4068 Bermuda Ln · Seguin, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$248,932
4068 Bermuda Ln · Seguin, TX 78155
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,837 sqft · SingleFamily
· 112 Days on market
Built 2026
4,791 sqft lot
2-car garage
$136/sqft
· 9% below area
Est $275k · 9% under
$50/mo HOA · 3% of rent
↓ 8% since listing
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Available for August 2026 Move-In! The Springfield boasts a two-story foyer leading into an open Gathering Room and dining spaces. This four bedroom home includes a Covered Patio and stainless steel appliances, as well as granite in the kitchen.
Key facts
- Granite in kitchen
- Covered patio
- Open gathering room
Tags
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $249k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-323 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (18.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (26.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (26.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.6% in Seguin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#592 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Navarro ISD (rural): math 48% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #166 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Navarro El (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #1,006 of 4,322 statewide, top 25%, 702 students, 45% FRL); Navarro Int (math 50% / reading 44%, grade D+, #424 of 1,662 statewide, top 27%, 485 students, 40% FRL); Navarro H S (math 47% / reading 57%, grade D+, #447 of 1,632 statewide, top 29%, 648 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 1833 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 67d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,064 units permitted in Guadalupe County in 2024 (133 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Guadalupe County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer
$183,239
(26.4% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.56%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $274,747
- List price
- $248,932
- Delta
- -9.40%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4138 Bermuda Ln | 0.13mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,837 (0%) | 2mo | $248,932 | $136 | 87 |
| 4014 Paddock Trl | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,866 (+2%) | 5mo | $305,665 | $164 | 83 |
| 4020 Lily Glade Ln | 0.23mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,837 (0%) | 4mo | $269,302 | $147 | 81 |
| 4141 Bermuda Ln | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,937 (+5%) | 1mo | $256,696 | $133 | 76 |
| 4061 Bermuda Ln | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,576 (-14%) | 0mo | $238,475 | $151 | 73 |
| 4069 Bermuda Ln | 0.02mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,029 (+10%) | 4mo | $268,230 | $132 | 72 |
| 4053 Bermuda Ln | 0.04mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,619 (-12%) | 4mo | $247,732 | $153 | 70 |
| 4134 Bermuda Ln | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,576 (-14%) | 0mo | $233,375 | $148 | 68 |
| 4142 Bermuda Ln | 0.14mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,029 (+10%) | 5mo | $274,390 | $135 | 65 |
| 4129 Bermuda Ln | 0.13mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,079 (+13%) | 3mo | $285,368 | $137 | 63 |
| 320 Pacific Waters | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,885 (+3%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $117 | 60 |
| 336 Pacific Waters | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,987 (+8%) | 2mo | $213,000 | $107 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-62,587
- Equity at exit
- $37,117
10-year hold
- IRR
- -28.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.26×
- Total profit
- $-87,786
- Equity at exit
- $21,523
Cash invested: $69,701 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.
Buyer's market
Market conditions
within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 40 active · 17 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.9 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $283,981 ($167/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 404 d
- This list price
- 15% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -10.3% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78155
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 1833
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $1,832 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,305
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$311 /mo · $3,734/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$50
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $-323
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$2,241
Max offer price
$202,233
Occupancy floor
—
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-151 | -5% $-237 | +0% $-323 | +5% $-409 | +10% $-495 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-467 | -5% $-395 | +0% $-323 | +5% $-250 | +10% $-178 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-197 | -0.5pp $-259 | base $-323 | +0.5pp $-387 | +1.0pp $-453 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,233
- Closing costs
- $7,468
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4153 Bermuda Ln Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1937 | $1,995 | $1.03 | 93d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4044 Sun Meadow Ln Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2601 | $2,359 | $0.91 | 139d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4134 Wild Bloom Rd Seguin, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2300 | $2,000 | $0.87 | 77d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 4105 Paddock Trl Seguin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $1,575 | $1.05 | 0d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4105 Paddock Trl Seguin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $1,625 | $1.09 | 97d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4105 Paddock Trl Seguin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $1,625 | $1.09 | 87d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 165 Wild Creek Rd Seguin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1497 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 0d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4089 Lily Glade Ln Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2218 | $1,750 | $0.79 | 0d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4089 Lily Glade Ln Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2218 | $1,850 | $0.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3945 Far Horizon Seguin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,510 | $1.02 | 72d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3945 Far Horizon Seguin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,576 | $1.07 | 68d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3873 Far Horizon Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,773 | $1.06 | 67d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3809 Far Horizon Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1874 | $1,795 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3812 Far Horizon Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1874 | $1,650 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3812 Far Horizon Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1874 | $1,825 | $0.97 | 106d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 205 Free Waters Seguin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,419 | $0.96 | 76d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 205 Free Waters Seguin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,549 | $1.05 | 93d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3824 High Tide Seguin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,495 | $1.01 | 56d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 249 Free Waters Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,695 | $1.02 | 56d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 484 Cordova Loop Seguin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,850 | $1.50 | 0d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 160 Cordova Xing Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,990 | $1.19 | 0d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2712 La Mundial St Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2304 | $1,755 | $0.76 | 110d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2712 La Mundial St Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2304 | $1,821 | $0.79 | 106d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2721 La Mundial St Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1910 | $1,596 | $0.84 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2721 La Mundial St Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1910 | $1,530 | $0.80 | 9d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2704 La Mundial St Seguin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1910 | $1,516 | $0.79 | 79d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 227 Cordova Xing Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2304 | $2,149 | $0.93 | 0d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2720 Coral Vly Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1910 | $2,195 | $1.15 | 84d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2720 Coral Vly Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1910 | $2,095 | $1.10 | 0d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2700 Coral Vly Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2229 | $2,200 | $0.99 | 69d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2717 San Martin Ln Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1910 | $2,050 | $1.07 | 139d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 484 Cordova Ter Seguin, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,850 | $1.50 | 0d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 345 Cordova Xing Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2304 | $1,945 | $0.84 | 117d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2716 Sierra Chicas Ln Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1910 | $1,840 | $0.96 | 40d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2716 Sierra Chicas Ln Seguin, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1910 | $1,780 | $0.93 | 2d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Subdivision: Lily Springs
- HOA & community
- Mandatory HOAHOA dues $600 annuallyAssociation transfer fee $395Community amenities: Pool, clubhouse, park/playground
Exterior
- Parking
- 2-car garage
- Utilities
- Water: Spring HillSewer: Spring HillElectricity: GVECGarbage service: City of SeguinWater system and sewer system connected
- Home design
- New construction by PulteSiding exteriorEast-facing
- Construction
- Slab foundationComposition roof
- Exterior features
- Covered patioPrivacy fenceLevel lotStreet paved with curbs, sidewalks and streetlights
Interior
- Kitchen
- Stove/RangeDishwasherDisposalIce maker connection
- Bedrooms
- Master bedroom (upper level) with walk-in closet — 13 x 16Bedroom 2 — 10 x 12Bedroom 3 — 10 x 10
- Flooring
- CarpetingVinyl flooring
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroomMaster bath with shower only and single vanity — 9 x 9
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning
- Interior features
- One living areaSeparate dining roomGame roomUtility room insideAll bedrooms on upper levelHigh ceilingsCable TV availableHigh-speed internetSolid countertopsSmoke alarmVent fanDouble pane windows
- Laundry & utility
- Washer connectionDryer connectionUtility room inside — 8 x 6
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $248,932 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $248,932 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $248,932 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $248,932 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $248,932 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $248,932 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $248,932 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $248,932 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $248,932 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $248,932 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $248,932 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $248,932 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $248,932 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $248,932 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $248,932 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $248,932 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $248,932 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $248,932 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $248,932 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $248,932 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $248,932 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $248,932 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $248,932 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $248,932 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $248,932 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $248,932 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $248,932 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $248,932 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $248,932 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $248,932 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $248,932 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $248,932 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $248,932 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $248,932 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $248,932 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $248,932 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $248,932 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $248,932 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $248,932 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $248,932 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $248,932 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $248,932 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $248,932 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $248,932 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $248,932 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $248,932 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $248,932 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $248,932 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $248,932 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $248,932 Active 50 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,989
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,944
- − Property taxes
- −$3,734
- − Insurance
- −$1,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,759
- − Management
- −$1,759
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$7,242
- Taxable loss
- −$8,294
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,991
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,882/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
80/100
None rehab
This home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready and has a good resale and rental value. Consider painting the exterior and interior walls, updating the flooring in the bathrooms, upgrading the kitchen appliances, and adding smart home features to further increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Updating the flooring in the bathrooms — Modern flooring can improve both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Newer appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient. ↑
F
Composite school gradezoned avg 50/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
Navarro El
D-
TX #1,006/4,322
Nat'l #14,504/41,679
High
Navarro H S
D+
TX #447/1,632
Nat'l #5,016/17,239
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Navarro ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4832160
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,008
- Composite
- 43.49/100
- National rank
- #2996
- State rank
- #166 of 826 in TX
C
Composite livability gradescore 66/100
Livability — Seguin
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #592
- US rank
- #11298
Category grades
Amenities F
Commute F
Cost of living A+
Crime C+
Employment D
Housing A+
Health & safety F
User ratings A
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Seguin, TX
- County
- Guadalupe County · 196,854 people
- City population
- 55,600
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,600
- Household income
- $71,039
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 17% of renters
Population outlook (Guadalupe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 196,854 people
- By 2030
- 220,210 · +11.9%
- By 2040
- 268,004 · +36.1%
- By 2050
- 316,333 · +60.7%
- By 2075
- 434,747 · +120.8%
- By 2100
- 520,447 · +164.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% White 43% Two or more races 26% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 41%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 24% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Guadalupe
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.5pp toward D · 2008: -31.0pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+24.2 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+35.1 2008: R+31.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.43%
- Current HPI
- 160.5435
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.04%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-7.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-19 Price Changed $248,932 Zillow
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $248,932 LERA
- 2026-06-01 Listed $253,932 LERA
- 2026-05-30 Price Changed $253,932 Zillow
- 2026-05-22 Listed $269,932 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…