730 Williams St E · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Brick with shingle roof. Selling as-is condition. Please leave message at listed phone number to receive a return phone call.
Key facts
- Built 1962
- Listed 23 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($989 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.97%
- DSCR
- 2.20
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $69,426
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1392 Fort Hill St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,280 (+5%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $27 | 78 |
| 1010 Maynard St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,254 (+3%) | 12mo | $140,000 | $112 | 67 |
| 1204 Norris St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,075 (-12%) | 6mo | $67,000 | $62 | 60 |
| 575 Cowan St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,208 (-1%) | 10mo | $68,900 | $57 | 60 |
| 1049 Boulevard | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,170 (-4%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $115 | 56 |
| 1128 Maynard St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,396 (+15%) | 13mo | $27,000 | $19 | 55 |
| 1040 Chestney St | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (-15%) | 10mo | $83,000 | $80 | 52 |
| 1279 Briarcliff Rd | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 | 1,251 (+3%) | 9mo | $135,800 | $109 | 51 |
| 1168 Clinton Rd | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,036 (-15%) | 10mo | $15,000 | $14 | 43 |
| 1066 Woolfolk St | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 | 1,314 (+8%) | 18mo | $21,000 | $16 | 40 |
| 970 Emery Hwy | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+8%) | 12mo | $18,900 | $14 | 37 |
| 328 Woolfolk St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,340 (+10%) | 13mo | $20,000 | $15 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.31% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.43×
- Total profit
- $40,786
- Equity at exit
- $31,522
- IRR
- 40.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.92×
- Total profit
- $116,264
- Equity at exit
- $52,455
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31217
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Rents YoY
- 10.8%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $989 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $770/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$208
- Net cashflow
- $378
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1224 Appling Ct Apt B Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $925 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1161 Boulevard Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 13d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 390 Cowan St Unit 394 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1166 | $900 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 382 Cowan St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1166 | $900 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 378 Cowan St Unit 382 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1166 | $900 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1108 Boulevard Unit 4 Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,045 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 853 North Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $865 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1069 Boulevard Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $900 | $1.08 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 854 Trinity Pl Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $875 | $0.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1143 Woolfolk St Unit 3 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $800 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1233 Woolfolk Ter Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $750 | $1.01 | 13d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2050 Meriwood Dr Macon, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $800 | $0.84 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 720 Baker St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $900 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1634 Huntley Ridge Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 13d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1636 Huntley Ridge Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 13d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1895 Clinton Rd Unit C-517 Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $855 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1984 Clinton Rd Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1084 | $885 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1143 Sunnydale Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $975 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1973 Wood Valley Rd Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $875 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2525 Tredway Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $825 | $0.80 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2055 Pine Hill Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $775 | $0.73 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2117 Knightsbridge Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $60,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $60,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $60,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $60,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $60,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$60,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $770 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $770 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,870
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$770
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$950
- − Management
- −$950
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $3,794
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$911
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,621/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,732
- Household income
- $44,809
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 391.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (57%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 38% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.31%
- Current HPI
- 209.9166
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.85%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $60,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+12.2%/yrLatest (2025): $770 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…