🏗️ New Construction
Lyndon Plan · Evansville, IN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$396,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Introducing the Lyndon Plan: Where Luxury Meets Practicality. Elevate your lifestyle with the Lyndon Plan, a floorplan that seamlessly blends elegance with functionality. Nestled in the heart of innovation, this home is meticulously crafted to cater to your every need, offering a haven of comfort and style. * * Spacious 2-Car Garage and Mud Room: * * Pull into your spacious 2-car garage, where the promise of convenience begins. With ample space for your vehicles and more, this feature ensures your vehicles stay protected and your possessions well-organized. The adjacent mudroom welcomes you home, providing a designated space to shed the day's stress and clutter.
Key facts
- Separate den
- Walk-in closets
- Mud room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $396k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-640 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $366k (7.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $320k (19.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $320k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Oak Hill Elementary (math 61% / reading 62%, grade B, #117 of 994 statewide, top 12%, 547 students, 27% FRL); North Junior High School (math 44% / reading 57%, grade C, #43 of 330 statewide, top 14%, 929 students, 42% FRL); North High School (math 57% / reading 74%, grade B, #29 of 369 statewide, top 8%, 1,674 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 35% FRL vs 50% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 59% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 509 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($106k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($372k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.99%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $458,473
- List price
- $396,000
- Delta
- -13.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10500 Browning Rd | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 | 2,497 (-1%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $130 | 85 |
| 1033 Triple Crown Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,466 (-2%) | 4mo | $484,888 | $197 | 64 |
| 906 Saint Giles Ct | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,371 (-6%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $152 | 50 |
| 9402 Petersburg Rd | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 2,735 (+8%) | 18mo | $380,000 | $139 | 34 |
| 915 St Giles Ct | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,368 (-6%) | 20mo | $339,000 | $143 | 34 |
| 900 Gabriel Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,155 (-14%) | 14mo | $365,000 | $169 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-115,032
- Equity at exit
- $68,360
- IRR
- -23.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.19×
- Total profit
- $-152,492
- Equity at exit
- $39,640
Cash invested: $128,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 9 active · 8 under contract
- Months of supply
- 4.2 mo (24%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $414,000 ($159/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 66 d
- This list price
- 33% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +14.1% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 47725
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Active inventory
- 509
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,404
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$573 /mo · $6,877/yr
- Insurance
- −$191
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$672
- Net cashflow
- $-640
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-324 | -5% $-482 | +0% $-640 | +5% $-799 | +10% $-957 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-893 | -5% $-767 | +0% $-640 | +5% $-514 | +10% $-388 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-410 | -0.5pp $-524 | base $-640 | +0.5pp $-759 | +1.0pp $-880 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $114,618
- Closing costs
- $13,754
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 434 Mount Ashley Rd Evansville, IN | 5.0 | 3.5 | 3728 | $3,200 | $0.86 | 70d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Address: Evansville, IN 47725
- Financial info
- List price $396,000
Exterior
- Parking
- 2-car garage (2 total parking spaces)
- Home design
- Lyndon plan (new construction)Single-family residence
- Construction
- Built 2026 (plan year)New construction
- Exterior features
- Living area approximately 2,520
Interior
- Kitchen
- Included as standard in the Lyndon plan
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom
- Interior features
- Open living area (plan home)
Listing history 49 events
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2026-08-08days on market $396,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $396,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $396,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $396,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $396,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $396,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $396,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $396,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $396,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $396,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $396,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $396,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $396,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $396,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $396,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $396,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $396,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $396,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $396,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $396,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $396,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $396,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $396,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $396,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $396,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $396,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $396,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $396,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $396,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $396,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $396,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $396,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $396,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $396,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $396,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $396,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $396,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $396,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $396,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $396,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $396,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $396,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $396,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $396,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $396,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $396,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $396,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-07$396,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,682
- − Property taxes
- −$6,877
- − Insurance
- −$2,292
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,072
- − Management
- −$3,072
- − Depreciation
- −$13,337
- Taxable loss
- −$15,932
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,824
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,861/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It is move-in ready and would benefit from fresh paint and landscaping to further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers ↑
- Both Kitchen appliances — Upgrading appliances can increase both resale and rental value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803450
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,270
- Composite
- 33.41/100
- National rank
- #5471
- State rank
- #153 of 301 in IN
Livability — Evansville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #15047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Vanderburgh · 187,038 people
- City population
- 146,793
- Metro
- Evansville, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,436
- Household income
- $105,528
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,038 people
- By 2030
- 188,907 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 190,272 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 188,871 · +1.0%
- By 2075
- 180,751 · -3.4%
- By 2100
- 163,015 · -12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.73%
- Current HPI
- 179.2534
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…