204 Wallace St · Marseilles, IL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,050
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful 2 bedroom home, like new. 1.5 attached garage. Appliances included. New furnace, AC, water heater, updated electrical, new flooring, cabinets, plumbing, new sewer line, beautiful decor. Large enclosed front porch. Bonus room with extra storage. Large eat-in kitchen. All dimensions are approximate.
Key facts
- 5,000 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1930
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is not currently leased; Possession at closing; Living area source: assessor; Directions provided: Main Street South, turn east on Broadway, then south Aurora then right onto Wallace
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (garage owned) with garage door opener; Concrete driveway/parking; Approximately 1.5 garage/parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Rehab completed in 2015; Built before 1978
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Estimated age: 91–100 years
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch (24 x 8); Mud room (15 x 11); Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 100; Lot size less than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level (15 x 11); Second bedroom on the main level (11 x 10); Additional bedroom listings indicated
- Flooring: Wood laminate in kitchen, dining/combination area, and mud room; Vinyl in enclosed porch; Carpet in living room and bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom and a first-floor full bathroom; Ceiling fan(s); Sump pump; 5 total rooms; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $119 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#438 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
- Ottawa Twp Hsd 140 (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #545 of 919 in IL (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 82 units permitted in LaSalle County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $692 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- LaSalle County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $86k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.49%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $170,100
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 454 Washington St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,414 (+5%) | 8mo | $160,050 | $113 | 67 |
| 491 Illinois St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-11%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $138 | 63 |
| 584 Broadway St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,170 (-13%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $124 | 55 |
| 414 W Bluff St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,310 (-3%) | 7mo | $139,000 | $106 | 54 |
| 820 Lincoln St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,260 (-7%) | 4mo | $130,500 | $104 | 54 |
| 866 Lincoln St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,430 (+6%) | 2mo | $207,000 | $145 | 53 |
| 454 Ryall St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 1,202 (-11%) | 5mo | $45,000 | $37 | 49 |
| 266 Clark St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,196 (-11%) | 6mo | $73,000 | $61 | 48 |
| 641 Aberdeen St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,186 (-12%) | 5mo | $150,000 | $126 | 45 |
| 423 Clark St | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,512 (+12%) | 0mo | $192,900 | $128 | 43 |
| 401 Scott St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,541 (+14%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $136 | 40 |
| 764 Fillebrowne St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,151 (-15%) | 7mo | $236,000 | $205 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-8,478
- Equity at exit
- $14,918
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $2,965
- Equity at exit
- $8,650
Cash invested: $28,014 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61341
- Home prices YoY
- -26.2%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,275 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$525
- Tax from tax record
- −$266 /mo · $3,196/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $119
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $176 | -5% $148 | +0% $119 | +5% $91 | +10% $63 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $18 | -5% $69 | +0% $119 | +5% $170 | +10% $220 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $170 | -0.5pp $145 | base $119 | +0.5pp $93 | +1.0pp $67 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,012
- Closing costs
- $3,002
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $100,050 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $100,050 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $100,050 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,050 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,050 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,050 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,050 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $100,050 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,050 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,050 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,050 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,050 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,050 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,050 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,050 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $100,050 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $100,050
-
2026-02-16price $80,000
-
2026-02-16price $145,000
-
2026-02-12$107,300 Active
-
2015-07-28soldstatus $86,000
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2015-07-24soldstatus $86,000 Closed Sale 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Wonderful 2 bedroom home, like new. 1.5 attached garage. Appliances included. New furnace, AC, water heater, updated electrical, new flooring, cabinets, plumbing, new sewer line, beautiful decor. Large enclosed front porch. Bonus room with extra storage. Large eat-in kitchen. All dimensions are approximate.
-
2015-07-23status Pending 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Wonderful 2 bedroom home, like new. 1.5 attached garage. Appliances included. New furnace, AC, water heater, updated electrical, new flooring, cabinets, plumbing, new sewer line, beautiful decor. Large enclosed front porch. Bonus room with extra storage. Large eat-in kitchen. All dimensions are approximate.
-
2015-06-16historical Contingent 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Wonderful 2 bedroom home, like new. 1.5 attached garage. Appliances included. New furnace, AC, water heater, updated electrical, new flooring, cabinets, plumbing, new sewer line, beautiful decor. Large enclosed front porch. Bonus room with extra storage. Large eat-in kitchen. All dimensions are approximate.
-
2015-06-11price $87,500 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Wonderful 2 bedroom home, like new. 1.5 attached garage. Appliances included. New furnace, AC, water heater, updated electrical, new flooring, cabinets, plumbing, new sewer line, beautiful decor. Large enclosed front porch. Bonus room with extra storage. Large eat-in kitchen. All dimensions are approximate.
-
2015-05-08price $90,000 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Wonderful 2 bedroom home, like new. 1.5 attached garage. Appliances included. New furnace, AC, water heater, updated electrical, new flooring, cabinets, plumbing, new sewer line, beautiful decor. Large enclosed front porch. Bonus room with extra storage. Large eat-in kitchen. All dimensions are approximate.
-
2015-04-22$93,000 New 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Wonderful 2 bedroom home, like new. 1.5 attached garage. Appliances included. New furnace, AC, water heater, updated electrical, new flooring, cabinets, plumbing, new sewer line, beautiful decor. Large enclosed front porch. Bonus room with extra storage. Large eat-in kitchen. All dimensions are approximate.
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1999-06-11soldstatus $63,500
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1996-07-26soldstatus $54,500
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1996-07-26soldstatus $54,500
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1994-07-14soldstatus $45,000
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1994-07-14soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,196 · $266/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,196 · $266/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,303
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,604
- − Property taxes
- −$3,196
- − Insurance
- −$1,167
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,224
- − Management
- −$1,224
- − Depreciation
- −$2,911
- Taxable loss
- −$23
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,436/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ottawa Twp Hsd 140
- NCES district ID
- 1730330
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,828
- Composite
- 26.85/100
- National rank
- #12528
- State rank
- #545 of 919 in IL
Livability — Marseilles
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #438
- US rank
- #8954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marseilles, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,249
Population outlook (LaSalle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,080 people
- By 2030
- 104,196 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 97,413 · -9.0%
- By 2050
- 90,294 · -15.7%
- By 2075
- 76,252 · -28.8%
- By 2100
- 61,339 · -42.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 11% Lithuanian 7% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · LaSalle
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.5) · D 40.1% · R 58.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.6pp toward R · 2008: 11.1pp · 2024: -18.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.5 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+14.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+11.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.60%
- Current HPI
- 178.9377
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+122.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $100,050 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $80,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $145,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-12 Listed $107,300 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
- 2015-07-24 Sold (MLS) $86,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-23 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-16 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-11 Price Changed $87,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-08 Price Changed $90,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-04-22 Listed $93,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $63,500 Public Records
- 1996-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
- 1996-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
- 1994-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1994-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+18.3%/yrLatest (2024): $3,196 · +15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…