🏷️ Likely Rental
241 Wilson Rd · Spindale, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cute 2 BR, 1 BA cottage. New metal roof. New detached carport. Home needs some updating but would make a great project. Property being sold "AS IS". PLEASE DO NOT DISTURB THE TENANT AND DO NOT GO UP TO THE HOUSE WITHOUT AN APPOINTMENT!
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Detached carport
- 0.37 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Septic installed; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Site-built construction
- Construction: Metal roof; Asbestos construction materials; Crawl space foundation; Built on site
- Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Enclosed porch; Publicly maintained road access; Road surfaces are gravel and paved
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning (heat pump)
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; Living room fireplace; Enclosed front and rear porches
- Laundry & utility: Laundry/utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $687 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 3.4% in Spindale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#211 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing B; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Rutherford County Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #98 of 178 in NC (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 193 units permitted in Rutherford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Rutherford County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.57%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $209,832
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 Kingston Pl | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,395 (+12%) | 7mo | $350,000 | $251 | 65 |
| 117 Richmond Ct | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,395 (+12%) | 12mo | $349,000 | $250 | 63 |
| 383 West St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,254 (+0%) | 12mo | $250,000 | $199 | 61 |
| 116 Memphis Way | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,398 (+12%) | 6mo | $317,500 | $227 | 60 |
| 295 D Mathis Dr | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 1,140 (-9%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $57 | 54 |
| 133 North St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,328 (+6%) | 11mo | $205,000 | $154 | 53 |
| 236 D Mathis Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,075 (-14%) | 11mo | $195,000 | $181 | 43 |
| 197 Georgia St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 1,084 (-13%) | 10mo | $72,500 | $67 | 38 |
| 174 Hollins St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,069 (-14%) | 2mo | $179,900 | $168 | 37 |
| 182 Georgia St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,114 (-11%) | 19mo | $85,000 | $76 | 34 |
| 177 Alabama St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,113 (-11%) | 17mo | $40,000 | $36 | 31 |
| 652 Spindale St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 1,088 (-13%) | 18mo | $89,000 | $82 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.25×
- Total profit
- $109,052
- Equity at exit
- $108,015
- IRR
- 36.9%
- Equity multiple
- 9.54×
- Total profit
- $286,677
- Equity at exit
- $232,939
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28160
- Home prices YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,820 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $862/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $687
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $755 | -5% $721 | +0% $687 | +5% $653 | +10% $619 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $543 | -5% $615 | +0% $687 | +5% $759 | +10% $831 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $748 | -0.5pp $718 | base $687 | +0.5pp $656 | +1.0pp $625 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 Central St Rutherfordton, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,820 | $2.46 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-19status Pending
-
2026-05-19$119,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $862 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $983 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$121/yr (+$10/mo · 14.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,840
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$862
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,747
- − Management
- −$1,747
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $6,680
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,603
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,644/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rutherford County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704080
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,490
- Composite
- 36.11/100
- National rank
- #4753
- State rank
- #98 of 178 in NC
Livability — Spindale
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #211
- US rank
- #10189
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 3,825
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,825
Population outlook (Rutherford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,695 people
- By 2030
- 61,670 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 57,212 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 52,763 · -17.2%
- By 2075
- 44,493 · -30.1%
- By 2100
- 38,127 · -40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 5% Slovak 3% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rutherford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.8% · R 73.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: -31.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+45.8 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+31.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.11%
- Current HPI
- 328.8325
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-19 Listed $119,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+10.3%/yrLatest (2025): $862 · +34.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…