304 N Anderson Ave · Gideon, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This affordable home was completely updated three years ago. Here are a few of the recent updates: new water heater, new dishwasher, and new flooring. This charming 3-bedroom home has one full bathroom, spacious laundry room, and a partially fenced yard. This home is low maintenance, updated, and priced to move.
Key facts
- New flooring
- New water heater
- New dishwasher
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with space for 1 vehicle
- Utilities: Community water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: City lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window unit air conditioning
- Interior features: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $448 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#654 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Gideon 37 (rural): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #469 of 535 in MO (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Gideon Elem. (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #611 of 1,115 statewide, top 59%, 114 students, 97% FRL); Gideon High (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #420 of 521 statewide, top 82%, 101 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 52% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in New Madrid County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- New Madrid County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.50%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $59,588
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- 17.31%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.89×
- Total profit
- $36,988
- Equity at exit
- $31,430
- IRR
- 33.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.68×
- Total profit
- $91,655
- Equity at exit
- $48,437
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63848
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,149 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $762/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $448
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-05-06$74,900 Active 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
This affordable home was completely updated three years ago. Here are a few of the recent updates: new water heater, new dishwasher, and new flooring. This charming 3-bedroom home has one full bathroom, spacious laundry room, and a partially fenced yard. This home is low maintenance, updated, and priced to move.
-
2026-04-23$74,900 Active 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
This affordable home was completely updated three years ago. Here are a few of the recent updates: new water heater, new dishwasher, and new flooring. This charming 3-bedroom home has one full bathroom, spacious laundry room, and a partially fenced yard. This home is low maintenance, updated, and priced to move.
-
2026-04-23historical $74,900 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
This affordable home was completely updated three years ago. Here are a few of the recent updates: new water heater, new dishwasher, and new flooring. This charming 3-bedroom home has one full bathroom, spacious laundry room, and a partially fenced yard. This home is low maintenance, updated, and priced to move.
-
2026-04-23$74,900 New Listing
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
This affordable home was completely updated three years ago. Here are a few of the recent updates: new water heater, new dishwasher, and new flooring. This charming 3-bedroom home has one full bathroom, spacious laundry room, and a partially fenced yard. This home is low maintenance, updated, and priced to move.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $762 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $762 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,787
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$762
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,103
- − Management
- −$1,103
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $4,521
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,085
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,297/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gideon 37
- NCES district ID
- 2912780
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,669
- Composite
- 27.36/100
- National rank
- #12407
- State rank
- #469 of 535 in MO
Livability — Gideon
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #654
- US rank
- #22041
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gideon, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,058
Population outlook (New Madrid County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,712 people
- By 2030
- 15,845 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 14,152 · -15.3%
- By 2050
- 12,604 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 9,478 · -43.3%
- By 2100
- 7,157 · -57.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Scandinavian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · New Madrid
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.5) · D 22.9% · R 76.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.1pp · 2024: -53.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.5 2020: R+51.0 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+20.3 2008: R+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $69,900 CARMLS
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $69,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $69,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Listed $74,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $74,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-23 Coming Soon $74,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-23 Listed $74,900 CARMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $762 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…