2328 Hoyt St · Muskegon Heights, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Handyman special. 2 bedroom, 1 bath home on a corner lot.
Key facts
- 6,229 sq ft lot
- Built 1915
- Listed 162 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Ranch-style single family residence; One-story; Built in 1915
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Public water; 0.14-acre lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Michigan-style basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($854 rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 8.4% in Muskegon Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#574 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Market conditions: 237 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.91%
- DSCR
- 2.91
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $69,680
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2421 Manz St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 680 (+2%) | 11mo | $95,744 | $141 | 74 |
| 2044 Wood St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 658 (-2%) | 4mo | $28,500 | $43 | 74 |
| 556 E Barney Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 704 (+5%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $192 | 68 |
| 2817 Mason Blvd | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 624 (-7%) | 1mo | $54,900 | $88 | 59 |
| 2520 Manz St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+15%) | 1mo | $54,300 | $71 | 56 |
| 1921 Jiroch St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+8%) | 5mo | $89,900 | $125 | 56 |
| 2029 7th St | 0.70mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 642 (-4%) | 5mo | $65,000 | $101 | 51 |
| 2827 Mason Blvd | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 652 (-3%) | 18mo | $40,000 | $61 | 50 |
| 577 E Hackley Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 740 (+10%) | 17mo | $35,000 | $47 | 45 |
| 281 W Hackley Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 708 (+6%) | 22mo | $95,000 | $134 | 42 |
| 2417 7th St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 576 (-14%) | 14mo | $72,500 | $126 | 37 |
| 2524 8th St | 0.66mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 576 (-14%) | 10mo | $60,000 | $104 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $19,039
- Equity at exit
- $5,964
- IRR
- 46.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.42×
- Total profit
- $49,473
- Equity at exit
- $3,458
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49444
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $854 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $573/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$179
- Net cashflow
- $401
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2516 5th St Apt 1 Muskegon Heights, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $775 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2516 5th St Apt 2 Muskegon Heights, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $750 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 121 E Holbrook Ave Apt 3 Muskegon, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $950 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1893 Jefferson St Unit 2 Muskegon, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 594 | $700 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2901 Temple St Unit 2 Muskegon Heights, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $750 | $1.88 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $40,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $40,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $40,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $40,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $40,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $40,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $40,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $40,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $40,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $40,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $40,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $40,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-01-07$40,000 Active
Show marketing remark (57 chars)
Handyman special. 2 bedroom, 1 bath home on a corner lot.
-
2026-01-07$40,000 Active 57-char remark
Show marketing remark (57 chars)
Handyman special. 2 bedroom, 1 bath home on a corner lot.
-
2026-01-07$40,000 Active 57-char remark
Show marketing remark (57 chars)
Handyman special. 2 bedroom, 1 bath home on a corner lot.
-
2025-04-24historical
-
2024-12-05status Active
-
2024-12-05status Active
-
2024-11-27$50,000 Active
-
2024-11-27$50,000 Active
-
2024-11-27historical
-
2024-11-26historical
-
2024-11-25historical
-
2024-11-25historical
-
2024-06-13price $55,000
-
2024-06-13price $55,000
-
2024-06-13price $55,000
-
2024-06-10price $50,000
-
2024-06-10price $50,000
-
2024-06-10price $50,000
-
2024-04-19$60,000 Active
-
2024-04-19$60,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $573 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $595 · $50/mo
- Expected delta
- +$21/yr (+$2/mo · 3.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,249
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$573
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$820
- − Management
- −$820
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $4,432
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,064
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,743/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Muskegon Heights
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #574
- US rank
- #18269
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Muskegon Heights, MI
- County
- Muskegon County · 107,917 people
- Metro
- Muskegon, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,372
- Household income
- $53,054
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 930.0
Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,032 people
- By 2030
- 173,365 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 168,877 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 160,306 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 134,426 · -22.8%
- By 2100
- 98,836 · -43.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 31% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 6% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.02%
- Current HPI
- 209.2698
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Muskegon, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
-33.3% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-07 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-07 Listed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-07 Listed $40,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-04-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-05 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-05 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2024-11-27 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-27 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-11-27 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-11-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-25 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-06-13 Price Changed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-06-13 Price Changed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-06-13 Price Changed $55,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-06-10 Price Changed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-06-10 Price Changed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-06-10 Price Changed $50,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-04-19 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-04-19 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $573 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…