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1706 Norlinda St
D+ Composite 49.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.9/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,000

1706 Norlinda St · Houston, TX 77093
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,146 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1964 3,889 sqft lot Est $197k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 3,889 sq ft lot
  • Built 1964
  • Listed 24 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease considered

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Entry on main level
  • Construction: Built in 1964; Cement and wood siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: 3 total rooms; 1 full bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($676/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (10.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $151k (10.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Aldine ISD (suburban): math 16% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #790 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Worsham El (math 33% / reading 25%, grade F, #2,668 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 493 students, 95% FRL); Mead Middle (math 15% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,491 of 1,662 statewide, top 91%, 1,012 students, 93% FRL); Aldine H S (math 15% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,451 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 2,663 students, 94% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $151,396 (10.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.69%
Cash-on-cash
1.43%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$197,112
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1902 July St 0.25mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,120 (-2%) 10mo $250,000 $223 68
1822 Kowis St 0.41mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,112 (-3%) 4mo $237,000 $213 64
1286 Hopper Rd 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,212 (+6%) 8mo $80,000 $66 62
2211 Wardmont St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-4%) 18mo $205,000 $186 56
1930 Cromwell St 0.35mi 3/1.5 980 (-14%) 2mo $215,000 $219 56
11746 Somerset Ln 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,126 (-2%) 7mo $175,000 $155 54
1246 Mitchell Rd 0.62mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,125 (-2%) 9mo $219,950 $196 50
2307 Sunny Dr 0.58mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,178 (+3%) 20mo $99,990 $85 47
1227 Sunny Dr 0.60mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,155 (+1%) 22mo $198,500 $172 46
2326 Sunny Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,296 (+13%) 6mo $173,700 $134 44
1219 Castledale Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,005 (-12%) 20mo $160,000 $159 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.5%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-20,192
Equity at exit
$25,198
10-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$2,548
Equity at exit
$14,612

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77093

Home prices YoY
-9.9%
Rents YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
148
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,514 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax from tax record
$183 /mo · $2,196/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$56

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $152 -5% $104 +0% $56 +5% $9 +10% $-39
Rent -10% $-63 -5% $-3 +0% $56 +5% $116 +10% $176
Rate -1.0pp $141 -0.5pp $99 base $56 +0.5pp $13 +1.0pp $-32

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
810 Charles Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1320 $1,450 $1.10 1d 1 1.27mi
810 Charles Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1320 $1,450 $1.10 45d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $169,000 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $159,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    price $189,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,000 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $219,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $219,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,000 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,000 Active 3 DOM
  17. 2026-05-28
    listed $219,000 Active
  18. 2018-12-14
    soldstatus
  19. 1992-08-19
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,196 · $183/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,093 · $258/mo
Expected delta
+$896/yr (+$75/mo · 40.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,168
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$2,196
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,453
− Management
−$1,453
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable loss
−$2,163
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$519
After-tax cash flow
$1,195/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aldine ISD
NCES district ID
4807710
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,081
Composite
15.42/100
National rank
#9317
State rank
#790 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
46,407
Household income
$46,766
Rent vs Own
43.8% rent · 56.2% own
Severe rent burden
1815.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 24% Black 11% White 6% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 70%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada
Languages at home
30% English-only · Spanish 70%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.53%
Current HPI
277.4914
Rent YoY
▲ 5.31%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $219,000 HARMLS
  • 2018-12-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1992-08-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,196 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…