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168 Castle Dr
B Composite 72.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

168 Castle Dr · Gainesville, FL 32607
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Other · 3 Days on market
Built 1996 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

We are selling our well-loved home, and it & acirc; & euro; & trade; s truly ready for a new chapter! My husband is a professional maintenance man, and we have spent the last three years keeping everything in great condition. We are needing to relocate for career reasons. It isn & acirc; & euro; & trade; t a brand-new house, but it & acirc; & euro; & trade; s solid, comfortable, and close to everything you could need. What & acirc; & euro; & trade; s included: Roof (4 yrs old) & amp; AC (3 yrs old). Updated flooring throughout (3 yrs old). Upgraded kitchen appliances. Well maintained washer/dryer. 10x10 storage shed (2 yrs old). Parcel loc

Key facts

  • Roof 4 yrs old
  • Ac 3 yrs old
  • Updated flooring

Tags

ROOF 4 YRS OLDAC 3 YRS OLDUPDATED FLOORINGUPGRADED KITCHEN APPLIANCESWELL MAINTAINED WASHER DRYER10X10 STORAGE SHED 2 YRS OLD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $876 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in FL, #1,480 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Alachua (urban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #30 of 73 in FL (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 245 active listings in the ZIP; 1,774 units permitted in Alachua County in 2024 (984 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Alachua County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.58%
Cap rate
22.47%
Cash-on-cash
57.77%
DSCR
3.57
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.6%
Equity multiple
3.27×
Total profit
$41,337
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
57.8%
Equity multiple
6.08×
Total profit
$92,478
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32607

Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
245
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,678 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$352
Net cashflow
$876

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    remarks 647-char remark
  4. 2026-06-16
    listed $65,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,132
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,611
− Management
−$1,611
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$10,079
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,419
After-tax cash flow
$8,095/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with recent updates and maintenance. It is ready for a new owner and can be enhanced with a fresh coat of paint to boost its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Clean and maintain gutters — Keeps the home looking well-maintained and can prevent water damage

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Clean and maintain gutters — Keeps the home looking well-maintained and can prevent water damage

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alachua
NCES district ID
1200030
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,683
Composite
43.31/100
National rank
#3038
State rank
#30 of 73 in FL

Livability — Gainesville

Score
81/100
State rank
#97
US rank
#1480

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Alachua County · 218,005 people
City population
188,348
Metro
Gainesville, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,720
Household income
$45,987
Rent vs Own
66.0% rent · 34.0% own
Severe rent burden
3418.0

Population outlook (Alachua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
289,834 people
By 2030
305,873 · +5.5%
By 2040
335,246 · +15.7%
By 2050
364,719 · +25.8%
By 2075
436,665 · +50.7%
By 2100
482,920 · +66.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Alachua

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.7% · R 38.8% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-0.6pp no change · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: 21.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.0 2020: D+27.2 2016: D+22.5 2012: D+17.3 2008: D+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -177.86%
Current HPI
270.183
Rent YoY
▲ 0.60%
Metro
Gainesville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $65,000 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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