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215 Berlin Rd
B- Composite 68.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,300

215 Berlin Rd · Clementon, NJ 08021
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1900 10,402 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

🏚️🔨 Investor Special in Clementon! Opportunity is knocking with this classic fixer-upper full of potential! Situated on an awesome deep lot with mature trees 🌳, this property is ready for a complete transformation. Whether you’re an investor, contractor, or savvy buyer looking for your next project, this is your chance to bring new life to a home with character and charm. ✨ Features Include: 🛏️ Spacious layout with tons of possibilities 🌞 Enclosed front porch for added living space and charm 🧱 Partial basement offering additional storage potential 🌳 Incredible deep lot with natural privacy 🏡 Charming exterior ready for your vision 🔧 Total rehab needed — customize from top to bot

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 7 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $986 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
  • Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 4.5% in Clementon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#306 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A-, health & safety B+, cost of living B; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Clementon Elementary School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #383 of 472 in NJ (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 242 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $687 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,300

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.13%
Cap rate
18.20%
Cash-on-cash
42.53%
DSCR
2.89
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$261,360
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
215 Berlin Rd 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,080 (0%) 1mo $125,000 $116 99
220 Van Horn Ave 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,170 (+8%) 2mo $307,000 $262 79
38 California Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,061 (-2%) 3mo $212,000 $200 69
46 Watson Blvd 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,104 (+2%) 3mo $267,000 $242 65
155 E Atlantic Ave 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,120 (+4%) 8mo $260,000 $232 65
225 Pennsylvania Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-7%) 2mo $315,000 $315 65
2 Hazel Ln 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,040 (-4%) 3mo $295,000 $284 59
2021 S Brighton Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 979 (-9%) 0mo $320,000 $327 49
23 Indian Spring Rd 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,182 (+9%) 3mo $279,000 $236 45
33 Palmetta Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,232 (+14%) 7mo $287,500 $233 41
20 Elm Ave 0.63mi 3/1.0 921 (-15%) 7mo $210,000 $228 40
54 Woodland Ave 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,211 (+12%) 7mo $330,000 $273 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.02% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.3%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$46,753
Equity at exit
$14,806
10-year hold
IRR
45.7%
Equity multiple
5.38×
Total profit
$121,842
Equity at exit
$8,586

Cash invested: $27,804 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08021

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
242
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,116 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$521
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,490/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$444
Net cashflow
$986

Break-even live

Break-even rent $869
Max offer price $99,300
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,054 -5% $1,020 +0% $986 +5% $951 +10% $917
Rent -10% $818 -5% $902 +0% $986 +5% $1,069 +10% $1,153
Rate -1.0pp $1,036 -0.5pp $1,011 base $986 +0.5pp $960 +1.0pp $934

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,825
Closing costs
$2,979
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
267 Berlin Rd Clementon, NJ 3.0 1.0 825 $2,400 $2.91 2d 1 0.19mi
800 Brand Ave Clementon, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $1,940 $2.59 0d 11 0.49mi
4 Lincoln Ave Clementon, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $1,550 $2.14 6d 2 0.66mi
98 Oak St Clementon, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1027 $2,040 $1.99 0d 49 0.83mi
550 Bilper Ave Lindenwold, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 950 $1,700 $1.79 25d 1 0.86mi
136 Colonial Sq Lindenwold, NJ 3.0 1.5 1380 $1,950 $1.41 25d 1 1.11mi
105 Blackwood Clementon Rd Lindenwold, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,600 $2.00 17d 1 1.21mi
320 W Branch Ave Pine Hill, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 882 $1,700 $1.93 25d 1 1.36mi
828 Blackwood Clementon Rd Pine Hill, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 734 $1,575 $2.15 23d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-08
    listed $99,300 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,394
− Mortgage interest
−$5,562
− Property taxes
−$1,490
− Insurance
−$496
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,032
− Management
−$2,032
− Depreciation
−$2,889
Taxable income
$10,894
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,615
After-tax cash flow
$9,212/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clementon Elementary School District
NCES district ID
3403240
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -24.00%
Median HH income
$47,251
Composite
22.91/100
National rank
#7999
State rank
#383 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Clementon

Score
68/100
State rank
#306
US rank
#9433

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime C+ Employment C Housing A- Health & safety B+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clementon, NJ
County
Camden County · 407,624 people
City population
49,060
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
49,305
Household income
$68,044
Rent vs Own
53.3% rent · 46.7% own
Severe rent burden
3050.0

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
507,964 people
By 2030
502,182 · -1.1%
By 2040
485,602 · -4.4%
By 2050
465,630 · -8.3%
By 2075
419,986 · -17.3%
By 2100
369,492 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% Chinese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.73%
Current HPI
338.8351
Rent YoY
▲ 3.02%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $99,300 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,445 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…