5150 Mac Arthur Blvd · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Rent growth +0.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom 2 bath home! Located in West Aurora subdivision. Renovated kitchen, durable terrazzo flooring and a layout full of possibilities. This house is a fantastic opportunity for investor or owner-occupant looking to add their personal touch and unlock value. Located in an X Flood Zone.
Key facts
- Renovated kitchen
- X flood zone
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $514 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-9.2%/yr); 274 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 31y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $145k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.15%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $223,672
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -35.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608 Lang St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,625 (-1%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $145 | 86 |
| 5400 Macarthur Blvd | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+4%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $141 | 82 |
| 3343 Hyman Pl | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,602 (-2%) | 0mo | $105,000 | $66 | 74 |
| 2644 Bristol Pl | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,517 (-7%) | 6mo | $146,000 | $96 | 72 |
| 3401 Huntlee Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,715 (+5%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $105 | 71 |
| 3410 Plymouth Pl | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,476 (-10%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $91 | 70 |
| 5701 Macarthur Blvd | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+10%) | 1mo | $249,900 | $139 | 70 |
| 3221 Hyman Pl | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,708 (+4%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $38 | 69 |
| 537 Huntlee Dr | 0.32mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,475 (-10%) | 5mo | $255,000 | $173 | 55 |
| 216 Rhodes Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-8%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $86 | 54 |
| 104 Kingston Ct | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,752 (+7%) | 5mo | $285,000 | $163 | 53 |
| 409 River Oaks Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-14%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $161 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,591
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $23,505
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70131
- Home prices YoY
- -12.0%
- Rents YoY
- -9.2%
- Active inventory
- 274
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,934 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,519/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$406
- Net cashflow
- $514
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3151 Plymouth Pl New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1470 | $1,700 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 5801 Albany Ct New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2160 | $2,000 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3252 Kabel Dr New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,300 | $1.20 | 20d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3511 Hyman Pl New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1975 | $2,700 | $1.37 | 1d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3751 Herald St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $2,150 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 6021 Brighton Pl New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1840 | $3,100 | $1.68 | 16d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3738 Somerset Dr New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2247 | $3,000 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1410 Kabel Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $2,200 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1812 River Oaks Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1812 River Oaks Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 103 Danny Dr New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2040 | $2,400 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 6121 Stratford Pl New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 16d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4254 Maple Leaf Dr New Orleans, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1354 | $1,687 | $1.25 | 1d | 8 | 1.05mi |
| 3725 Macarthur Blvd Unit 2A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,750 | $2.29 | 19d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4020 Sullen Pl New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1280 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3619 Pittari Pl New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,200 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4479 Woodland Dr Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3200 Lancaster St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1678 | $2,200 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5987 Tullis Dr New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1179 | $1,100 | $0.93 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5987 Tullis Dr New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1179 | $1,150 | $0.98 | 17d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 21 Carriage Ln New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,000 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5823 Tullis Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1637 | $1,600 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5797 Tullis Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,600 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3531 Adrian St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $1,895 | $1.47 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $145,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $145,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-04-25price $145,000 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom 2 bath home! Located in West Aurora subdivision. Renovated kitchen, durable terrazzo flooring and a layout full of possibilities. This house is a fantastic opportunity for investor or owner-occupant looking to add their personal touch and unlock value. Located in an X Flood Zone.
-
2026-04-24price $145,000 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom 2 bath home! Located in West Aurora subdivision. Renovated kitchen, durable terrazzo flooring and a layout full of possibilities. This house is a fantastic opportunity for investor or owner-occupant looking to add their personal touch and unlock value. Located in an X Flood Zone.
-
2026-03-11price $155,000 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom 2 bath home! Located in West Aurora subdivision. Renovated kitchen, durable terrazzo flooring and a layout full of possibilities. This house is a fantastic opportunity for investor or owner-occupant looking to add their personal touch and unlock value. Located in an X Flood Zone.
-
2026-03-11price $155,000 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom 2 bath home! Located in West Aurora subdivision. Renovated kitchen, durable terrazzo flooring and a layout full of possibilities. This house is a fantastic opportunity for investor or owner-occupant looking to add their personal touch and unlock value. Located in an X Flood Zone.
-
2025-12-13$170,000 Active 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom 2 bath home! Located in West Aurora subdivision. Renovated kitchen, durable terrazzo flooring and a layout full of possibilities. This house is a fantastic opportunity for investor or owner-occupant looking to add their personal touch and unlock value. Located in an X Flood Zone.
-
2025-12-13$170,000 Active 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Discover the potential in this 3-bedroom 2 bath home! Located in West Aurora subdivision. Renovated kitchen, durable terrazzo flooring and a layout full of possibilities. This house is a fantastic opportunity for investor or owner-occupant looking to add their personal touch and unlock value. Located in an X Flood Zone.
-
1995-01-19soldstatus $62,500
-
1995-01-17soldstatus $62,500
-
1995-01-17$62,500
-
1995-01-17$62,500
-
1989-05-18soldstatus $83,480
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,519 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,519 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,203
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,519
- − Insurance
- −$1,522
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,856
- − Management
- −$1,856
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $4,109
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$986
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,178/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,151
- Household income
- $62,389
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 707.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -28.08%
- Current HPI
- 206.7552
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -9.23%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+73.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $145,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $145,000 GSREIN
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $155,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $155,000 GSREIN
- 2025-12-13 Listed $170,000 GSREIN
- 2025-12-13 Listed $170,000 AcadianaMLS
- 1995-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
- 1995-01-17 Listed $62,500 AcadianaMLS
- 1995-01-17 Listed $62,500 GSREIN
- 1995-01-17 Sold (MLS) $62,500 GSREIN
- 1989-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $83,480 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2026): $1,519 · -6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…