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132 E Bonnet Cir 🌊 Lakefront
F Composite 33.23
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Cash flow +3.7/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

132 E Bonnet Cir · Port Isabel, TX 78578
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 408 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 174 Days on market
Built 1995 $380/sqft · 9% above area Est $284k · 45% under $355/mo HOA · 26% of rent ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Two Bedroom Two Bath unit located in an amenity rich resort with many scheduled activities for making lifetime friends! Furnished and move-in ready including the washer and dryer. Opportunity to use as a vacation home and rent to create income. Only minutes from the beaches of South Padre Island and cross the swing bridge to historic Port Isabel.

Key facts

  • Amenity rich resort
  • Historic port isabel
  • Minutes from beaches

Tags

AMENITY RICH RESORTMINUTES FROM BEACHESHISTORIC PORT ISABEL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-520 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $74k (52.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (11.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (52.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#157 in TX, #4,282 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Point Isabel ISD (town): math 14% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #756 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 254 active listings in the ZIP; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 174 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 26% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,316 (52.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 174 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 52% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  11. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  12. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  13. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  14. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  15. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
2.78%
Cash-on-cash
-12.54%
DSCR
0.44
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$284,092
List price
$155,000
Delta
-45.44%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
620 Sand Dollar Dr 0.34mi 1/1.0 (-1) 408 (0%) 0mo $295,000 $723 75
674 E Clam Cir 0.44mi 1/1.0 (-1) 416 (+2%) 10mo $206,000 $495 59
786 E Oyster Dr #786 0.55mi 1/1.0 (-1) 416 (+2%) 13mo $295,000 $709 51
684 E Clam Cir 0.47mi 1/1.0 (-1) 440 (+8%) 16mo $255,000 $580 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-43.2%
Equity multiple
-0.33×
Total profit
$-57,886
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
-72.0%
Equity multiple
-1.11×
Total profit
$-91,629
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78578

Home prices YoY
-21.7%
Active inventory
254
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,378 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$310 /mo · $3,716/yr
Insurance
$65
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$355
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$-520

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,036
Max offer price $74,316
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$355 · $4,260/yr

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $155,000 Active 174 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $155,000 Active 172 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $155,000 Active 171 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $155,000 Active 169 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 168 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 167 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 166 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $155,000 Active 162 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 161 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 160 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 159 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $155,000 Active 158 DOM
  13. 2026-04-16
    price $155,000 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Two Bedroom Two Bath unit located in an amenity rich resort with many scheduled activities for making lifetime friends! Furnished and move-in ready including the washer and dryer. Opportunity to use as a vacation home and rent to create income. Only minutes from the beaches of South Padre Island and cross the swing bridge to historic Port Isabel.

  14. 2026-01-30
    price $163,000 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Two Bedroom Two Bath unit located in an amenity rich resort with many scheduled activities for making lifetime friends! Furnished and move-in ready including the washer and dryer. Opportunity to use as a vacation home and rent to create income. Only minutes from the beaches of South Padre Island and cross the swing bridge to historic Port Isabel.

  15. 2026-01-08
    status Active 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Two Bedroom Two Bath unit located in an amenity rich resort with many scheduled activities for making lifetime friends! Furnished and move-in ready including the washer and dryer. Opportunity to use as a vacation home and rent to create income. Only minutes from the beaches of South Padre Island and cross the swing bridge to historic Port Isabel.

  16. 2025-06-06
    listed $185,000 Active 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Two Bedroom Two Bath unit located in an amenity rich resort with many scheduled activities for making lifetime friends! Furnished and move-in ready including the washer and dryer. Opportunity to use as a vacation home and rent to create income. Only minutes from the beaches of South Padre Island and cross the swing bridge to historic Port Isabel.

  17. 2014-01-06
    soldstatus 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    NICE PARK MODEL WITH SHED-STYLE ROOF HAS BEEN ADDED ONTO (FULL-LENGTH) AND WOULD ALMOST PASS AS A COTTAGE HOME. TOTAL OF 2 BR/2 BTH WITH DECK AND STORAGE BUILDING IN BACK. NICELY LANDSCAPED, WASHER, DRYER, DISHWASHER, LOCATED ON A QUIET STREET IN GATED LONG ISLAND VILLAGE, WHERE AMENITIES ABOUND AND THE LAGUNA MADRE AND SOUTH PADRE ISLAND ARE JUST A FEW MINUTES AWAY.

  18. 2006-11-14
    soldstatus
  19. 2004-10-21
    soldstatus
  20. 1992-11-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,716 · $310/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,716 · $310/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 98% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,534
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$3,716
− Insurance
−$1,572
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,323
− Management
−$1,323
− HOA
−$4,260
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$8,851
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,124
After-tax cash flow
$-4,116/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Point Isabel ISD
NCES district ID
4835250
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$38,115
Composite
18.78/100
National rank
#8871
State rank
#756 of 826 in TX

Livability — Port Isabel

Score
75/100
State rank
#157
US rank
#4282

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,231

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
441,603 people
By 2030
448,113 · +1.5%
By 2040
456,385 · +3.3%
By 2050
456,294 · +3.3%
By 2075
423,851 · -4.0%
By 2100
342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 63% White 35% Two or more races 19%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 59%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
57% English-only · Spanish 42%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -61.69%
Current HPI
222.9501
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $155,000 SPIBOR
  • 2026-01-30 Price Changed $163,000 SPIBOR
  • 2026-01-08 Relisted SPIBOR
  • 2025-06-06 Listed $185,000 SPIBOR
  • 2014-01-06 Sold (MLS) SPIBOR
  • 2006-11-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-10-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1992-11-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+12.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,716 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…