4511 Avenue G · Lubbock, TX 79404

$57,500

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 528 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market

Built 1951 6,120 sqft lot

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.3/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +6.6/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Recently remodeled 1/1 in a quiet neighborhood, convenient to the interstate.

Key facts

• 6,120 sq ft lot
• Built 1951
• Listed 11 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Off-street parking
• Security: Smoke detectors
• Home design: Single family residence; Updated/remodeled condition
• Construction: Asbestos construction materials; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built on one story
• Exterior features: No notable exterior features; Composition roof

Interior

• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
• Interior features: Other interior features

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($822 rent vs $58k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
• Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($398 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
• Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $57,500

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.43% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.03%
• Cash-on-cash: 20.50%
• DSCR: 1.91
• GRM: 5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 27.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.56×
• Total profit: $25,122
• Equity at exit: $26,581

10-year hold

• IRR: 27.6%
• Equity multiple: 4.98×
• Total profit: $64,054
• Equity at exit: $41,538

Cash invested: $16,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79404

• Home prices YoY: 2.0%
• Active inventory: 91
• Price-to-rent: 5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $822 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$302
• Tax from tax record: −$49 /mo · $583/yr
• Insurance: −$24
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$173
• Net cashflow: $275

Break-even live

Break-even rent $474

Max offer price $57,500

Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $308	-5% $291	+0% $275	+5% $259	+10% $242
Rent	-10% $210	-5% $243	+0% $275	+5% $307	+10% $340
Rate	-1.0pp $304	-0.5pp $290	base $275	+0.5pp $260	+1.0pp $245

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $14,375
• Closing costs: $1,725
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 24 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4511 Avenue G Unit G Lubbock, TX	1.0	1.0	528	$750	$1.42	14d	1	0.03mi
1107 45th St Unit B Lubbock, TX	2.0	1.0	728	$850	$1.17	44d	1	0.31mi
1102 42nd St Lubbock, TX	1.0	1.0	574	$495	$0.86	21d	1	0.36mi
1119 46th St Unit A Lubbock, TX	2.0	1.0	704	$595	$0.85	21d	1	0.37mi
609 38th St Unit B Lubbock, TX	2.0	1.0	660	$550	$0.83	44d	1	0.45mi
1101 52nd St Apt C Lubbock, TX	2.0	1.0	721	$850	$1.18	21d	1	0.51mi
332 37th St Unit 2 Lubbock, TX	3.0	1.0	725	$700	$0.97	21d	1	0.58mi
330 37th St Unit 2 Lubbock, TX	3.0	1.0	750	$750	$1.00	14d	1	0.58mi
211 36th St Unit B Lubbock, TX	3.0	1.0	750	$775	$1.03	44d	1	0.65mi
209 36th St Unit A Lubbock, TX	3.0	1.0	750	$750	$1.00	44d	1	0.66mi
1604 45th St Lubbock, TX	1.0	1.0	700	$650	$0.93	44d	1	0.67mi
1310 54th St Unit 3 Lubbock, TX	1.0	1.0	684	$575	$0.84	44d	1	0.69mi
1610 45th St Unit 14 Lubbock, TX	1.0	1.0	550	$895	$1.63	44d	1	0.69mi
1511 52nd St Lubbock, TX	2.0	1.0	648	$800	$1.23	44d	1	0.72mi
1710 45th St Unit A Lubbock, TX	2.0	1.0	714	$595	$0.83	14d	1	0.83mi
1718 46th St Lubbock, TX	1.0	1.0	655	$695	$1.06	44d	1	0.88mi
3104 Avenue N Lubbock, TX	2.0	1.0	750	$785	$1.05	21d	1	1.03mi
2018 45th St Lubbock, TX	1.0	1.0	500	$849	$1.70	21d	1	1.12mi
1707 32nd St Lubbock, TX	1.0	1.0	400	$575	$1.44	44d	1	1.16mi
1101 65th St Unit Rear Lubbock, TX	1.0	1.0	500	$625	$1.25	14d	1	1.25mi
1608 29th St Unit C Lubbock, TX	1.0	1.0	680	$650	$0.96	44d	1	1.26mi
1608 29th St Unit A Lubbock, TX	1.0	1.0	505	$595	$1.18	14d	1	1.26mi
1608 29th St Unit B Lubbock, TX	2.0	1.5	694	$750	$1.08	14d	1	1.26mi
2118 33rd St Unit B Lubbock, TX	1.0	1.0	676	$550	$0.81	21d	1	1.41mi

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-16
   days on market $57,500 Active 12 DOM
2. 2026-06-15
   days on market $57,500 Active 11 DOM
3. 2026-06-14
   days on market $57,500 Active 9 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $57,500 Active 8 DOM
5. 2026-06-10
   days on market $57,500 Active 6 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $57,500 Active 5 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   price $57,500 Active 4 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $59,900 Active 4 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $59,900 Active 3 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    remarks 77-char remark
11. 2026-06-05
    listed $59,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $583 · $49/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,052 · $88/mo
• Expected delta: +$469/yr (+$39/mo · 80.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $9,859
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,221
• − Property taxes: −$583
• − Insurance: −$288
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$789
• − Management: −$789
• − Depreciation: −$1,673
• Taxable income: $2,518
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$604
• After-tax cash flow: $2,696/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lubbock ISD
• NCES district ID: 4828500
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $39,820
• Composite: 31.44/100
• National rank: #5984
• State rank: #481 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lubbock

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #37
• US rank: #1749

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lubbock, TX
• County: Lubbock County · 293,542 people
• City population: 283,030
• Metro: Lubbock, TX
• Population (ZIP): 8,529
• Household income: $51,630
• Rent vs Own: 31.0% rent · 69.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 366.0

Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 345,960 people
• By 2030: 371,449 · +7.4%
• By 2040: 424,539 · +22.7%
• By 2050: 481,150 · +39.1%
• By 2075: 633,467 · +83.1%
• By 2100: 746,853 · +115.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 55% Black 22% White 20% Two or more races 17% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 46%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 1% Lithuanian 0%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 64% English-only · Spanish 36%

Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 3.22%
• Current HPI: 163.854
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Lubbock, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

18 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-03 Listed $59,900 LARMLS
• 2026-02-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2024-10-30 Price Changed $49,900 LARMLS
• 2024-10-01 Price Changed $48,900 LARMLS
• 2024-08-12 Price Changed $49,900 LARMLS
• 2024-07-23 Price Changed $51,500 LARMLS
• 2024-07-18 Price Changed $51,750 LARMLS
• 2024-07-03 Price Changed $52,250 LARMLS
• 2024-07-02 Price Changed $54,250 LARMLS
• 2024-06-26 Price Changed $55,250 LARMLS
• 2024-06-20 Price Changed $55,300 LARMLS
• 2024-05-21 Price Changed $55,800 LARMLS
• 2024-05-10 Price Changed $56,300 LARMLS
• 2024-05-06 Price Changed $57,800 LARMLS
• 2024-04-29 Price Changed $58,300 LARMLS
• 2024-04-29 Price Changed $58,800 LARMLS
• 2024-04-22 Price Changed $58,900 LARMLS
• 2024-04-15 Price Changed $59,900 LARMLS

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $583 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.