.37/100
- National rank
- #1735
- State rank
- #82 of 517 in CA
Livability — Fullerton
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #328
- US rank
- #11149
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fullerton, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 140,763
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,842
- Household income
- $114,176
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2530.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 40% Asian 35% White 20% Two or more races 15% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · South Korea, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 46% English-only · Spanish 24% Korean 20% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -917.00%
- Current HPI
- 351.652
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.72%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $210,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…