2419 Avenido Del Pinar St · Gautier, MS 39553

$209,900

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,103 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market

Built 1973 0.25 ac lot Est $154k · 36% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +13.2/30.0
• DSCR +4.0/10.0
• Schools +3.3/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• 1% rule +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Come See this 2 bedroom and 2 bathroom, brick home. Located on a corner lot, partially fenced with Shed/Storage building.

Key facts

• Custom cabinetry
• Remodeled
• Hvac

Tags

• REMODELED
• CORNER LOT
• BRAND-NEW ROOF
• HVAC
• REDESIGNED KITCHEN
• CUSTOM CABINETRY

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Covered carport for 2 cars; Driveway (concrete)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water and sewer connected
• Home design: Single-family house; One level; Move-in ready
• Construction: Brick veneer and siding exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year per assessor)
• Exterior features: Back yard with full fencing; Patio

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
• Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
• Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric); Ceiling fans for cooling
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Kitchen island; Open floor plan; Double-pane windows
• Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-38/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (0.3% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (21.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $165k (21.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.2% in Gautier — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#89 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, employment D.
• Pascagoula-Gautier School District (urban): math 40% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #41 of 130 in MS (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 208 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $71k; list at $210k implies a 196% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $165,394 (21.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.79% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.27%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.07%
• DSCR: 1.00
• GRM: 10.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $154,420
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2612 San Lorenzo St	0.28mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,147 (+4%)	3mo	$159,999	$139	73
2306 Calle De Desoto St	0.15mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,032 (-6%)	8mo	$95,000	$92	70
2325 W Park Dr	0.35mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,080 (-2%)	3mo	$152,900	$142	69
2313 Avenido Encanto St	0.14mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,226 (+11%)	8mo	$162,000	$132	63
2307 Ladnier Rd	0.18mi	3/2.0 (-1)	960 (-13%)	4mo	$135,000	$141	62
2823 Woodlane St	0.41mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,011 (-8%)	2mo	$160,900	$159	57
2205 University St	0.32mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,247 (+13%)	1mo	$100,000	$80	53
2413 Northbrook Dr	0.55mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,023 (-7%)	4mo	$152,500	$149	52
2112 Woodbury Rd	0.46mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,214 (+10%)	6mo	$119,000	$98	48
2718 Ridgeway Dr	0.47mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,256 (+14%)	6mo	$167,695	$134	41
2019 Pamela Dr	0.57mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,248 (+13%)	6mo	$175,000	$140	37
2001 S Haven Dr	0.62mi	3/1.5 (-1)	962 (-13%)	10mo	$135,000	$140	34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -16.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.42×
• Total profit: $-34,277
• Equity at exit: $31,297

10-year hold

• IRR: -8.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.48×
• Total profit: $-30,359
• Equity at exit: $18,148

Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39553

• Home prices YoY: -17.0%
• Active inventory: 208
• Price-to-rent: 10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,654 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,101
• Tax from tax record: −$122 /mo · $1,459/yr
• Insurance: −$87
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$347
• Net cashflow: $-3

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,658

Max offer price $209,337

Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $52,475
• Closing costs: $6,297
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3254 Stonegate Cir Gautier, MS	3.0	2.0	1472	$1,700	$1.15	13d	1	0.83mi

Listing history 9 events

1. 2026-05-30
   status $209,900 Pending 8 DOM
2. 2026-05-21
   listed $209,900 Active
3. 2026-02-09
   soldstatus $71,000
4. 2026-01-13
   soldstatus Closed 121-char remark

   Show marketing remark (121 chars)

   Come See this 2 bedroom and 2 bathroom, brick home. Located on a corner lot, partially fenced with Shed/Storage building.

5. 2025-12-29
   status Pending 121-char remark

   Show marketing remark (121 chars)

   Come See this 2 bedroom and 2 bathroom, brick home. Located on a corner lot, partially fenced with Shed/Storage building.

6. 2025-11-14
   listed $75,000 Active 121-char remark

   Show marketing remark (121 chars)

   Come See this 2 bedroom and 2 bathroom, brick home. Located on a corner lot, partially fenced with Shed/Storage building.

7. 2024-10-30
   historical
8. 2024-10-05
   price $119,999
9. 2024-08-03
   listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,459 · $122/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,658 · $138/mo
• Expected delta: +$199/yr (+$17/mo · 13.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,847
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,758
• − Property taxes: −$1,459
• − Insurance: −$1,050
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,588
• − Management: −$1,588
• − Depreciation: −$6,106
• Taxable loss: −$3,701
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$888
• After-tax cash flow: $850/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pascagoula-Gautier School District
• NCES district ID: 2803480
• Math proficiency: 40% ▼ -3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $41,392
• Composite: 32.86/100
• National rank: #5613
• State rank: #41 of 130 in MS

Livability — Gautier

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #89
• US rank: #11250

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Gautier, MS
• County: Jackson County · 82,196 people
• City population: 17,225
• Metro: Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
• Population (ZIP): 17,225
• Household income: $57,460
• Rent vs Own: 28.4% rent · 71.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 653.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 146,926 people
• By 2030: 148,442 · +1.0%
• By 2040: 149,631 · +1.8%
• By 2050: 148,723 · +1.2%
• By 2075: 147,845 · +0.6%
• By 2100: 144,510 · -1.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
• Race & ethnicity: White 55% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 8%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 8% Chinese 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -42.77%
• Current HPI: 209.1746
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

+67.9% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-21 Listed $209,900 MLSU
• 2026-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
• 2026-01-13 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
• 2025-12-29 Pending — MLSU
• 2025-11-14 Listed $75,000 MLSU
• 2024-10-30 Listing Removed — MLSU
• 2024-10-05 Price Changed $119,999 MLSU
• 2024-08-03 Listed $125,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+16.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,459 · +16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.