2820 Clara St · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$30,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR FIRST TIME HOME PURCHASE JUST NEED A LITTLE TLC.
Key facts
- Easy flow
- Natural light
- Usable outdoor yard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Built per public records
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Mature trees; Property located outside city limits
Interior
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; Additional bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Carpet and wood flooring; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($895 rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.8% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 73.34%
- DSCR
- 4.26
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $25,515
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2092 Midway St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 748 (+3%) | 18mo | $28,000 | $37 | 73 |
| 2056 Amos St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 812 (+11%) | 9mo | $65,000 | $80 | 63 |
| 2058 Lucas Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 805 (+10%) | 0mo | $28,000 | $35 | 50 |
| 1824 Rigby St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (-10%) | 20mo | $15,000 | $23 | 44 |
| 1818 Rigby St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 832 (+14%) | 7mo | $26,500 | $32 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 73.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.31×
- Total profit
- $27,841
- Equity at exit
- $4,473
- IRR
- 76.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.90×
- Total profit
- $66,368
- Equity at exit
- $2,594
Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36110
- Home prices YoY
- -34.8%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $895 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $286/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$188
- Net cashflow
- $513
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,500
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 Harmon St Unit 2 Montgomery, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $800 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4010 Vandiver Ct Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 630 | $1,050 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 80 Turner Pl Unit 14 Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $750 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1510 Yancey Ave Unit B Montgomery, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $725 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 116 N Lewis St Montgomery, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $875 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1530 Saint Charles Ave Unit B Montgomery, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $775 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $30,000 Pending 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $30,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $30,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $30,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $30,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $30,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$30,000 Active
-
2019-03-06soldstatus $115,000
-
2008-05-09soldstatus $17,500 77-char remark
Show marketing remark (77 chars)
GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR FIRST TIME HOME PURCHASE JUST NEED A LITTLE TLC.
-
2008-04-18$19,500 77-char remark
Show marketing remark (77 chars)
GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR FIRST TIME HOME PURCHASE JUST NEED A LITTLE TLC.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $286 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $286 · $24/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,740
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$286
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$859
- − Management
- −$859
- − Depreciation
- −$873
- Taxable income
- $6,032
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,448
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,713/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,102
- Household income
- $47,315
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 753.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 11% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.37%
- Current HPI
- 66.3114
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+53.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $30,000 MAAR
- 2019-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2008-05-09 Sold (MLS) $17,500 MAAR
- 2008-04-18 Listed $19,500 MAAR
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $286 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…