863 Tacken St · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$18,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this cute ranch home
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 290 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax approximate: $885
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl and wood siding
- Exterior features: Lot roughly 60 x 110; Subdivision: WEST COURT GARDENS; Located north of Joyner / south of W Kearsley
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $19k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $646 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $19k).
- Recommended offer: $17k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 47.3% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $131 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $567 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 290 days — a 12% lower offer ($17k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 14 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (52%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 290 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 47.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 146.43%
- DSCR
- 7.52
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $51,480
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 959 Tacken St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 748 (-4%) | 4mo | $24,900 | $33 | 80 |
| 988 Barney Ave | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 776 (-0%) | 8mo | $34,000 | $44 | 75 |
| 1574 Houran St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 798 (+2%) | 7mo | $30,000 | $38 | 74 |
| 3705 Gratiot Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 820 (+5%) | 5mo | $74,200 | $90 | 73 |
| 3722 Whitney Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 789 (+1%) | 7mo | $75,000 | $95 | 67 |
| 1115 Barney Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 833 (+7%) | 5mo | $43,500 | $52 | 55 |
| 2710 Reynolds St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 751 (-4%) | 5mo | $56,500 | $75 | 55 |
| 1326 Hughes Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 814 (+4%) | 6mo | $70,900 | $87 | 54 |
| 2805 Reynolds St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 704 (-10%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $50 | 48 |
| 2717 Gibson St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 687 (-12%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $73 | 46 |
| 2913 Gibson St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 680 (-13%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $66 | 45 |
| 2810 Gibson St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 892 (+14%) | 1mo | $15,500 | $17 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.20×
- Total profit
- $38,114
- Equity at exit
- $2,818
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 17.32×
- Total profit
- $86,341
- Equity at exit
- $1,634
Cash invested: $5,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48532
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,048 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$99
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $899/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $646
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,725
- Closing costs
- $567
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 806 Barney Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 20d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3701 Whitney Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $900 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 343 Sheffield Apt. C Ave heuristic Flint, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $900 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 314 Sheffield Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,250 | $1.40 | 20d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3901 Herrick St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 13d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 352 Bradley Ave Unit 343 Sheffield Ave-Apt C Flint, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $900 | $1.60 | 20d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3929 Larchmont St Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
Listing history 50 events
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2026-06-18days on market $18,900 Active 290 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $18,900 Active 289 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $18,900 Active 288 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $18,900 Active 287 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $18,900 Active 285 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $18,900 Active 284 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $18,900 Active 282 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $18,900 Active 281 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $18,900 Active 280 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $18,900 Active 279 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $18,900 Active 276 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $18,900 Active 275 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $18,900 Active 274 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $18,900 Active 273 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $18,900 Active 272 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $18,900 Active 271 DOM
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2026-03-31price $18,900 30-char remark
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2026-03-30price $18,900
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2026-03-30price $19,600 30-char remark
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2026-03-30price $19,600
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2026-02-18price $19,900 30-char remark
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2026-02-17price $19,900
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2026-01-12status Active
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2026-01-12status Active 30-char remark
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2025-11-25status Pending
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2025-11-25status Pending 30-char remark
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2025-10-10price $19,999 30-char remark
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2025-10-10price $19,999
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2025-10-09price $24,000 30-char remark
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2025-10-09price $24,000
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2025-10-09price $27,000 30-char remark
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2025-10-08price $27,000
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2025-09-06price $29,000 30-char remark
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2025-09-05price $29,000
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2025-07-15$39,000 Active
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2025-07-15$39,000 Active 30-char remark
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2010-12-06historical
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2005-02-15soldstatus $33,500
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2005-01-14soldstatus $33,500
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2005-01-14soldstatus $33,500
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2004-11-24historical
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2004-08-03$35,900
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2004-08-03$35,900
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2004-02-17$39,900
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2004-02-17$39,900
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2004-02-17historical
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2000-04-20soldstatus $33,900
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2000-04-20soldstatus $33,900
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2000-03-22historical
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1999-10-22$35,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $899 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $899 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,572
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,059
- − Property taxes
- −$899
- − Insurance
- −$94
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,006
- − Management
- −$1,006
- − Depreciation
- −$550
- Taxable income
- $7,959
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,910
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,839/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- City population
- 93,814
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,750
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 38% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Arabic 3% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.08%
- Current HPI
- 202.407
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-55.9% since first listed43 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $18,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $18,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $19,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $19,600 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $19,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-12 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-12 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-25 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-11-25 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed $19,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed $19,999 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $24,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $24,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $27,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $27,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-06 Price Changed $29,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $29,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-15 Listed $39,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-15 Listed $39,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2005-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $33,500 Public Records
- 2005-01-14 Sold (MLS) $33,500 REALCOMP
- 2005-01-14 Sold (MLS) $33,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-11-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-08-03 Listed $35,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-08-03 Listed $35,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-02-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-02-17 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-02-17 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2000-04-20 Sold (MLS) $33,900 REALCOMP
- 2000-04-20 Sold (MLS) $33,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-03-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1999-10-22 Listed $35,900 REALCOMP
- 1999-10-22 Listed $35,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-11-17 Listed $37,900 REALCOMP
- 1998-11-17 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1998-11-17 Listed $37,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-11-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-05-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1998-05-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-02-04 Listed $42,900 REALCOMP
- 1998-02-04 Listed $42,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $899 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…