Duplex
171 Beach 96 St · New York, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$799,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
TEN YR TAX ABATE, CALL JUDITH OR KENNY 748-3331,BRAND NEW CONSTRUCTION, WLK TO BEACH (OCEAN VIEW)2 HW TANKS, 2 BOILERS, 2 SEP BLBD AND GAS SVC, 3/4BTH IN MBD, SPACIOUS, BUYERS SOPTION 2 FAM$260,000, 3 FAM $270,000, CHOICE F COLOR OF CRPT,A/C SLEEVES, UPGRADES AVAIL, TILT-IN WNDOWS,DOUBLE INSULATED, BTHS, CT, W/I CLSTS, UPCOMINGAREA, NR TRAINS, SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, ALL FLOORPLANS AND MORE IN OFFICE,
Key facts
- 2,000 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1996
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/2.0ba + 1×3bd/2.0ba units multifamily listed at $799k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $781 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $391/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $741k (7.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $741k (7.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $85k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $80k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $224k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$137k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($775k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $253k; list at $799k implies a 216% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.55%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,077,120
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150 Beach 93rd St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,773 (-13%) | 9mo | $936,500 | $528 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $484,765
- Equity at exit
- $719,803
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.20×
- Total profit
- $1,388,082
- Equity at exit
- $1,552,281
Cash invested: $223,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11693
- Home prices YoY
- 17.7%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 18.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,408 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,190
- Tax from tax record
- −$481 /mo · $5,777/yr
- Insurance
- −$333
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,556
- Net cashflow
- $781
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,234 | -5% $1,008 | +0% $781 | +5% $555 | +10% $329 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $196 | -5% $489 | +0% $781 | +5% $1,074 | +10% $1,367 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,184 | -0.5pp $985 | base $781 | +0.5pp $574 | +1.0pp $364 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 2 | $3,660 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 2 | $3,748 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,408 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $199,750
- Closing costs
- $23,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-76 Beach 97th St Unit 3 Rockaway Beach, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $4,000 | $2.67 | 8d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 2-27R Beach 99th St Rockaway Park, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2208 | $3,500 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 75-18 Aquatic Dr Unit B Arverne, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2034 | $3,500 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 6935 Hessler Ave Arverne, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1596 | $3,300 | $2.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-02-26status Active
-
2026-02-06$799,000 Active
-
2026-02-05historical $799,000
-
1998-10-28soldstatus $253,000
-
1997-08-25$239,990 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
TEN YR TAX ABATE, CALL JUDITH OR KENNY 748-3331,BRAND NEW CONSTRUCTION, WLK TO BEACH (OCEAN VIEW)2 HW TANKS, 2 BOILERS, 2 SEP BLBD AND GAS SVC, 3/4BTH IN MBD, SPACIOUS, BUYERS SOPTION 2 FAM$260,000, 3 FAM $270,000, CHOICE F COLOR OF CRPT,A/C SLEEVES, UPGRADES AVAIL, TILT-IN WNDOWS,DOUBLE INSULATED, BTHS, CT, W/I CLSTS, UPCOMINGAREA, NR TRAINS, SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, ALL FLOORPLANS AND MORE IN OFFICE,
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,777 · $481/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,640 · $803/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,863/yr (+$322/mo · 66.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $88,896
- − Mortgage interest
- −$44,756
- − Property taxes
- −$5,777
- − Insurance
- −$4,792
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,112
- − Management
- −$7,112
- − Depreciation
- −$23,244
- Taxable loss
- −$3,897
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$935
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,313/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,066
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 16% Russian/Polish/Slavic 8% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 121.58%
- Current HPI
- 807.44
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+232.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Listed $799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-05 Coming Soon $799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $253,000 Public Records
- 1997-08-25 Listed $239,990 BNYMLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $5,777 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…