5321 Christiancy Ave · Port Orange, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.59%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. You own the lot. No HOA fees . No age restrictions. . Clean 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath home. Split bedrooms, open kitchen & living room. Seller replaced the sub floors and installed new carpet in bedrooms and new laminate in the kitchen and living room in 2025. Large screened porch(9x30) with view of the lake across the street. Enjoy the breezes. Fenced yard and storage shed. Carport has ramp to enter the side door. Another shed for storage and laundry. New carport installed 2023. Roof coating 2025. Seller states A/C and water heater are approx 4-5 yrs. Available now for move in. Financing available from 21St Mortgage Corp.
Key facts
- New carport
- Fenced yard
- Roof coating
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#131 in FL, #1,957 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities D+, commute D+.
- Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 418 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $119k implies a 526% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.36%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $7,160
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $35,406
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32127
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 418
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,531 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $316/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $443
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5249 Taylor Ave Port Orange, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 672 | $1,650 | $2.46 | 14d | 1 | 0.15mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-04-24price $119,000 680-char remark
Show marketing remark (612 chars)
NO lot rent. You own the land. No age restrictions. Clean 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath home. Split bedrooms, open kitchen & living room. Seller replaced the sub floors and installed new carpet in bedrooms and new laminate in the kitchen and living room in 2025. Large screened porch with view of the lake across the street. Enjoy the breezes. Fenced yard and storage shed. Carport has ramp to enter the side door. Another shed for storage and laundry. New carport installed 2023. Roof coating 2025. Seller states A/C and water heater are approx 4-5 yrs. Available now for move in. Conventional financing available.
-
2026-04-24price $119,000 612-char remark
Show marketing remark (612 chars)
NO lot rent. You own the land. No age restrictions. Clean 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath home. Split bedrooms, open kitchen & living room. Seller replaced the sub floors and installed new carpet in bedrooms and new laminate in the kitchen and living room in 2025. Large screened porch with view of the lake across the street. Enjoy the breezes. Fenced yard and storage shed. Carport has ramp to enter the side door. Another shed for storage and laundry. New carport installed 2023. Roof coating 2025. Seller states A/C and water heater are approx 4-5 yrs. Available now for move in. Conventional financing available.
-
2026-02-18price $120,500 612-char remark
Show marketing remark (612 chars)
NO lot rent. You own the land. No age restrictions. Clean 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath home. Split bedrooms, open kitchen & living room. Seller replaced the sub floors and installed new carpet in bedrooms and new laminate in the kitchen and living room in 2025. Large screened porch with view of the lake across the street. Enjoy the breezes. Fenced yard and storage shed. Carport has ramp to enter the side door. Another shed for storage and laundry. New carport installed 2023. Roof coating 2025. Seller states A/C and water heater are approx 4-5 yrs. Available now for move in. Conventional financing available.
-
2026-02-06$125,500 Active 680-char remark
Show marketing remark (680 chars)
One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. You own the lot. No HOA fees . No age restrictions. . Clean 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath home. Split bedrooms, open kitchen & living room. Seller replaced the sub floors and installed new carpet in bedrooms and new laminate in the kitchen and living room in 2025. Large screened porch(9x30) with view of the lake across the street. Enjoy the breezes. Fenced yard and storage shed. Carport has ramp to enter the side door. Another shed for storage and laundry. New carport installed 2023. Roof coating 2025. Seller states A/C and water heater are approx 4-5 yrs. Available now for move in. Financing available from 21St Mortgage Corp.
-
2026-01-22$125,500 Active 612-char remark
Show marketing remark (612 chars)
NO lot rent. You own the land. No age restrictions. Clean 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath home. Split bedrooms, open kitchen & living room. Seller replaced the sub floors and installed new carpet in bedrooms and new laminate in the kitchen and living room in 2025. Large screened porch with view of the lake across the street. Enjoy the breezes. Fenced yard and storage shed. Carport has ramp to enter the side door. Another shed for storage and laundry. New carport installed 2023. Roof coating 2025. Seller states A/C and water heater are approx 4-5 yrs. Available now for move in. Conventional financing available.
-
1989-02-01soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $316 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $988 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$671/yr (+$56/mo · 212.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 59% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,377
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$316
- − Insurance
- −$1,392
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,470
- − Management
- −$1,470
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $3,600
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$864
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Volusia
- NCES district ID
- 1201920
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,946
- Composite
- 39.2/100
- National rank
- #4019
- State rank
- #47 of 73 in FL
Livability — Port Orange
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #131
- US rank
- #1957
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port Orange, FL
- County
- Volusia County · 556,871 people
- City population
- 75,051
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,612
- Household income
- $71,676
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 812.0
Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 572,749 people
- By 2030
- 598,695 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 644,880 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 681,451 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 759,957 · +32.7%
- By 2100
- 778,902 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Volusia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -348.71%
- Current HPI
- 282.5248
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.83%
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+526.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $119,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $119,000 Daytona MLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $120,500 Daytona MLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $125,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-22 Listed $125,500 Daytona MLS
- 1989-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $316 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…