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203 Elm St
D Composite 44.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$18,400

203 Elm St · Clairton, PA 15025
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,366 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 227 Days on market
Built 1947 7,000 sqft lot $13/sqft · 73% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity to make this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath, 1,456 square foot home your own. This property features a main level powder room, rear patio, one-car built-in garage, and covered front porch.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Rear patio
  • 7,000 sq ft lot

Tags

MAIN LEVEL POWDER ROOMREAR PATIOCOVERED FRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $18k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $908 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $18k).
  • Recommended offer: $16k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 69.2% vs local median 12.7% in Clairton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,308 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, schools F.
  • Clairton City SD (suburban): math 7% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #520 of 539 in PA (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $127 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $552 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($16k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $14k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $16,192 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
7.51%
Cap rate
69.16%
Cash-on-cash
224.51%
DSCR
10.99
GRM
1.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$72,527
List price
$18,400
Delta
-74.63%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
148 Carnegie Ave 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,314 (-4%) 4mo $75,000 $57 86
320 N 4th St 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,290 (-6%) 2mo $87,000 $67 79
422 N 3rd St 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,440 (+5%) 7mo $42,500 $30 77
302 Elm St 0.06mi 3/1.0 1,485 (+9%) 14mo $17,000 $11 71
357 Ohio Ave 0.37mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,424 (+4%) 4mo $25,000 $18 67
612 Walnut Ave 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,282 (-6%) 12mo $114,900 $90 65
116 Division Ave 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+5%) 7mo $93,410 $65 64
574 State Route 885 0.42mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,518 (+11%) 4mo $165,000 $109 48
1007 N 6th St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,250 (-8%) 19mo $87,500 $70 46
1025 Delaware Ave 0.74mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,386 (+2%) 13mo $75,000 $54 42
1036 Indiana Ave 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,256 (-8%) 19mo $95,000 $76 37
922 Foster Rd 0.64mi 3/1.5 1,560 (+14%) 10mo $250,000 $160 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.08×
Total profit
$62,225
Equity at exit
$2,743
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
32.47×
Total profit
$162,122
Equity at exit
$1,591

Cash invested: $5,152 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15025

Home prices YoY
-34.4%
Rents YoY
10.5%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
1.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,381 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$96
Tax est. 1.5%
$23 /mo · $276/yr
Insurance
$8
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$908

Break-even live

Break-even rent $231
Max offer price $18,400
Occupancy floor 29%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,600
Closing costs
$552
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
185 Carnegie Ave Clairton, PA 3.0 1.0 1404 $1,295 $0.92 44d 1 0.14mi
507 N 6th St Clairton, PA 2.0 1.5 1120 $1,250 $1.12 44d 1 0.27mi
231 Connecticut Ave Clairton, PA 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,150 $1.08 44d 1 0.34mi
1044 Delaware Ave Glassport, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 20d 1 0.64mi
833 Vermont Ave Glassport, PA 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,395 $1.08 24d 1 0.87mi
701-703 Waddell Ave Clairton, PA 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 2d 1 0.99mi
350 Wylie Ave Unit 1 Clairton, PA 2.0 1.0 1152 $1,050 $0.91 44d 1 1.40mi
511 Payne Hill Rd Clairton, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1026 $1,900 $1.85 2d 1 1.42mi
753 East Dr Clairton, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 44d 1 1.43mi
127 Constitution Cir Clairton, PA 2.0 1.0 972 $1,275 $1.31 2d 1 1.47mi
127 Constitution Cir Clairton, PA 2.0 1.0 1063 $1,275 $1.20 11d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $18,400 Active 227 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $18,400 Active 226 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $23,000 Active 226 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $23,000 Active 225 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $23,000 Active 224 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $23,000 Active 222 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $23,000 Active 218 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $23,000 Active 217 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $23,000 Active 216 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $23,000 Active 213 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $23,000 Active 212 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $23,000 Active 211 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $23,000 Active 210 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $23,000 Active 209 DOM
  15. 2025-11-03
    listed $23,000 Active 195-char remark
    Show marketing remark (195 chars)

    Great opportunity to make this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath, 1,456 square foot home your own. This property features a main level powder room, rear patio, one-car built-in garage, and covered front porch.

  16. 1974-10-31
    soldstatus $14,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 98% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,573
− Mortgage interest
−$1,031
− Property taxes
−$276
− Insurance
−$758
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,326
− Management
−$1,326
− Depreciation
−$535
Taxable income
$11,321
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,717
After-tax cash flow
$8,183/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clairton City SD
NCES district ID
4206030
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$30,250
Composite
11.0/100
National rank
#9742
State rank
#520 of 539 in PA

Livability — Clairton

Score
63/100
State rank
#1308
US rank
#16085

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A Health & safety D+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clairton, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
City population
16,939
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
16,939
Household income
$76,531
Rent vs Own
25.1% rent · 74.9% own
Severe rent burden
572.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 18% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · China, Canada, India
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.35%
Current HPI
183.858
Rent YoY
▲ 10.47%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+58.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $23,000 West Penn MLS
  • 1974-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $14,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+17.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,252 · +76.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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