215 Berlin Rd · Clementon, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,300
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
🏚️🔨 Investor Special in Clementon! Opportunity is knocking with this classic fixer-upper full of potential! Situated on an awesome deep lot with mature trees 🌳, this property is ready for a complete transformation. Whether you’re an investor, contractor, or savvy buyer looking for your next project, this is your chance to bring new life to a home with character and charm. ✨ Features Include: 🛏️ Spacious layout with tons of possibilities 🌞 Enclosed front porch for added living space and charm 🧱 Partial basement offering additional storage potential 🌳 Incredible deep lot with natural privacy 🏡 Charming exterior ready for your vision 🔧 Total rehab needed — customize from top to bot
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 7 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $986 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 4.5% in Clementon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#306 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A-, health & safety B+, cost of living B; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Clementon Elementary School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #383 of 472 in NJ (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 242 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $687 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.53%
- DSCR
- 2.89
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $261,360
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 Berlin Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (0%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $116 | 99 |
| 220 Van Horn Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,170 (+8%) | 2mo | $307,000 | $262 | 79 |
| 38 California Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,061 (-2%) | 3mo | $212,000 | $200 | 69 |
| 46 Watson Blvd | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (+2%) | 3mo | $267,000 | $242 | 65 |
| 155 E Atlantic Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,120 (+4%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $232 | 65 |
| 225 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-7%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $315 | 65 |
| 2 Hazel Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-4%) | 3mo | $295,000 | $284 | 59 |
| 2021 S Brighton Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 979 (-9%) | 0mo | $320,000 | $327 | 49 |
| 23 Indian Spring Rd | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,182 (+9%) | 3mo | $279,000 | $236 | 45 |
| 33 Palmetta Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (+14%) | 7mo | $287,500 | $233 | 41 |
| 20 Elm Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 921 (-15%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $228 | 40 |
| 54 Woodland Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,211 (+12%) | 7mo | $330,000 | $273 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $46,753
- Equity at exit
- $14,806
- IRR
- 45.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.38×
- Total profit
- $121,842
- Equity at exit
- $8,586
Cash invested: $27,804 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08021
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 242
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,116 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$521
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,490/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $986
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,054 | -5% $1,020 | +0% $986 | +5% $951 | +10% $917 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $818 | -5% $902 | +0% $986 | +5% $1,069 | +10% $1,153 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,036 | -0.5pp $1,011 | base $986 | +0.5pp $960 | +1.0pp $934 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,825
- Closing costs
- $2,979
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 267 Berlin Rd Clementon, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $2,400 | $2.91 | 2d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 800 Brand Ave Clementon, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,940 | $2.59 | 0d | 11 | 0.49mi |
| 4 Lincoln Ave Clementon, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,550 | $2.14 | 6d | 2 | 0.66mi |
| 98 Oak St Clementon, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1027 | $2,040 | $1.99 | 0d | 49 | 0.83mi |
| 550 Bilper Ave Lindenwold, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,700 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 136 Colonial Sq Lindenwold, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1380 | $1,950 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 105 Blackwood Clementon Rd Lindenwold, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,600 | $2.00 | 17d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 320 W Branch Ave Pine Hill, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,700 | $1.93 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 828 Blackwood Clementon Rd Pine Hill, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $1,575 | $2.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-05-08$99,300 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,394
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,490
- − Insurance
- −$496
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,032
- − Management
- −$2,032
- − Depreciation
- −$2,889
- Taxable income
- $10,894
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,615
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,212/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clementon Elementary School District
- NCES district ID
- 3403240
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,251
- Composite
- 22.91/100
- National rank
- #7999
- State rank
- #383 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Clementon
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #306
- US rank
- #9433
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clementon, NJ
- County
- Camden County · 407,624 people
- City population
- 49,060
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,305
- Household income
- $68,044
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3050.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Chinese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.73%
- Current HPI
- 338.8351
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.02%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $99,300 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $5,445 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…