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615 1/2 Thomas Dr 🔨 Auction
D- Composite 39.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

615 1/2 Thomas Dr · Hastings, NE 68901
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1978

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Open House, Thursday, June 18th, 5-6 PM. 2 bedroom Condo. Tenant occupied. Tenant pays own utilities. Tenants are on a Year Lease ending May 31, 2027. Current rent is $850. per mo. Property is being sold online only! This property is not bank owned, lender owned, or the result of foreclosure proceedings. It is a privately owned property, being offered for sale at public auction at the seller's direction. Auction closing is June 29th, 2026 at 7:00 PM soft close. List price is suggested opening bid only. Final price will be determined via the auction. Final bid is subject to seller confirmation. A 10% Buyer's Premium will be added to the sale price. (For example - If you bid $50,000. the tot

Key facts

  • Built 1978
  • Listed 9 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Residential townhome/condo
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 3,132 sq ft; Zoned M-1

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $50,000 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $174,440 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-141/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.4% in Hastings — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#41 in NE, #2,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Hastings Public Schools (town): math 38% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #96 of 111 in NE (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Alcott Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #405 of 502 statewide, top 84%, 249 students, 66% FRL); Hastings Senior High School (math 36% / reading 45%, grade F, #181 of 261 statewide, top 69%, 1,067 students, 52% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 217 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (132 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $50,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.29%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$174,440
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
734 E 4th St 0.40mi 2/1.0 1,124 (+15%) 12mo $200,000 $178 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.8%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-29,079
Equity at exit
$26,010
10-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-26,539
Equity at exit
$15,082

Cash invested: $48,843 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68901

Active inventory
191
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,342 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$915
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,016/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$-12

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,357
Max offer price $172,358
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,610
Closing costs
$5,233
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $50,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-09
    listed $50,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,016 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,016 · $85/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,107
− Mortgage interest
−$9,771
− Property taxes
−$1,016
− Insurance
−$872
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,289
− Management
−$1,289
− Depreciation
−$5,075
Taxable loss
−$3,205
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$769
After-tax cash flow
$628/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hastings Public Schools
NCES district ID
3171580
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,942
Composite
33.81/100
National rank
#5363
State rank
#96 of 111 in NE

Livability — Hastings

Score
79/100
State rank
#41
US rank
#2188

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hastings, NE
City population
26,208
Population (ZIP)
26,208

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,965 people
By 2030
32,079 · +0.4%
By 2040
31,999 · +0.1%
By 2050
31,586 · -1.2%
By 2075
30,856 · -3.5%
By 2100
29,948 · -6.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.6) · D 28.5% · R 70.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -41.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.6 2020: R+40.1 2016: R+45.0 2012: R+34.1 2008: R+27.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -255.77%
Current HPI
232.0444
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $50,000 GMNMLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,016 · +15.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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