1610 Sunset Ln · Duncanville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,300
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come and enjoy this completely updated 3 bedroom 2 bath home!! Home has new flooring thought and new paint. Brand new stainless steel appliances.
Key facts
- 9,469 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1978
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1978; Slab foundation; Single-story entry (first-floor living)
- Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Subdivision lot; Lot about 0.22 acre
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 11 x 10); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 11 x 11); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 10 x 10)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: One fireplace; Three total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $164k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $164k).
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.6% in Duncanville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#164 in TX, #4,372 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities D+.
- Duncanville ISD (suburban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #711 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: J Herman Reed Middle (math 18% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,301 of 1,662 statewide, top 79%, 564 students, 87% FRL); Duncanville H S (math 14% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,234 of 1,632 statewide, top 76%, 4,501 students, 75% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.41%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $276,510
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1526 Valleyview Ln | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,452 (+2%) | 11mo | $274,000 | $189 | 82 |
| 1502 Lime Leaf Ln | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-5%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $197 | 78 |
| 1310 Oak Run Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,422 (+0%) | 3mo | $272,900 | $192 | 69 |
| 1310 Lloyd Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,406 (-1%) | 4mo | $259,900 | $185 | 69 |
| 1806 Timberline Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,336 (-6%) | 4mo | $269,900 | $202 | 64 |
| 1019 Wayne Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-1%) | 5mo | $274,500 | $196 | 63 |
| 314 Timberline Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,357 (-4%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $195 | 62 |
| 1119 Harlow Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,413 (-0%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $177 | 61 |
| 1315 Mccall Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,255 (-12%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $183 | 57 |
| 902 Wayne Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,544 (+9%) | 7mo | $268,500 | $174 | 53 |
| 911 Sanders Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,227 (-14%) | 10mo | $239,900 | $196 | 51 |
| 1226 Acton Ct | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,572 (+11%) | 4mo | $320,000 | $204 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-21,972
- Equity at exit
- $24,498
- IRR
- -9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-22,844
- Equity at exit
- $14,206
Cash invested: $46,004 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75137
- Home prices YoY
- -23.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,960 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$862
- Tax from tax record
- −$487 /mo · $5,850/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $131
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,075
- Closing costs
- $4,929
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1019 Sanders Dr Duncanville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $2,300 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1015 Cedar Run Dr Duncanville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $1,849 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1019 Cedar Run Dr Duncanville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $1,895 | $1.29 | 7d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 428 Dawn Dr Duncanville, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1136 | $1,300 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 425 Dawn Dr Duncanville, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1136 | $1,480 | $1.30 | 20d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 910 Gable Ave Duncanville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $1,975 | $1.51 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 922 Gable Ave Duncanville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $2,070 | $1.54 | 13d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 938 Gable Ave Duncanville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,895 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1330 Heather Run Dr Duncanville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,925 | $1.48 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 628 Taylor Ct Duncanville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1019 S Alexander Ave Duncanville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $1,695 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 121 Wildwood Dr Duncanville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $1,650 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 121 Brookside Dr Duncanville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1139 | $2,529 | $2.22 | 3d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1034 Gaynor Ave Duncanville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $2,050 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 122 Country Bend Dr Duncanville, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1731 Cliffcrest Dr Duncanville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,895 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1303 S Main St Duncanville, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 907 | $1,805 | $1.99 | 2d | 10 | 1.10mi |
| 920 Fairbanks Cir Duncanville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,905 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 907 Fairbanks Cir Duncanville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $1,891 | $1.86 | 6d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1019 S Main St Duncanville, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 885 | $1,425 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 323 Royal Ave Duncanville, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $1,995 | $1.58 | 4d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 334 Linkwood Dr Duncanville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1214 | $1,850 | $1.52 | 7d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 333 Fouts Ave Unit 333 Fouts Duncanville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,595 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 919 Southloop Dr Duncanville, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1113 | $1,550 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 222 Creekwood Ct Duncanville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,316 | $1.32 | 7d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,300 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 35-char remark
-
2026-06-17$164,300 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,850 · $487/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,850 · $487/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,515
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,203
- − Property taxes
- −$5,850
- − Insurance
- −$822
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,881
- − Management
- −$1,881
- − Depreciation
- −$4,780
- Taxable loss
- −$901
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$216
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,783/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duncanville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4817640
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,979
- Composite
- 21.71/100
- National rank
- #8270
- State rank
- #711 of 826 in TX
Livability — Duncanville
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #164
- US rank
- #4372
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Duncanville, TX
- County
- Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
- City population
- 39,683
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,729
- Household income
- $82,253
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 654.0
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,979,839 people
- By 2030
- 3,191,823 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 3,619,611 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 4,026,915 · +35.1%
- By 2075
- 4,957,073 · +66.4%
- By 2100
- 5,508,725 · +84.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 37% Black 36% White 24% Two or more races 18% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Armenian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 31% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.32%
- Current HPI
- 298.072
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.00%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+2.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $164,300 HARMLS
- 2018-02-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-01-31 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2018-01-08 Pending — NTREIS
- 2017-12-27 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2017-12-22 Listed $159,999 NTREIS
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,850 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…