603 A Wesley Ave #A · Ocean City, NJ
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,099,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ocean City property in the heart of town! This hard to find 5-bedroom, 2-bathroom beauty is move-in ready with an updated kitchen and bath, strong rental history, and a perfect corner spot across from Veterans Park. Enjoy a fenced yard, sunny deck, outdoor shower, and all the charm of beach living in a location that is a quick walk to the beach, boardwalk, downtown, farmers market grounds, playgrounds, and The Ocean City Civic Center. August rental income through Airbnb and VRBO: $650 Sun–Thurs; $852 Fri–Sat; $4,954 per week!
Key facts
- Sunny deck
- Fenced yard
- Quick walk to beach
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $1.10M. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-498 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.03M (6.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $952k (13.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $952k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.4% in Ocean City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#72 in NJ, #1,762 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing D+, cost of living F.
- Ocean City School District (urban): math 31% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #212 of 472 in NJ (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ocean City Primary School (math 54% / reading 42%, grade D, #299 of 1,303 statewide, top 23%, 280 students, 31% FRL); Ocean City Intermediate School (math 26% / reading 49%, grade F, #217 of 431 statewide, top 51%, 370 students, 27% FRL); Ocean City High School (math 33% / reading 63%, grade D, #117 of 399 statewide, top 30%, 1,215 students, 13% FRL) — zoned schools at 24% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 514 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,524/mo this rent would consume 112% of the median local household income ($102k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $33k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.03M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.28%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,298,267
- List price
- $1,099,000
- Delta
- -15.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323 Ocean Ave #2 | 0.28mi | 5/2.0 | 2,004 (-7%) | 2mo | $1,045,000 | $521 | 74 |
| 841 Pelham Pl | 0.20mi | 5/5.0 | 2,100 (-2%) | 2mo | $1,999,999 | $952 | 73 |
| 1908 Central Ave #1 | 1.42mi | 5/2.5 | 2,072 (-4%) | 3mo | $1,610,000 | $777 | 54 |
| 343 Central Ave | 0.25mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,700 (-21%) | 3mo | $1,140,000 | $671 | 52 |
| 343 Central Ave Ave #2 | 0.25mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,700 (-21%) | 3mo | $1,140,000 | $671 | 52 |
| 69 Sunset Pl | 1.09mi | 5/3.5 | 1,950 (-9%) | 2mo | $2,180,000 | $1,118 | 42 |
| 1553 West Ave | 1.05mi | 5/3.5 | 2,400 (+12%) | 1mo | $1,950,000 | $813 | 39 |
| 31 Ocean Ave #B | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,633 (-24%) | 5mo | $1,330,000 | $814 | 37 |
| 309 E Surf Rd | 0.86mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,400 (+12%) | 2mo | $3,150,000 | $1,313 | 35 |
| 801 Saint James Pl | 0.60mi | 5/4.5 | 2,600 (+21%) | 3mo | $3,200,000 | $1,231 | 34 |
| 1721 Central Ave #1st Floor | 1.22mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,689 (-22%) | 2mo | $1,649,000 | $976 | 31 |
| 118 Ocean Rd | 0.81mi | 6/2.5 (+1) | 1,792 (-17%) | 5mo | $1,600,000 | $893 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-209,367
- Equity at exit
- $163,864
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-221,467
- Equity at exit
- $95,021
Cash invested: $307,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active
- Median asking
- $1,199,999 ($652/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 50 d
- This list price
- 33% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -7.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 08226
- Active inventory
- 514
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,524 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,763
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,374 /mo · $16,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$458
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,000
- Net cashflow
- $-498
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $262 | -5% $-118 | +0% $-498 | +5% $-877 | +10% $-1,257 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,250 | -5% $-874 | +0% $-498 | +5% $-121 | +10% $255 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $56 | -0.5pp $-218 | base $-498 | +0.5pp $-782 | +1.0pp $-1,072 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $274,750
- Closing costs
- $32,970
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 West Ave Unit 1309024P Ocean City, NJ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1991 | $9,524 | $4.78 | 93d | 1 | 0.54mi |
HOA detail $0/mo · $0/yr condo
- Likely covers
- landscaping
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,099,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,099,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $1,099,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,099,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,099,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,099,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,099,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,099,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,099,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,099,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,099,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-03-21historical 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Ocean City property in the heart of town! This hard to find 5-bedroom, 2-bathroom beauty is move-in ready with an updated kitchen and bath, strong rental history, and a perfect corner spot across from Veterans Park. Enjoy a fenced yard, sunny deck, outdoor shower, and all the charm of beach living in a location that is a quick walk to the beach, boardwalk, downtown, farmers market grounds, playgrounds, and The Ocean City Civic Center. August rental income through Airbnb and VRBO: $650 Sun–Thurs; $852 Fri–Sat; $4,954 per week!
-
2026-03-21$1,099,000 Active 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Ocean City property in the heart of town! This hard to find 5-bedroom, 2-bathroom beauty is move-in ready with an updated kitchen and bath, strong rental history, and a perfect corner spot across from Veterans Park. Enjoy a fenced yard, sunny deck, outdoor shower, and all the charm of beach living in a location that is a quick walk to the beach, boardwalk, downtown, farmers market grounds, playgrounds, and The Ocean City Civic Center. August rental income through Airbnb and VRBO: $650 Sun–Thurs; $852 Fri–Sat; $4,954 per week!
-
2026-02-03$1,150,000 Active 543-char remark
Show marketing remark (543 chars)
Ocean City property in the heart of town! This hard to find 5-bedroom, 2-bathroom beauty is move-in ready with an updated kitchen and bath, strong rental history, and a perfect corner spot across from Veterans Park. Enjoy a fenced yard, sunny deck, outdoor shower, and all the charm of beach living in a location that is a quick walk to the beach, boardwalk, downtown, farmers market grounds, playgrounds, and The Ocean City Civic Center. August rental income through Airbnb and VRBO: $650 Sun–Thurs; $852 Fri–Sat; $4,954 per week!
-
2025-10-24historical
-
2025-09-25$1,149,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $114,288
- − Mortgage interest
- −$61,561
- − Property taxes
- −$16,485
- − Insurance
- −$10,614
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,143
- − Management
- −$9,143
- − Depreciation
- −$31,971
- Taxable loss
- −$24,629
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,911
- After-tax cash flow
- $-59/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready 5-bedroom, 2-bathroom condo in Ocean City is in good condition with updated kitchen and bathrooms, and a perfect corner spot across from Veterans Park.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — enhances curb appeal and could attract more renters ↑
- Both HVAC system — improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Both exterior paint — refreshes the home's appearance and could increase its value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ocean City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3411970
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,444
- Composite
- 37.07/100
- National rank
- #4506
- State rank
- #212 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Ocean City
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #1762
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocean City, NJ
- County
- Cape May · 88,234 people
- City population
- 11,260
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,260
- Household income
- $101,782
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Cape May County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 88,234 people
- By 2030
- 84,144 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 75,146 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 67,389 · -23.6%
- By 2075
- 55,732 · -36.8%
- By 2100
- 44,972 · -49.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 2% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cape May
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 39.7% · R 58.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+15.9 2016: R+19.9 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -381.90%
- Current HPI
- 389.3687
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
-4.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-21 Listed $1,099,000 SJSRMLS
- 2026-03-21 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2026-02-03 Listed $1,150,000 SJSRMLS
- 2025-10-24 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2025-09-25 Listed $1,149,000 SJSRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…