107 Birchwood Rd · Tobyhanna, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.1/30.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$355,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BACK ON MARKET DUE TO BUYER'S FINANCING This charming 4-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom furnished colonial is the perfect opportunity for an investment property, Airbnb, or a full-time family home. Situated on a nearly half-acre level lot, this home offers plenty of space both inside and out. The first floor features a bedroom, while the remaining three bedrooms are located on the second floor, providing a flexible layout. A dedicated playroom adds extra space for entertainment or relaxation. Outside, the expansive yard includes a firepit area, a trampoline, and ample room for outdoor activities. The deck is perfect for entertaining, complete with a hot tub and gazebo for year-round enjoyment. Conveniently located just five minutes from shopping and ski areas, this property offers easy access to year-round recreation and amenities. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or a profitable short-term rental, this home is a fantastic opportunity. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Firepit area
- Hot tub
- Gazebo
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $355k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $244 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $340k (4.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $312k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $99k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 441 days — a 12% lower offer ($312k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $154k; list at $355k implies a 131% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 441 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.95%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $359,204
- List price
- $355,000
- Delta
- -1.17%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122 Cranberry Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,856 (+3%) | 3mo | $340,000 | $183 | 71 |
| 130 Cranberry Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,804 (+0%) | 12mo | $370,000 | $205 | 69 |
| 124 Elm Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,676 (-7%) | 8mo | $385,000 | $230 | 68 |
| 5266 Beechwood Rd | 0.36mi | 4/3.0 | 1,882 (+5%) | 10mo | $370,000 | $197 | 66 |
| 108 Cranberry Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,855 (+3%) | 21mo | $329,900 | $178 | 55 |
| 142 Driftwood Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,982 (+10%) | 4mo | $370,000 | $187 | 48 |
| 170 George Dr | 0.52mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,672 (-7%) | 12mo | $405,000 | $242 | 47 |
| 140 Anna Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,973 (+10%) | 8mo | $279,000 | $141 | 45 |
| 5212 Beechwood Rd | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,561 (-13%) | 20mo | $329,000 | $211 | 42 |
| 1243 Old Farm Rd | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,952 (+8%) | 21mo | $318,000 | $163 | 40 |
| 110 Anna Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,944 (+8%) | 24mo | $455,000 | $234 | 38 |
| 210 George Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (-15%) | 6mo | $342,000 | $223 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $13,099
- Equity at exit
- $111,466
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $87,277
- Equity at exit
- $140,877
Cash invested: $99,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18610
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,862
- Tax from tax record
- −$365 /mo · $4,382/yr
- Insurance
- −$148
- HOA
- −$67
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$714
- Net cashflow
- $244
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $445 | -5% $345 | +0% $244 | +5% $144 | +10% $43 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-24 | -5% $110 | +0% $244 | +5% $379 | +10% $513 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $423 | -0.5pp $335 | base $244 | +0.5pp $152 | +1.0pp $59 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $88,750
- Closing costs
- $10,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 Driftwood Dr Blakeslee, PA | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2603 | $3,400 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $67 · $804/yr
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $355,000 Active 441 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $355,000 Active 438 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $355,000 Active 437 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $355,000 Active 436 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $355,000 Active 435 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $355,000 Active 433 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $355,000 Active 432 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $355,000 Active 430 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $355,000 Active 428 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $355,000 Active 427 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $355,000 Active 422 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $355,000 Active 421 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $355,000 Active 420 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $355,000 Active 419 DOM
-
2026-03-04status Active 982-char remark
Show marketing remark (982 chars)
BACK ON MARKET DUE TO BUYER'S FINANCING This charming 4-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom furnished colonial is the perfect opportunity for an investment property, Airbnb, or a full-time family home. Situated on a nearly half-acre level lot, this home offers plenty of space both inside and out. The first floor features a bedroom, while the remaining three bedrooms are located on the second floor, providing a flexible layout. A dedicated playroom adds extra space for entertainment or relaxation. Outside, the expansive yard includes a firepit area, a trampoline, and ample room for outdoor activities. The deck is perfect for entertaining, complete with a hot tub and gazebo for year-round enjoyment. Conveniently located just five minutes from shopping and ski areas, this property offers easy access to year-round recreation and amenities. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or a profitable short-term rental, this home is a fantastic opportunity. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-04price $355,000 982-char remark
Show marketing remark (982 chars)
BACK ON MARKET DUE TO BUYER'S FINANCING This charming 4-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom furnished colonial is the perfect opportunity for an investment property, Airbnb, or a full-time family home. Situated on a nearly half-acre level lot, this home offers plenty of space both inside and out. The first floor features a bedroom, while the remaining three bedrooms are located on the second floor, providing a flexible layout. A dedicated playroom adds extra space for entertainment or relaxation. Outside, the expansive yard includes a firepit area, a trampoline, and ample room for outdoor activities. The deck is perfect for entertaining, complete with a hot tub and gazebo for year-round enjoyment. Conveniently located just five minutes from shopping and ski areas, this property offers easy access to year-round recreation and amenities. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or a profitable short-term rental, this home is a fantastic opportunity. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-01-30status Pending 982-char remark
Show marketing remark (982 chars)
BACK ON MARKET DUE TO BUYER'S FINANCING This charming 4-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom furnished colonial is the perfect opportunity for an investment property, Airbnb, or a full-time family home. Situated on a nearly half-acre level lot, this home offers plenty of space both inside and out. The first floor features a bedroom, while the remaining three bedrooms are located on the second floor, providing a flexible layout. A dedicated playroom adds extra space for entertainment or relaxation. Outside, the expansive yard includes a firepit area, a trampoline, and ample room for outdoor activities. The deck is perfect for entertaining, complete with a hot tub and gazebo for year-round enjoyment. Conveniently located just five minutes from shopping and ski areas, this property offers easy access to year-round recreation and amenities. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or a profitable short-term rental, this home is a fantastic opportunity. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-01-24price $345,000 982-char remark
Show marketing remark (982 chars)
BACK ON MARKET DUE TO BUYER'S FINANCING This charming 4-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom furnished colonial is the perfect opportunity for an investment property, Airbnb, or a full-time family home. Situated on a nearly half-acre level lot, this home offers plenty of space both inside and out. The first floor features a bedroom, while the remaining three bedrooms are located on the second floor, providing a flexible layout. A dedicated playroom adds extra space for entertainment or relaxation. Outside, the expansive yard includes a firepit area, a trampoline, and ample room for outdoor activities. The deck is perfect for entertaining, complete with a hot tub and gazebo for year-round enjoyment. Conveniently located just five minutes from shopping and ski areas, this property offers easy access to year-round recreation and amenities. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or a profitable short-term rental, this home is a fantastic opportunity. Schedule your showing today!
-
2025-05-17price $360,000 982-char remark
Show marketing remark (982 chars)
BACK ON MARKET DUE TO BUYER'S FINANCING This charming 4-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom furnished colonial is the perfect opportunity for an investment property, Airbnb, or a full-time family home. Situated on a nearly half-acre level lot, this home offers plenty of space both inside and out. The first floor features a bedroom, while the remaining three bedrooms are located on the second floor, providing a flexible layout. A dedicated playroom adds extra space for entertainment or relaxation. Outside, the expansive yard includes a firepit area, a trampoline, and ample room for outdoor activities. The deck is perfect for entertaining, complete with a hot tub and gazebo for year-round enjoyment. Conveniently located just five minutes from shopping and ski areas, this property offers easy access to year-round recreation and amenities. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or a profitable short-term rental, this home is a fantastic opportunity. Schedule your showing today!
-
2025-02-06$375,000 Active 982-char remark
Show marketing remark (982 chars)
BACK ON MARKET DUE TO BUYER'S FINANCING This charming 4-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom furnished colonial is the perfect opportunity for an investment property, Airbnb, or a full-time family home. Situated on a nearly half-acre level lot, this home offers plenty of space both inside and out. The first floor features a bedroom, while the remaining three bedrooms are located on the second floor, providing a flexible layout. A dedicated playroom adds extra space for entertainment or relaxation. Outside, the expansive yard includes a firepit area, a trampoline, and ample room for outdoor activities. The deck is perfect for entertaining, complete with a hot tub and gazebo for year-round enjoyment. Conveniently located just five minutes from shopping and ski areas, this property offers easy access to year-round recreation and amenities. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or a profitable short-term rental, this home is a fantastic opportunity. Schedule your showing today!
-
2020-07-17soldstatus $154,000
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2020-07-14soldstatus $154,000 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
WELCOME HOME! Beautiful single family house on a quiet, peaceful street in Greenwood Acres. Conveniently located in the heart of the Poconos, just miles from Pocono Raceway, The Crossings Outlet Mall, Kalahari, and other local attractions.
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2020-06-02$160,000 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
WELCOME HOME! Beautiful single family house on a quiet, peaceful street in Greenwood Acres. Conveniently located in the heart of the Poconos, just miles from Pocono Raceway, The Crossings Outlet Mall, Kalahari, and other local attractions.
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2012-10-01soldstatus $129,000
-
2003-12-23soldstatus $955,301
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,382 · $365/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,995 · $416/mo
- Expected delta
- +$614/yr (+$51/mo · 14.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,886
- − Property taxes
- −$4,382
- − Insurance
- −$1,775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,264
- − Management
- −$3,264
- − HOA
- −$804
- − Depreciation
- −$10,327
- Taxable loss
- −$2,902
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$696
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,628/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Tobyhanna
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,373
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 15% Two or more races 10% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Subsaharan African 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.47%
- Current HPI
- 181.9087
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-62.8% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Relisted — PMAR
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $355,000 PMAR
- 2026-01-30 Pending — PMAR
- 2026-01-24 Price Changed $345,000 PMAR
- 2025-05-17 Price Changed $360,000 PMAR
- 2025-02-06 Listed $375,000 PMAR
- 2020-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $154,000 Public Records
- 2020-07-14 Sold (MLS) $154,000 PMAR
- 2020-06-02 Listed $160,000 PMAR
- 2012-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
- 2003-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $955,301 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2026): $4,382 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…