106 W 2nd St · Marbleton, WY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $564 – $1,046
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 85°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your new home! This charming manufactured home is perfectly situated on a desirable corner lot, offering both privacy and convenience. As you approach, you'll notice the spacious carport, providing ample parking and protection for your vehicles. Inside, the home boasts a well-designed layout with comfortable living spaces, perfect for both relaxation and entertaining. The kitchen is equipped with modern appliances and plenty of storage, making meal preparation a breeze. The bedrooms are cozy and inviting, offering a peaceful retreat at the end of the day. Outside, the corner lot provides a generous yard space, ideal for gardening, outdoor activities, or simply enjoying the fresh air. This property combines the benefits of a manufactured home with the advantages of a prime location, making it a must-see for anyone seeking a comfortable and convenient lifestyle. Don't miss the opportunity to make this delightful home your own!
Key facts
- Modern appliances
- Spacious carport
- Generous yard space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (16.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $104k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#17 in WY, #4,584 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Sublette County School District #9 (rural): math 50% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #22 of 41 in WY (top 54%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Sublette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Sublette County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 199 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 199 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.11%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $193,174
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -35.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716 E 3rd St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,972 (+3%) | 3mo | $268,000 | $136 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.57% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $17,951
- Equity at exit
- $53,206
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $59,305
- Equity at exit
- $79,736
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Wyoming
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83113
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,042 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $297/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $91
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 199 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 198 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 197 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $125,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 190 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 186 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 185 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 183 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 182 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 181 DOM
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2026-01-05status Active 949-char remark
Show marketing remark (949 chars)
Welcome to your new home! This charming manufactured home is perfectly situated on a desirable corner lot, offering both privacy and convenience. As you approach, you'll notice the spacious carport, providing ample parking and protection for your vehicles. Inside, the home boasts a well-designed layout with comfortable living spaces, perfect for both relaxation and entertaining. The kitchen is equipped with modern appliances and plenty of storage, making meal preparation a breeze. The bedrooms are cozy and inviting, offering a peaceful retreat at the end of the day. Outside, the corner lot provides a generous yard space, ideal for gardening, outdoor activities, or simply enjoying the fresh air. This property combines the benefits of a manufactured home with the advantages of a prime location, making it a must-see for anyone seeking a comfortable and convenient lifestyle. Don't miss the opportunity to make this delightful home your own!
-
2026-01-05status Active 949-char remark
Show marketing remark (949 chars)
Welcome to your new home! This charming manufactured home is perfectly situated on a desirable corner lot, offering both privacy and convenience. As you approach, you'll notice the spacious carport, providing ample parking and protection for your vehicles. Inside, the home boasts a well-designed layout with comfortable living spaces, perfect for both relaxation and entertaining. The kitchen is equipped with modern appliances and plenty of storage, making meal preparation a breeze. The bedrooms are cozy and inviting, offering a peaceful retreat at the end of the day. Outside, the corner lot provides a generous yard space, ideal for gardening, outdoor activities, or simply enjoying the fresh air. This property combines the benefits of a manufactured home with the advantages of a prime location, making it a must-see for anyone seeking a comfortable and convenient lifestyle. Don't miss the opportunity to make this delightful home your own!
-
2025-08-04status Pending 949-char remark
Show marketing remark (949 chars)
Welcome to your new home! This charming manufactured home is perfectly situated on a desirable corner lot, offering both privacy and convenience. As you approach, you'll notice the spacious carport, providing ample parking and protection for your vehicles. Inside, the home boasts a well-designed layout with comfortable living spaces, perfect for both relaxation and entertaining. The kitchen is equipped with modern appliances and plenty of storage, making meal preparation a breeze. The bedrooms are cozy and inviting, offering a peaceful retreat at the end of the day. Outside, the corner lot provides a generous yard space, ideal for gardening, outdoor activities, or simply enjoying the fresh air. This property combines the benefits of a manufactured home with the advantages of a prime location, making it a must-see for anyone seeking a comfortable and convenient lifestyle. Don't miss the opportunity to make this delightful home your own!
-
2025-08-04status Pending 949-char remark
Show marketing remark (949 chars)
Welcome to your new home! This charming manufactured home is perfectly situated on a desirable corner lot, offering both privacy and convenience. As you approach, you'll notice the spacious carport, providing ample parking and protection for your vehicles. Inside, the home boasts a well-designed layout with comfortable living spaces, perfect for both relaxation and entertaining. The kitchen is equipped with modern appliances and plenty of storage, making meal preparation a breeze. The bedrooms are cozy and inviting, offering a peaceful retreat at the end of the day. Outside, the corner lot provides a generous yard space, ideal for gardening, outdoor activities, or simply enjoying the fresh air. This property combines the benefits of a manufactured home with the advantages of a prime location, making it a must-see for anyone seeking a comfortable and convenient lifestyle. Don't miss the opportunity to make this delightful home your own!
-
2025-06-30$125,000 Active 949-char remark
Show marketing remark (949 chars)
Welcome to your new home! This charming manufactured home is perfectly situated on a desirable corner lot, offering both privacy and convenience. As you approach, you'll notice the spacious carport, providing ample parking and protection for your vehicles. Inside, the home boasts a well-designed layout with comfortable living spaces, perfect for both relaxation and entertaining. The kitchen is equipped with modern appliances and plenty of storage, making meal preparation a breeze. The bedrooms are cozy and inviting, offering a peaceful retreat at the end of the day. Outside, the corner lot provides a generous yard space, ideal for gardening, outdoor activities, or simply enjoying the fresh air. This property combines the benefits of a manufactured home with the advantages of a prime location, making it a must-see for anyone seeking a comfortable and convenient lifestyle. Don't miss the opportunity to make this delightful home your own!
-
2025-06-30$125,000 Active 949-char remark
Show marketing remark (949 chars)
Welcome to your new home! This charming manufactured home is perfectly situated on a desirable corner lot, offering both privacy and convenience. As you approach, you'll notice the spacious carport, providing ample parking and protection for your vehicles. Inside, the home boasts a well-designed layout with comfortable living spaces, perfect for both relaxation and entertaining. The kitchen is equipped with modern appliances and plenty of storage, making meal preparation a breeze. The bedrooms are cozy and inviting, offering a peaceful retreat at the end of the day. Outside, the corner lot provides a generous yard space, ideal for gardening, outdoor activities, or simply enjoying the fresh air. This property combines the benefits of a manufactured home with the advantages of a prime location, making it a must-see for anyone seeking a comfortable and convenient lifestyle. Don't miss the opportunity to make this delightful home your own!
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2023-10-06soldstatus
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2023-10-06soldstatus
-
2023-03-30$120,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $297 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $762 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- +$466/yr (+$39/mo · 157.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥85°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,502
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$297
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,000
- − Management
- −$1,000
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$1,058
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$254
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,343/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sublette County School District #9
- NCES district ID
- 5601260
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,891
- Composite
- 44.82/100
- National rank
- #2738
- State rank
- #22 of 41 in WY
Livability — Marbleton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #4584
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marbleton, WY
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,693
Population outlook (Sublette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,166 people
- By 2030
- 8,722 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 7,886 · -14.0%
- By 2050
- 7,292 · -20.4%
- By 2075
- 6,700 · -26.9%
- By 2100
- 6,934 · -24.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Portuguese 5% Scottish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sublette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.1) · D 18.8% · R 79.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -54.6pp · 2024: -61.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.1 2020: R+61.9 2016: R+64.3 2012: R+62.4 2008: R+54.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.57%
- Current HPI
- 289.7
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+4.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-05 Relisted — TBOR
- 2026-01-05 Relisted — WMLS
- 2025-08-04 Pending — WMLS
- 2025-08-04 Pending — TBOR
- 2025-06-30 Listed $125,000 WMLS
- 2025-06-30 Listed $125,000 TBOR
- 2023-10-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-10-06 Sold (MLS) — TBOR
- 2023-03-30 Listed $120,000 TBOR
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $297 · -17.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…