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19932 Auten Rd
D- Composite 36.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

19932 Auten Rd · South Bend, IN 46637
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,073 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1924 7,050 sqft lot Est $163k · 23% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice Remodeled 3 Bedroom and 2 Bath home with a basement and a 2 car Garage comes with a Microwave, Fridge, Stove and Built in dish washer. Nice open concept living room area and kitchen. New Roof on the house, New Furnace, New hot water heater, New Sliding, New windows also new plumbing.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Engineered flooring
  • Newer roof

Tags

UPDATED STANDALONE TILE SHOWEROPEN UPDATED KITCHENENGINEERED FLOORINGNEWER ROOFNEWER WINDOWSCOVERED FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Built on a full basement
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas range
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Ceiling fans; Laminate countertops; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Main-level laundry; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $147 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (10.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $180k (10.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.3% in South Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
  • South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Darden Elementary School (math 12% / reading 16%, grade F, #874 of 994 statewide, top 89%, 522 students, 78% FRL); Lasalle Academy (math 23% / reading 53%, grade F, #136 of 330 statewide, top 44%, 488 students, 56% FRL); Clay High School (math 17% / reading 52%, grade F, #270 of 369 statewide, top 77%, 628 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 16% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the South Bend Community School Corporation average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $179,500 (10.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.14%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$163,096
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20139 Oakdale Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (+1%) 13mo $200,000 $185 69
20066 Sarah St 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,065 (-1%) 16mo $102,000 $96 66
19602 Greenacre St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+1%) 5mo $169,900 $157 65
51651 Hollyhock Rd 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,120 (+4%) 3mo $163,000 $146 61
19959 Kelley St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,086 (+1%) 9mo $112,000 $103 57
19572 Oakdale Ave 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,164 (+8%) 19mo $240,000 $206 54
19801 Greenacre St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 984 (-8%) 2mo $175,000 $178 50
19638 Auten Rd 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,218 (+14%) 20mo $120,000 $99 45
52090 Oakland Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,012 (-6%) 20mo $205,000 $203 44
19225 Auten Rd 0.66mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,172 (+9%) 17mo $178,500 $152 34
19204 Helen Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 984 (-8%) 20mo $145,000 $147 32
19444 Greenacre St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,212 (+13%) 8mo $162,500 $134 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-23,098
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-8,257
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46637

Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,795 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$140 /mo · $1,679/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$377
Net cashflow
$147

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,609
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $260 -5% $203 +0% $147 +5% $90 +10% $33
Rent -10% $5 -5% $76 +0% $147 +5% $217 +10% $288
Rate -1.0pp $247 -0.5pp $197 base $147 +0.5pp $95 +1.0pp $42

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
924 Merrill Ct S Unit 924 South Bend, IN 2.0 1.5 1263 $1,795 $1.42 15d 1 0.61mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $199,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $199,900 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 693-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $199,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,679 · $140/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,689 · $141/mo
Expected delta
+$10/yr (+$1/mo · 0.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,540
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$1,679
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,723
− Management
−$1,723
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$1,597
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$383
After-tax cash flow
$2,142/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Bend Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1810290
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$41,935
Composite
14.21/100
National rank
#9452
State rank
#284 of 301 in IN

Livability — South Bend

Score
64/100
State rank
#365
US rank
#13730

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
99,767
Population (ZIP)
16,079

Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
273,186 people
By 2030
273,594 · +0.1%
By 2040
271,641 · -0.6%
By 2050
269,187 · -1.5%
By 2075
263,136 · -3.7%
By 2100
245,659 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 17% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Italian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.33%
Current HPI
210.1124
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $199,900 IRMLS
  • 2023-11-21 Sold (MLS) $185,000 IRMLS
  • 2023-09-25 Pending IRMLS
  • 2023-09-07 Price Changed $194,500 IRMLS
  • 2023-08-14 Listed $199,999 IRMLS

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,679 · +267.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…