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207 S Belle Vis
B Composite 74.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

207 S Belle Vis · Youngstown, OH 44509
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1954 5,575 sqft lot Est $83k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

24 hour notice required for scheduling No exceptions. Currently rented 600 a month until Sept 2024. Conventional or cash Only. SOLD AS IS. .. Seller will not pay for repairs Great rental property, tons of potential.

Key facts

  • Natural privacy
  • Dining nook
  • Hillside location

Tags

HILLSIDE LOCATIONNATURAL PRIVACYCOVERED FRONT ENTRYWAYDIRECT ACCESS TO BASEMENTBRICK TRIMMED FIREPLACEDINING NOOK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Property listed as fixer
  • Construction: Built (year per public records); Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Small lot (approx. 0.128 acres)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Fireplace (1)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($983 rent vs $69k).
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $69k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $69,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
11.42%
Cash-on-cash
18.31%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$82,880
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
207 S Belle Vis 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,120 (0%) 1mo $53,900 $48 99
110 S Maryland Ave 0.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,190 (+6%) 2mo $30,000 $25 76
38 S Hartford Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,100 (-2%) 4mo $50,000 $45 66
512 S Hazelwood Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,128 (+1%) 5mo $129,527 $115 65
732 S Hazelwood Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 1,059 (-5%) 2mo $78,000 $74 60
70 S Glenellen Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,144 (+2%) 1mo $92,500 $81 58
208 N Maryland Ave N 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (+7%) 3mo $28,000 $23 55
728 Wilkinson Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,206 (+8%) 4mo $170,000 $141 52
2617 Scheetz St 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,008 (-10%) 3mo $63,000 $63 48
130 N Portland Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,285 (+15%) 3mo $90,000 $70 47
255 Bouquet Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,245 (+11%) 4mo $124,900 $100 41
1835 Mccollum Rd 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,245 (+11%) 6mo $146,000 $117 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$7,613
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$30,878
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44509

Home prices YoY
-9.3%
Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$983 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$91 /mo · $1,095/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$295

Break-even live

Break-even rent $610
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $334 -5% $314 +0% $295 +5% $275 +10% $256
Rent -10% $217 -5% $256 +0% $295 +5% $334 +10% $372
Rate -1.0pp $330 -0.5pp $312 base $295 +0.5pp $277 +1.0pp $259

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2634 Austin Ave Youngstown, OH 2.0 1.0 784 $775 $0.99 45d 1 0.57mi
35 Whitney Ave N Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1144 $1,050 $0.92 22d 1 0.62mi
2624 Oakwood Ave Unit 2632 Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1064 $850 $0.80 22d 1 0.75mi
3143 Mahoning Ave Youngstown, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $1,000 $1.43 22d 1 1.00mi
913 Hawthorne St Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1198 $1,080 $0.90 22d 1 1.06mi
911 Hawthorne St Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1198 $1,080 $0.90 22d 1 1.07mi
546 Breaden St Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 1430 $1,080 $0.76 22d 1 1.08mi
2929 Roy St Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.0 988 $1,100 $1.11 14d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-10
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-27
    listed $69,000 Active
  3. 2024-06-20
    soldstatus $40,000 Closed 222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    24 hour notice required for scheduling No exceptions. Currently rented 600 a month until Sept 2024. Conventional or cash Only. SOLD AS IS. .. Seller will not pay for repairs Great rental property, tons of potential.

  4. 2024-04-23
    status Pending 222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    24 hour notice required for scheduling No exceptions. Currently rented 600 a month until Sept 2024. Conventional or cash Only. SOLD AS IS. .. Seller will not pay for repairs Great rental property, tons of potential.

  5. 2024-04-22
    historical 222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    24 hour notice required for scheduling No exceptions. Currently rented 600 a month until Sept 2024. Conventional or cash Only. SOLD AS IS. .. Seller will not pay for repairs Great rental property, tons of potential.

  6. 2024-04-02
    price $55,000 222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    24 hour notice required for scheduling No exceptions. Currently rented 600 a month until Sept 2024. Conventional or cash Only. SOLD AS IS. .. Seller will not pay for repairs Great rental property, tons of potential.

  7. 2024-03-22
    status Active 222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    24 hour notice required for scheduling No exceptions. Currently rented 600 a month until Sept 2024. Conventional or cash Only. SOLD AS IS. .. Seller will not pay for repairs Great rental property, tons of potential.

  8. 2024-02-15
    status Pending 222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    24 hour notice required for scheduling No exceptions. Currently rented 600 a month until Sept 2024. Conventional or cash Only. SOLD AS IS. .. Seller will not pay for repairs Great rental property, tons of potential.

  9. 2024-02-14
    listed $59,000 Active 222-char remark
    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    24 hour notice required for scheduling No exceptions. Currently rented 600 a month until Sept 2024. Conventional or cash Only. SOLD AS IS. .. Seller will not pay for repairs Great rental property, tons of potential.

  10. 2011-02-17
    soldstatus $20,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,095 · $91/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,095 · $91/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,797
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,095
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$944
− Management
−$944
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$2,597
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$623
After-tax cash flow
$2,914/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Youngstown City
NCES district ID
3904516
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$25,257
Composite
9.29/100
National rank
#9858
State rank
#649 of 656 in OH

Livability — Youngstown

Score
81/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#1506

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Youngstown, OH
County
Mahoning · 224,175 people
City population
28,503
Metro
Youngstown-Warren, OH
Population (ZIP)
10,775
Household income
$36,472
Rent vs Own
39.4% rent · 60.6% own
Severe rent burden
10.4

Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
223,932 people
By 2030
218,387 · -2.5%
By 2040
205,367 · -8.3%
By 2050
193,606 · -13.5%
By 2075
173,694 · -22.4%
By 2100
151,147 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.34%
Current HPI
217.0797
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+238.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-10 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $69,000 MLSNOW
  • 2024-06-20 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MLSNOW
  • 2024-04-23 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2024-04-22 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2024-04-02 Price Changed $55,000 MLSNOW
  • 2024-03-22 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2024-02-15 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2024-02-14 Listed $59,000 MLSNOW
  • 2011-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $20,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,095 · +95.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…