🏷️ Likely Rental
244 Pat Ln · Fairborn, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Investment opportunity!!! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath, home with 2 detached garages is currently rented by a long-term tenant. At this time, the seller is ONLY accepting CASH offers. ALL ROOM SIZES ARE APPROXIMATE. PLEASE RELY ON YOUR OWN INPSECTION.
Key facts
- 7,684 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1953
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; One- to two-car garage with additional storage
- Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding construction; Zoned residential
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Patio; Outdoor storage / shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (10 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level (10 x 9; 11 x 10)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vinyl windows; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($178/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $94k (10.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $94k (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.8% in Fairborn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#374 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities D-.
- Fairborn City (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #520 of 656 in OH (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Fairborn Primary School (1,253 students, 0% FRL); Baker Middle School (math 34% / reading 46%, grade F, #511 of 654 statewide, top 79%, 939 students, 0% FRL); Fairborn High School (math 33% / reading 65%, grade D, #422 of 781 statewide, top 54%, 1,048 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 15% FRL vs 51% district-wide (35 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 181 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 797 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (148 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.61%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $136,152
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 244 Pat Ln | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (0%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $103 | 99 |
| 230 Pat Ln | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (0%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $155 | 94 |
| 818 Flintridge Dr | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (0%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $168 | 93 |
| 153 N Diana Ln | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (0%) | 1mo | $144,000 | $194 | 92 |
| 43 Galewood | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (0%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $161 | 89 |
| 15 N Diana Ln | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (0%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $195 | 86 |
| 849 Flintridge Dr | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (+6%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $183 | 84 |
| 97 Marchmont Dr | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 816 (+10%) | 5mo | $174,000 | $213 | 69 |
| 184 Pat Ln | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 840 (+13%) | 4mo | $160,001 | $190 | 63 |
| 1033 Victoria | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+3%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $156 | 62 |
| 1014 Victoria Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+10%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $147 | 53 |
| 421 Marchmont Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 816 (+10%) | 2mo | $177,000 | $217 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-13,386
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,204
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45324
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 181
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $938 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,585/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$197
- Net cashflow
- $15
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $74 | -5% $45 | +0% $15 | +5% $-15 | +10% $-45 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-59 | -5% $-22 | +0% $15 | +5% $52 | +10% $89 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $68 | -0.5pp $42 | base $15 | +0.5pp $-12 | +1.0pp $-40 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 345 1/2 Lovington Dr Fairborn, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $675 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 345 1/2 Lovington Dr Fairborn, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $675 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 317 Arms Dr Fairborn, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $645 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 316 Lovington Dr Fairborn, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $675 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 35 N Wright Ave Fairborn, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $760 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 221 N Central Ave Fairborn, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 693 | $1,201 | $1.73 | 4d | 3 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-05-07$105,000 Active
-
2024-07-29soldstatus $110,000
-
2024-07-12soldstatus $110,000 Sold 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
Great Investment opportunity!!! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath, home with 2 detached garages is currently rented by a long-term tenant. At this time, the seller is ONLY accepting CASH offers. ALL ROOM SIZES ARE APPROXIMATE. PLEASE RELY ON YOUR OWN INPSECTION.
-
2024-07-12soldstatus $110,000 Closed 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
Great Investment opportunity!!! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath, home with 2 detached garages is currently rented by a long-term tenant. At this time, the seller is ONLY accepting CASH offers. ALL ROOM SIZES ARE APPROXIMATE. PLEASE RELY ON YOUR OWN INPSECTION.
-
2024-06-26status Pending 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
Great Investment opportunity!!! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath, home with 2 detached garages is currently rented by a long-term tenant. At this time, the seller is ONLY accepting CASH offers. ALL ROOM SIZES ARE APPROXIMATE. PLEASE RELY ON YOUR OWN INPSECTION.
-
2024-04-22$130,000 Active 251-char remark
Show marketing remark (251 chars)
Great Investment opportunity!!! This 2 bedroom, 1 bath, home with 2 detached garages is currently rented by a long-term tenant. At this time, the seller is ONLY accepting CASH offers. ALL ROOM SIZES ARE APPROXIMATE. PLEASE RELY ON YOUR OWN INPSECTION.
-
2012-03-22soldstatus $20,000 Closed 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Priced below appraisal! Well maintained ranch home with a large living room, big eat-in kitchen, hardwood floors, 1 1/2 car detached (with 220), plus 2 1/2 car detached garages, cellar, fenced yard and storage shed. Updates include Andersen windows and vinyl siding. Immediate occupancy. Good value. .. Compare! This is not a short sale!!
-
2012-03-22soldstatus $20,000 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Priced below appraisal! Well maintained ranch home with a large living room, big eat-in kitchen, hardwood floors, 1 1/2 car detached (with 220), plus 2 1/2 car detached garages, cellar, fenced yard and storage shed. Updates include Andersen windows and vinyl siding. Immediate occupancy. Good value. .. Compare! This is not a short sale!!
-
2012-02-13historical 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Priced below appraisal! Well maintained ranch home with a large living room, big eat-in kitchen, hardwood floors, 1 1/2 car detached (with 220), plus 2 1/2 car detached garages, cellar, fenced yard and storage shed. Updates include Andersen windows and vinyl siding. Immediate occupancy. Good value. .. Compare! This is not a short sale!!
-
2011-05-11$30,000 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Priced below appraisal! Well maintained ranch home with a large living room, big eat-in kitchen, hardwood floors, 1 1/2 car detached (with 220), plus 2 1/2 car detached garages, cellar, fenced yard and storage shed. Updates include Andersen windows and vinyl siding. Immediate occupancy. Good value. .. Compare! This is not a short sale!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,585 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,611 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- +$27/yr (+$2/mo · 1.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,260
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,585
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$901
- − Management
- −$901
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable loss
- −$1,587
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$381
- After-tax cash flow
- $559/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairborn City
- NCES district ID
- 3904396
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,091
- Composite
- 36.05/100
- National rank
- #4772
- State rank
- #520 of 656 in OH
Livability — Fairborn
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #374
- US rank
- #6101
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fairborn, OH
- County
- Greene County · 132,120 people
- City population
- 41,194
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,194
- Household income
- $64,979
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1472.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 170,301 people
- By 2030
- 171,840 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 171,408 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 167,806 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 154,430 · -9.3%
- By 2100
- 138,669 · -18.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.8) · D 39.5% · R 59.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -19.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.8 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -157.48%
- Current HPI
- 228.0801
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.75%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+250.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $105,000 Dayton MLS
- 2024-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2024-07-12 Sold (MLS) $110,000 Dayton MLS
- 2024-07-12 Sold (MLS) $110,000 Dayton MLS
- 2024-06-26 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2024-04-22 Listed $130,000 Dayton MLS
- 2012-03-22 Sold (MLS) $20,000 Dayton MLS
- 2012-03-22 Sold (MLS) $20,000 Dayton MLS
- 2012-02-13 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2011-05-11 Listed $30,000 Dayton MLS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,585 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…