8 Spring Brook Rd · Newport, NH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $507 – $941
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you're looking for Inexpensive Housing w/ low taxes, this 2 bed/2 bath home w/ garage might fit!Spacious rooms! New back deck! New dishwasher. New Master bathtub. Laminate flooring.
Key facts
- 0.59 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1987
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $363 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.8% in Newport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#26 in NH, #3,805 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Newport School District (town): math 10% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #98 of 98 in NH (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Richards Elementary School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #257 of 263 statewide, top 98%, 323 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 43% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 98 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sullivan County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $119k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.11%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $140,118
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Spring Brook Rd | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,158 (0%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $121 | 99 |
| 5 Popple Way | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 1,056 (-9%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $128 | 63 |
| 10 Popple Way | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,320 (+14%) | 17mo | $150,000 | $114 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $497
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $30,467
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Hampshire
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 03773
- Home prices YoY
- -6.0%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,764 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$238 /mo · $2,858/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $363
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $442 | -5% $403 | +0% $363 | +5% $323 | +10% $284 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $224 | -5% $293 | +0% $363 | +5% $433 | +10% $502 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $433 | -0.5pp $399 | base $363 | +0.5pp $327 | +1.0pp $290 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-26status Pending
-
2026-04-19$140,000 Active
-
2018-06-08soldstatus $118,667
-
2009-06-19soldstatus $107,000 184-char remark
Show marketing remark (184 chars)
If you're looking for Inexpensive Housing w/ low taxes, this 2 bed/2 bath home w/ garage might fit!Spacious rooms! New back deck! New dishwasher. New Master bathtub. Laminate flooring.
-
2008-04-05$111,900 184-char remark
Show marketing remark (184 chars)
If you're looking for Inexpensive Housing w/ low taxes, this 2 bed/2 bath home w/ garage might fit!Spacious rooms! New back deck! New dishwasher. New Master bathtub. Laminate flooring.
-
2004-11-10soldstatus $99,000 90-char remark
Show marketing remark (90 chars)
24 HOUR NOTICE TO SHOW. SALE WILL BE CONTINGENT UPON SELLER FINDING HOUSING FOR HER NEEDS.
-
2004-09-29$99,000 90-char remark
Show marketing remark (90 chars)
24 HOUR NOTICE TO SHOW. SALE WILL BE CONTINGENT UPON SELLER FINDING HOUSING FOR HER NEEDS.
-
2004-07-30soldstatus $35,900
-
2004-06-16historical
-
2004-03-05$39,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,858 · $238/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,955 · $246/mo
- Expected delta
- +$97/yr (+$8/mo · 3.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,169
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,858
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,694
- − Management
- −$1,694
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $2,309
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$554
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,801/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newport School District
- NCES district ID
- 3305310
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,710
- Composite
- 14.12/100
- National rank
- #9459
- State rank
- #98 of 98 in NH
Livability — Newport
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #26
- US rank
- #3805
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newport, NH
- City population
- 7,905
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,905
Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,322 people
- By 2030
- 39,910 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 36,447 · -11.8%
- By 2050
- 32,917 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 25,997 · -37.1%
- By 2100
- 19,479 · -52.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 14% Slovak 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.7pp toward R · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: -0.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.7 2020: D+3.6 2016: R+2.6 2012: D+13.3 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.59%
- Current HPI
- 352.2789
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+250.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Pending — PrimeMLS
- 2026-04-19 Listed $140,000 PrimeMLS
- 2018-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $118,667 Public Records
- 2009-06-19 Sold (MLS) $107,000 PrimeMLS
- 2008-04-05 Listed $111,900 PrimeMLS
- 2004-11-10 Sold (MLS) $99,000 PrimeMLS
- 2004-09-29 Listed $99,000 PrimeMLS
- 2004-07-30 Sold (MLS) $35,900 PrimeMLS
- 2004-06-16 Delisted — PrimeMLS
- 2004-03-05 Listed $39,900 PrimeMLS
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,858 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…