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4509 Sandage Ave
C Composite 56.93
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

4509 Sandage Ave · Fort Worth, TX 76115
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,132 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 85 Days on market
Built 1954 7,013 sqft lot $141/sqft · 16% below area Est $190k · 16% under ↓ 28% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fort Worth investment opportunity in a high-demand Section 8 area! This vacant, value-add property is sold strictly AS-IS and subject to third-party approval. Perfect for investors looking to expand their rental portfolio with a recession-resistant asset, this home offers a functional layout and a solid foundation for your custom updates. Benefit from the reliable, government-backed cash flow that the local housing voucher market provides. The property features a spacious living area, well-sized bedrooms, and a large backyard with immense potential for equity-building improvements. Conveniently located near major Fort Worth highways, shopping, and dining, it’s an ideal location for long-term tenant retention. The seller will make no repairs and seeks a buyer comfortable with third-party timelines. Submit your highest and best offer today!

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Mature surroundings
  • Functional layout

Tags

FORT WORTH NEIGHBORHOODFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTSPACIOUS LIVING AREASGENEROUS LOTMATURE SURROUNDINGSMAJOR HIGHWAYS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
  • Fort Worth ISD (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #742 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
7.60%
Cash-on-cash
4.65%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$189,867
List price
$160,000
Delta
-15.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4425 Sandage Ave 0.06mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,113 (-2%) 9mo $179,800 $162 82
2904 Creston Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-5%) 2mo $219,000 $203 70
2805 Cordone St 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,126 (-0%) 6mo $205,000 $182 64
4709 Mccart Ave 0.21mi 3/1.0 983 (-13%) 7mo $165,750 $169 63
4429 Rutland Ave 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,186 (+5%) 4mo $195,000 $164 59
4836 Sandage Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 995 (-12%) 6mo $225,000 $226 53
4505 Stadium Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,042 (-8%) 9mo $207,900 $200 51
4417 Odessa Ave 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,231 (+9%) 3mo $245,000 $199 50
4924 Sandage Ave 0.48mi 3/2.0 983 (-13%) 6mo $157,000 $160 46
4416 Surrey St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,034 (-9%) 9mo $199,750 $193 46
2720 Martin Lydon Ave 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,291 (+14%) 8mo $249,997 $194 44
5050 Lubbock Ave 0.64mi 3/1.5 1,271 (+12%) 8mo $200,000 $157 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.0%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-14,764
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,800
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76115

Home prices YoY
-6.0%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,774 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$322 /mo · $3,862/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$372
Net cashflow
$174

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,554
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2800 W Fuller Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 1.5 1161 $1,650 $1.42 43d 1 0.24mi
2908 Binyon Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 1.0 1249 $1,775 $1.42 24d 1 0.35mi
3104 Medina Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1355 $1,850 $1.37 22d 1 0.46mi
4201 William Fleming Ct W Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.5–2.0 865 $1,450 $1.68 1d 104 0.48mi
4113 McCart Ave Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 807 $1,375 $1.70 43d 1 0.49mi
3259 Binyon Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 1.0 1260 $2,200 $1.75 13d 1 0.57mi
4904 Odessa Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1360 $2,050 $1.51 24d 1 0.66mi
4256 Standish Rd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1392 $1,650 $1.19 24d 1 0.79mi
3401 Leith Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1425 $1,800 $1.26 4d 1 0.88mi
4318 Baldwin Ave Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 730 $1,399 $1.92 43d 1 0.92mi
4316 Baldwin Ave Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 730 $1,399 $1.92 43d 3 0.93mi
4129 Winfield Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1465 $2,580 $1.76 2d 1 0.94mi
4321 Baldwin Ave Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 730 $1,399 $1.92 43d 1 0.95mi
4317 Baldwin Ave Fort Worth, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 642 $1,399 $2.18 43d 2 0.96mi
4228 Winfield Ave Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1486 $3,500 $2.36 18d 1 1.06mi
1000 W Hammond St Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,600 $1.78 24d 1 1.10mi
4317 Clay Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 1.0 1240 $1,995 $1.61 24d 1 1.11mi
4152 Anita Ave Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 1112 $1,995 $1.79 18d 1 1.12mi
2809 South Hills Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1203 $1,650 $1.37 43d 1 1.22mi
2809 South Hills Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1203 $1,650 $1.37 18d 1 1.22mi
5612 James Ave Fort Worth, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 824 $1,700 $2.06 3d 8 1.24mi
3559 Norfolk Rd Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 1223 $2,100 $1.72 43d 1 1.31mi
3437 Stanley Ave Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 43d 1 1.34mi
1232 Cameron St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,595 $1.37 17d 1 1.34mi
1232 Cameron St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,595 $1.37 43d 1 1.34mi
3745 Willomet Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1302 $1,795 $1.38 6d 1 1.36mi
3419 S University Dr Unit D Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,095 $1.22 16d 1 1.37mi
3417 S University Dr Unit D Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,235 $1.37 43d 1 1.38mi
3417 S University Dr Unit A Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 1059 $1,095 $1.03 4d 1 1.38mi
2505 Benbrook Blvd Unit 503 Fort Worth, TX 3.0 3.0 1367 $2,495 $1.83 43d 1 1.42mi
3324 S University Dr Unit Down Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 1312 $1,600 $1.22 4d 1 1.43mi
3411 8th Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1280 $1,700 $1.33 4d 1 1.44mi
1205 Hamsted St Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 768 $1,590 $2.07 22d 1 1.45mi
3301 S University Dr Unit C Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 24d 1 1.47mi
3827 Cornish Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1428 $1,299 $0.91 4d 1 1.48mi
3259 S University Dr Unit A Fort Worth, TX 3.0 3.0 1490 $2,495 $1.67 43d 1 1.49mi
3241 Sandage Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1115 $3,000 $2.69 18d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 85 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 84 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 83 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $160,000 Active 80 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 76 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 75 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 74 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $175,000 Active 71 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 70 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 69 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 68 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 67 DOM
  14. 2026-05-15
    price $175,000 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Fort Worth investment opportunity in a high-demand Section 8 area! This vacant, value-add property is sold strictly AS-IS and subject to third-party approval. Perfect for investors looking to expand their rental portfolio with a recession-resistant asset, this home offers a functional layout and a solid foundation for your custom updates. Benefit from the reliable, government-backed cash flow that the local housing voucher market provides. The property features a spacious living area, well-sized bedrooms, and a large backyard with immense potential for equity-building improvements. Conveniently located near major Fort Worth highways, shopping, and dining, it’s an ideal location for long-term tenant retention. The seller will make no repairs and seeks a buyer comfortable with third-party timelines. Submit your highest and best offer today!

  15. 2026-05-08
    price $185,000 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Fort Worth investment opportunity in a high-demand Section 8 area! This vacant, value-add property is sold strictly AS-IS and subject to third-party approval. Perfect for investors looking to expand their rental portfolio with a recession-resistant asset, this home offers a functional layout and a solid foundation for your custom updates. Benefit from the reliable, government-backed cash flow that the local housing voucher market provides. The property features a spacious living area, well-sized bedrooms, and a large backyard with immense potential for equity-building improvements. Conveniently located near major Fort Worth highways, shopping, and dining, it’s an ideal location for long-term tenant retention. The seller will make no repairs and seeks a buyer comfortable with third-party timelines. Submit your highest and best offer today!

  16. 2026-05-04
    price $195,000 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Fort Worth investment opportunity in a high-demand Section 8 area! This vacant, value-add property is sold strictly AS-IS and subject to third-party approval. Perfect for investors looking to expand their rental portfolio with a recession-resistant asset, this home offers a functional layout and a solid foundation for your custom updates. Benefit from the reliable, government-backed cash flow that the local housing voucher market provides. The property features a spacious living area, well-sized bedrooms, and a large backyard with immense potential for equity-building improvements. Conveniently located near major Fort Worth highways, shopping, and dining, it’s an ideal location for long-term tenant retention. The seller will make no repairs and seeks a buyer comfortable with third-party timelines. Submit your highest and best offer today!

  17. 2026-04-24
    price $218,000 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Fort Worth investment opportunity in a high-demand Section 8 area! This vacant, value-add property is sold strictly AS-IS and subject to third-party approval. Perfect for investors looking to expand their rental portfolio with a recession-resistant asset, this home offers a functional layout and a solid foundation for your custom updates. Benefit from the reliable, government-backed cash flow that the local housing voucher market provides. The property features a spacious living area, well-sized bedrooms, and a large backyard with immense potential for equity-building improvements. Conveniently located near major Fort Worth highways, shopping, and dining, it’s an ideal location for long-term tenant retention. The seller will make no repairs and seeks a buyer comfortable with third-party timelines. Submit your highest and best offer today!

  18. 2026-04-16
    price $229,900 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Fort Worth investment opportunity in a high-demand Section 8 area! This vacant, value-add property is sold strictly AS-IS and subject to third-party approval. Perfect for investors looking to expand their rental portfolio with a recession-resistant asset, this home offers a functional layout and a solid foundation for your custom updates. Benefit from the reliable, government-backed cash flow that the local housing voucher market provides. The property features a spacious living area, well-sized bedrooms, and a large backyard with immense potential for equity-building improvements. Conveniently located near major Fort Worth highways, shopping, and dining, it’s an ideal location for long-term tenant retention. The seller will make no repairs and seeks a buyer comfortable with third-party timelines. Submit your highest and best offer today!

  19. 2026-03-24
    listed $242,000 Active 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Fort Worth investment opportunity in a high-demand Section 8 area! This vacant, value-add property is sold strictly AS-IS and subject to third-party approval. Perfect for investors looking to expand their rental portfolio with a recession-resistant asset, this home offers a functional layout and a solid foundation for your custom updates. Benefit from the reliable, government-backed cash flow that the local housing voucher market provides. The property features a spacious living area, well-sized bedrooms, and a large backyard with immense potential for equity-building improvements. Conveniently located near major Fort Worth highways, shopping, and dining, it’s an ideal location for long-term tenant retention. The seller will make no repairs and seeks a buyer comfortable with third-party timelines. Submit your highest and best offer today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,862 · $322/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,862 · $322/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,284
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$3,862
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,703
− Management
−$1,703
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$400
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$96
After-tax cash flow
$2,180/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Worth ISD
NCES district ID
4819700
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$42,109
Composite
19.61/100
National rank
#8753
State rank
#742 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

Score
80/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Worth, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
911,619
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
19,655
Household income
$52,411
Rent vs Own
53.2% rent · 46.8% own
Severe rent burden
859.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 35% White 11% Black 11% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 66%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Arab 1%
Foreign-born
36% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
32% English-only · Spanish 62% Korean 3% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.05%
Current HPI
363.5732
Rent YoY
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-27.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $175,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $185,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $195,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $218,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $229,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $242,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,862 · -12.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…