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282 Newfield St
D+ Composite 48.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.2/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

282 Newfield St · Buffalo, NY 14207
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,112 sqft · Townhouse public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1925 3,920 sqft lot Est $194k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 282 Newfield Street, a fantastic investment opportunity offering two spacious units, each featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. Whether you're an investor looking to add a strong income producing property to your portfolio or an owner occupant seeking to offset your mortgage with rental income, this duplex checks all the boxes! Both the upper and lower units provide comfortable layouts with ample living space, making them attractive options for tenants and homeowners alike. Low property taxes help maximize cash flow and affordability, enhancing the property's long term value and investment potential. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, parks, and major commu

Key facts

  • Two spacious units
  • Ample living space
  • Near dining

Tags

TWO SPACIOUS UNITSAMPLE LIVING SPACELOW PROPERTY TAXESCONVENIENTLY LOCATEDNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR DINING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property configured as a 2-unit multifamily; Each unit currently rents for $875 (both units month-to-month); Separate water/sewer operating expenses noted (owner pays water; rent includes water)

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Concrete parking; Garage with two or more spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story building; New construction; Rectangular residential lot with city street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 34 x 114
  • Construction: Fiber cement siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation; Built as new construction
  • Exterior features: Awning(s); Balcony; Deck; Open porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater (appliance); Each unit includes a kitchen (unit descriptions list formal dining and living room)
  • Bedrooms: Two units each with 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom (2 full bathrooms total)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Hardwood, laminate, vinyl, and varied flooring throughout; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Separate gas meters and separate electric meters for each unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (13.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,736/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 2177% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $173,610 (13.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.45%
Cash-on-cash
4.12%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$194,304
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
87 Elgas St 0.09mi 6/2.0 2,018 (-4%) 12mo $242,500 $120 78
204 Condon Ave 0.32mi 6/2.0 2,018 (-4%) 5mo $172,000 $85 74
93 Edgar Ave 0.56mi 6/2.0 2,108 (-0%) 4mo $140,000 $66 71
61 Baxter St 0.37mi 6/2.0 2,014 (-5%) 6mo $185,000 $92 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-11,067
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$47,496
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14207

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,736 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $571/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$192

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,493
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $199,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$571 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,975 · $165/mo
Expected delta
+$1,404/yr (+$117/mo · 245.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,833
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$571
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,667
− Management
−$1,667
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$1,084
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$260
After-tax cash flow
$2,568/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
26,327
Household income
$39,753
Rent vs Own
65.0% rent · 35.0% own
Severe rent burden
2177.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Philippines, Canada, India
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.42%
Current HPI
233.0902
Rent YoY
▲ 8.19%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $199,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $571 · +41.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…