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511 Townshop Rd
C- Composite 52.25
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$1

511 Townshop Rd · Hustler, WI 54618
5 bd · 7.5 ba · 17,575 sqft · Other · 31 Days on market
Built 1996 35 ac lot ↓ 47% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

World class estate featuring best in class materials. Commercial level spa, pool, exercise facility, and racquetball court. Would be a dream residence or corporate retreat. Less than one hour from Madison, thirty minutes to Wisconsin Dells.

Key facts

  • Spa-like bath
  • Circular music room
  • Gated entrance

Tags

PRIVATE COUNTRY ESTATEGATED ENTRANCEGOURMET KITCHENCIRCULAR MUSIC ROOMWALK-IN CLOSETSSPA-LIKE BATH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/7.5-bath other listed at $1.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#514 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • New Lisbon School District (rural): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #334 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: New Lisbon Elementary (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #864 of 1,041 statewide, top 85%, 334 students, 55% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Juneau County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Juneau County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $1

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
133707.00%
Cap rate
1267540.36%
Cash-on-cash
4526907.38%
DSCR
201422.91
GRM
0.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
240342.61×
Total profit
$67,296
Equity at exit
$1
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
518965.93×
Total profit
$145,310
Equity at exit
$2

Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54618

Active inventory
8

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,337 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$0
Tax est. 1.5%
$0 /mo · $0/yr
Insurance
$0
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$1,056

Break-even live

Break-even rent
Max offer price $1
Occupancy floor 16%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$0
Closing costs
$0
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-16
    listed $1 Active
  3. 2016-08-02
    soldstatus $1,937,500
  4. 2014-01-15
    listed $3,650,000 240-char remark
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    World class estate featuring best in class materials. Commercial level spa, pool, exercise facility, and racquetball court. Would be a dream residence or corporate retreat. Less than one hour from Madison, thirty minutes to Wisconsin Dells.

  5. 2014-01-15
    historical 240-char remark
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    World class estate featuring best in class materials. Commercial level spa, pool, exercise facility, and racquetball court. Would be a dream residence or corporate retreat. Less than one hour from Madison, thirty minutes to Wisconsin Dells.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,045
− Mortgage interest
−$0
− Property taxes
−$0
− Insurance
−$0
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,284
− Management
−$1,284
− Depreciation
−$0
Taxable income
$13,478
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,235
After-tax cash flow
$9,441/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Lisbon School District
NCES district ID
5510560
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,996
Composite
15.02/100
National rank
#9358
State rank
#334 of 342 in WI

Livability — Hustler

Score
65/100
State rank
#514
US rank
#12986

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hustler, WI
City population
134
Population (ZIP)
2,198

Population outlook (Juneau County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,013 people
By 2030
24,154 · -3.4%
By 2040
22,217 · -11.2%
By 2050
20,276 · -18.9%
By 2075
15,919 · -36.4%
By 2100
11,351 · -54.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Romanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Juneau

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.1) · D 33.4% · R 65.6% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.0pp · 2024: -32.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.1 2020: R+29.2 2016: R+26.3 2012: D+7.1 2008: D+9.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 156.84%
Current HPI
352.28
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-46.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Pending SCWMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $1 SCWMLS
  • 2016-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $1,937,500 Public Records
  • 2014-01-15 Listing Removed METROMLS
  • 2014-01-15 Listed $3,650,000 METROMLS

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $40,673 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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