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4446 Jardin Dr NW
B- Composite 66.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

4446 Jardin Dr NW · Walker, MI 49534
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 750 sqft · Manufactured · 33 Days on market
Built 1991 Good condition $680/mo HOA · 42% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don't miss out on this beautiful and well kept single wide in the desirable Leonard Gardens manufactured home park. This is a 2 bedroom 1 bathroom mobile home. Located at the end of a short dead end street this home offers a great setting for a peaceful and quiet home. Only a short drive to all the amenities that Walker has to offer!

Key facts

  • Built 1991
  • Listed 33 days

Tags

SHORT DEAD END STREETSHORT DRIVE TO AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other:
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $680 that includes water and sewer; Property is part of an association

Exterior

  • Parking:
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer included in association fee
  • Home design: Ranch-style residential property; Built in 1991
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Shed(s) on the property

Interior

  • Kitchen:
  • Bedrooms:
  • Flooring:
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Replacement windows; 4 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility:

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $145 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.1% in Walker — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#188 in MI, #4,765 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Kenowa Hills Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #205 of 540 in MI (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Kenowa Hills Middle School (math 28% / reading 44%, grade F, #269 of 493 statewide, top 56%, 623 students, 54% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 111 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 42% of rent.
Recommended offer $62,953 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.48%
Cap rate
8.97%
Cash-on-cash
9.58%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$7,449
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
25.1%
Equity multiple
4.18×
Total profit
$57,790
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49534

Home prices YoY
-28.4%
Rents YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
111
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,612 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $974/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$680
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$145

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,428
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $190 -5% $167 +0% $145 +5% $123 +10% $100
Rent -10% $18 -5% $81 +0% $145 +5% $209 +10% $272
Rate -1.0pp $178 -0.5pp $162 base $145 +0.5pp $128 +1.0pp $111

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
327 Cummings Ave NW Grand Rapids, MI 1.0 1.5 1040 $1,749 $1.68 45d 1 1.02mi
511 Hampton Ln NW Walker, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 763 $1,519 $1.99 4d 5 1.07mi
306 Manzana Ct NW Walker, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 683 $1,392 $2.04 4d 52 1.30mi
680 Lake Michigan Dr NW Unit O-686 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,375 $1.53 4d 1 1.46mi
680 Lake Michigan Dr NW Unit O-682 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,275 $1.42 45d 1 1.46mi
680 Lake Michigan Dr NW Unit O-680 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,399 $1.55 13d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$680 · $8,160/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $64,900 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    price $64,900 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $70,000 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    listed $70,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Don't miss out on this beautiful and well kept single wide in the desirable Leonard Gardens manufactured home park. This is a 2 bedroom 1 bathroom mobile home. Located at the end of a short dead end street this home offers a great setting for a peaceful and quiet home. Only a short drive to all the amenities that Walker has to offer!

  17. 2026-05-19
    listed $70,000 Active 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Don't miss out on this beautiful and well kept single wide in the desirable Leonard Gardens manufactured home park. This is a 2 bedroom 1 bathroom mobile home. Located at the end of a short dead end street this home offers a great setting for a peaceful and quiet home. Only a short drive to all the amenities that Walker has to offer!

  18. 2026-05-19
    listed $70,000 Active 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Don't miss out on this beautiful and well kept single wide in the desirable Leonard Gardens manufactured home park. This is a 2 bedroom 1 bathroom mobile home. Located at the end of a short dead end street this home offers a great setting for a peaceful and quiet home. Only a short drive to all the amenities that Walker has to offer!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,345
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$974
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,548
− Management
−$1,548
− HOA
−$8,160
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$1,268
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$304
After-tax cash flow
$1,436/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 17 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-wide manufactured home in Leonard Gardens is in good condition with minor repairs needed. It offers a peaceful setting and is ready for a fresh paint job and new carpet to enhance its curb appeal and interior aesthetics.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen countertops — Worn appearance
  • Minor Paint touch-ups — Chipped paint

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn carpet — New carpet improves comfort and adds value
  • Both Update kitchen countertops — New countertops modernize the space and add value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen countertops · Worn appearance Minor $500–3,000
Paint touch-ups · Chipped paint Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn carpet — New carpet improves comfort and adds value
  • Both Update kitchen countertops — New countertops modernize the space and add value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kenowa Hills Public Schools
NCES district ID
2620280
Math proficiency
33% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$53,387
Composite
34.36/100
National rank
#5221
State rank
#205 of 540 in MI

Livability — Walker

Score
74/100
State rank
#188
US rank
#4765

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Walker, MI
County
Kent County · 533,805 people
City population
33,350
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
Population (ZIP)
23,719
Household income
$81,657
Rent vs Own
29.9% rent · 70.1% own
Severe rent burden
415.0

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
712,484 people
By 2030
748,618 · +5.1%
By 2040
814,777 · +14.4%
By 2050
868,556 · +21.9%
By 2075
966,487 · +35.7%
By 2100
967,975 · +35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 20% Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.59%
Current HPI
270.866
Rent YoY
▲ 7.87%
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $70,000 SW Michigan MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…