CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
419 Church St NE
B Composite 71.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0

$55,580

419 Church St NE · Dawson, GA 39842
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,994 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1906 0.41 ac lot ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention Investors!.Price Reduction - Exceptional Investment Opportunity. Property sold As-Is, ideal as a project to be completed and maximize its full potential. Buyer to perform all due diligence and independently verify all property information. The property has partial progress, providing a strategic advantage by potentially reducing scope, costs, and execution time. Seller and Broker make no warranties. Send your offers!!!.

Key facts

  • 0.41 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1906

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community features listed as Other

Exterior

  • Parking: Two garage spaces; Two carport spaces; Parking includes garage, carport and parking lot
  • Utilities: Water source listed as Other; Sewer listed as Other; Electric service listed as Other; Utilities listed as Other
  • Home design: Two-level home; Raised foundation; Entry/facing details not specified
  • Construction: Construction materials listed as Other; Roof listed as Other
  • Exterior features: Patio; Property condition: fixer; Other structures present; Road frontage on a city street; Asphalt road surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen features listed as Other; Appliances listed as Other
  • Bedrooms: Four lower-level bedrooms; Two upper-level bedrooms; Bedroom features listed as Other
  • Flooring: Flooring listed as Other
  • Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms; Three main-level bathrooms; One upper-level full bathroom; Master bathroom features listed as Other
  • Heating & cooling: Heating listed as Other; Cooling listed as Other
  • Interior features: High 9-ft ceilings on lower level; Four fireplaces (brick fireplace in family room); Crawl space foundation
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry features listed as Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $56k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $887 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $56k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#508 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Terrell County (rural): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #167 of 174 in GA (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cooper-Carver Elementary School (math 11% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,041 of 1,228 statewide, top 87%, 482 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 79% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Terrell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($384 loan paydown + $870 appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
  • Terrell County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $94k (63%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $53,912 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.85%
Cap rate
25.44%
Cash-on-cash
68.40%
DSCR
4.04
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
71.8%
Equity multiple
4.80×
Total profit
$59,097
Equity at exit
$20,625
10-year hold
IRR
72.4%
Equity multiple
9.78×
Total profit
$136,644
Equity at exit
$28,733

Cash invested: $15,562 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 39842

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,581 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$291
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $571/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$887

Break-even live

Break-even rent $459
Max offer price $55,580
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $918 -5% $903 +0% $887 +5% $871 +10% $856
Rent -10% $762 -5% $825 +0% $887 +5% $949 +10% $1,012
Rate -1.0pp $915 -0.5pp $901 base $887 +0.5pp $873 +1.0pp $858

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,895
Closing costs
$1,667
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $55,580 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $55,580 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,580 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,580 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,580 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,580 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $55,580 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,580 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $55,580 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,580 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,580 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,580 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $55,580 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,580 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,580 Active 39 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $55,580 Active 38 DOM
    Show marketing remark (438 chars)

    Attention Investors!.Price Reduction - Exceptional Investment Opportunity. Property sold As-Is, ideal as a project to be completed and maximize its full potential. Buyer to perform all due diligence and independently verify all property information. The property has partial progress, providing a strategic advantage by potentially reducing scope, costs, and execution time. Seller and Broker make no warranties. Send your offers!!!.

  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,580 Active 37 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,580 Active 36 DOM
  19. 2026-05-08
    price $59,580 438-char remark
    Show marketing remark (438 chars)

    Attention Investors!.Price Reduction - Exceptional Investment Opportunity. Property sold As-Is, ideal as a project to be completed and maximize its full potential. Buyer to perform all due diligence and independently verify all property information. The property has partial progress, providing a strategic advantage by potentially reducing scope, costs, and execution time. Seller and Broker make no warranties. Send your offers!!!.

  20. 2026-05-08
    price $59,580 407-char remark
    Show marketing remark (438 chars)

    Attention Investors!.Price Reduction - Exceptional Investment Opportunity. Property sold As-Is, ideal as a project to be completed and maximize its full potential. Buyer to perform all due diligence and independently verify all property information. The property has partial progress, providing a strategic advantage by potentially reducing scope, costs, and execution time. Seller and Broker make no warranties. Send your offers!!!.

  21. 2026-04-23
    listed $150,000 New 438-char remark
    Show marketing remark (438 chars)

    Attention Investors!.Price Reduction - Exceptional Investment Opportunity. Property sold As-Is, ideal as a project to be completed and maximize its full potential. Buyer to perform all due diligence and independently verify all property information. The property has partial progress, providing a strategic advantage by potentially reducing scope, costs, and execution time. Seller and Broker make no warranties. Send your offers!!!.

  22. 2026-04-23
    listed $150,000 Active 407-char remark
    Show marketing remark (438 chars)

    Attention Investors!.Price Reduction - Exceptional Investment Opportunity. Property sold As-Is, ideal as a project to be completed and maximize its full potential. Buyer to perform all due diligence and independently verify all property information. The property has partial progress, providing a strategic advantage by potentially reducing scope, costs, and execution time. Seller and Broker make no warranties. Send your offers!!!.

  23. 2025-06-18
    soldstatus $132,000
  24. 2025-04-07
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    Investor Special! Don’t miss out on this charming, spacious 6-bedroom, 4-bathroom home in the heart of historic Dawson, GA. Priced at just $65,000, this property offers incredible potential for the savvy investor. Act fast, opportunities like this don’t last long!

  25. 2025-04-04
    soldstatus $50,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    Investor Special! Don’t miss out on this charming, spacious 6-bedroom, 4-bathroom home in the heart of historic Dawson, GA. Priced at just $65,000, this property offers incredible potential for the savvy investor. Act fast, opportunities like this don’t last long!

  26. 2025-04-04
    soldstatus $50,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    Investor Special! Don’t miss out on this charming, spacious 6-bedroom, 4-bathroom home in the heart of historic Dawson, GA. Priced at just $65,000, this property offers incredible potential for the savvy investor. Act fast, opportunities like this don’t last long!

  27. 2025-03-29
    status Under Contract
  28. 2025-03-24
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    Investor Special! Don’t miss out on this charming, spacious 6-bedroom, 4-bathroom home in the heart of historic Dawson, GA. Priced at just $65,000, this property offers incredible potential for the savvy investor. Act fast, opportunities like this don’t last long!

  29. 2025-03-09
    price $55,000
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    Investor Special! Don’t miss out on this charming, spacious 6-bedroom, 4-bathroom home in the heart of historic Dawson, GA. Priced at just $65,000, this property offers incredible potential for the savvy investor. Act fast, opportunities like this don’t last long!

  30. 2025-03-09
    price $55,000
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    Investor Special! Don’t miss out on this charming, spacious 6-bedroom, 4-bathroom home in the heart of historic Dawson, GA. Priced at just $65,000, this property offers incredible potential for the savvy investor. Act fast, opportunities like this don’t last long!

  31. 2025-01-09
    listed $65,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    Investor Special! Don’t miss out on this charming, spacious 6-bedroom, 4-bathroom home in the heart of historic Dawson, GA. Priced at just $65,000, this property offers incredible potential for the savvy investor. Act fast, opportunities like this don’t last long!

  32. 2025-01-09
    listed $65,000 New
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    Investor Special! Don’t miss out on this charming, spacious 6-bedroom, 4-bathroom home in the heart of historic Dawson, GA. Priced at just $65,000, this property offers incredible potential for the savvy investor. Act fast, opportunities like this don’t last long!

  33. 2001-11-02
    soldstatus $62,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$571 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$571 · $48/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,976
− Mortgage interest
−$3,113
− Property taxes
−$571
− Insurance
−$278
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,518
− Management
−$1,518
− Depreciation
−$1,617
Taxable income
$10,361
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,487
After-tax cash flow
$8,158/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Terrell County
NCES district ID
1304860
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$31,887
Composite
7.87/100
National rank
#9928
State rank
#167 of 174 in GA

Livability — Dawson

Score
55/100
State rank
#508
US rank
#23135

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dawson, GA
Population (ZIP)
7,780

Population outlook (Terrell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,041 people
By 2030
7,444 · -7.4%
By 2040
6,339 · -21.2%
By 2050
5,415 · -32.7%
By 2075
4,220 · -47.5%
By 2100
3,750 · -53.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Terrell

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.9% · R 47.8%
2008→2024 swing
-9.7pp toward R · 2008: 13.8pp · 2024: 4.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.1 2020: D+8.4 2016: D+9.4 2012: D+16.1 2008: D+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.56%
Current HPI
190.252
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.4% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $55,580 GAMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $55,580 FMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $59,580 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $59,580 FMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $150,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $150,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $132,000 Public Records
  • 2025-04-07 Pending FMLS
  • 2025-04-04 Sold (MLS) $50,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-04-04 Sold (MLS) $50,000 FMLS
  • 2025-03-29 Pending GAMLS
  • 2025-03-24 Pending FMLS
  • 2025-03-09 Price Changed $55,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-03-09 Price Changed $55,000 FMLS
  • 2025-01-09 Listed $65,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-01-09 Listed $65,000 FMLS
  • 2001-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $571 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…