CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
Lyndon Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 33.92
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.2/30.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$396,000

Lyndon Plan · Evansville, IN 47725
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,520 sqft · SingleFamily · 64 Days on market
Excellent condition 2-car garage

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Introducing the Lyndon Plan: Where Luxury Meets Practicality. Elevate your lifestyle with the Lyndon Plan, a floorplan that seamlessly blends elegance with functionality. Nestled in the heart of innovation, this home is meticulously crafted to cater to your every need, offering a haven of comfort and style. * * Spacious 2-Car Garage and Mud Room: * * Pull into your spacious 2-car garage, where the promise of convenience begins. With ample space for your vehicles and more, this feature ensures your vehicles stay protected and your possessions well-organized. The adjacent mudroom welcomes you home, providing a designated space to shed the day's stress and clutter.

Key facts

  • Separate den
  • Walk-in closets
  • Mud room

Tags

SPACIOUS 2-CAR GARAGEMUD ROOMWALK-IN CLOSETSSEPARATE DEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $396,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $458,473.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $396k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-640 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $366k (7.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $320k (19.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $320k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Oak Hill Elementary (math 61% / reading 62%, grade B, #117 of 994 statewide, top 12%, 547 students, 27% FRL); North Junior High School (math 44% / reading 57%, grade C, #43 of 330 statewide, top 14%, 929 students, 42% FRL); North High School (math 57% / reading 74%, grade B, #29 of 369 statewide, top 8%, 1,674 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 35% FRL vs 50% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 59% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 509 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($106k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($372k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $320,000 (19.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
4.62%
Cash-on-cash
-5.99%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$458,473
List price
$396,000
Delta
-13.63%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10500 Browning Rd 0.21mi 4/2.0 2,497 (-1%) 2mo $325,000 $130 85
1033 Triple Crown Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,466 (-2%) 4mo $484,888 $197 64
906 Saint Giles Ct 0.74mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,371 (-6%) 1mo $360,000 $152 50
9402 Petersburg Rd 0.74mi 4/2.0 2,735 (+8%) 18mo $380,000 $139 34
915 St Giles Ct 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,368 (-6%) 20mo $339,000 $143 34
900 Gabriel Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,155 (-14%) 14mo $365,000 $169 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.6%
Equity multiple
0.10×
Total profit
$-115,032
Equity at exit
$68,360
10-year hold
IRR
-23.8%
Equity multiple
-0.19×
Total profit
$-152,492
Equity at exit
$39,640

Cash invested: $128,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
9 active · 8 under contract
Months of supply
4.2 mo (24%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$414,000 ($159/sqft)
Median days on market
66 d
This list price
33% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+14.1% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 47725

Home prices YoY
-28.3%
Active inventory
509
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,404
Tax est. 1.5%
$573 /mo · $6,877/yr
Insurance
$191
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$672
Net cashflow
$-640

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,011
Max offer price $365,806
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-324 -5% $-482 +0% $-640 +5% $-799 +10% $-957
Rent -10% $-893 -5% $-767 +0% $-640 +5% $-514 +10% $-388
Rate -1.0pp $-410 -0.5pp $-524 base $-640 +0.5pp $-759 +1.0pp $-880

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$114,618
Closing costs
$13,754
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
434 Mount Ashley Rd Evansville, IN 5.0 3.5 3728 $3,200 $0.86 70d 1 1.18mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Address: Evansville, IN 47725
Financial info
List price $396,000

Exterior

Parking
2-car garage (2 total parking spaces)
Home design
Lyndon plan (new construction)Single-family residence
Construction
Built 2026 (plan year)New construction
Exterior features
Living area approximately 2,520

Interior

Kitchen
Included as standard in the Lyndon plan
Bedrooms
4 bedrooms
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom
Interior features
Open living area (plan home)

Listing history 49 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $396,000 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $396,000 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $396,000 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $396,000 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $396,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $396,000 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $396,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-07-29
    days on market $396,000 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-07-27
    days on market $396,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-07-25
    days on market $396,000 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $396,000 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $396,000 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $396,000 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $396,000 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $396,000 Active 43 DOM
  16. 2026-07-16
    days on market $396,000 Active 41 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $396,000 Active 40 DOM
  18. 2026-07-14
    days on market $396,000 Active 39 DOM
  19. 2026-07-13
    days on market $396,000 Active 38 DOM
  20. 2026-07-12
    days on market $396,000 Active 37 DOM
  21. 2026-07-10
    days on market $396,000 Active 35 DOM
  22. 2026-07-09
    days on market $396,000 Active 34 DOM
  23. 2026-07-08
    days on market $396,000 Active 33 DOM
  24. 2026-07-07
    days on market $396,000 Active 32 DOM
  25. 2026-07-06
    days on market $396,000 Active 31 DOM
  26. 2026-07-05
    days on market $396,000 Active 30 DOM
  27. 2026-07-04
    days on market $396,000 Active 29 DOM
  28. 2026-07-03
    days on market $396,000 Active 28 DOM
  29. 2026-07-02
    days on market $396,000 Active 27 DOM
  30. 2026-07-01
    days on market $396,000 Active 26 DOM
  31. 2026-06-30
    days on market $396,000 Active 25 DOM
  32. 2026-06-29
    days on market $396,000 Active 24 DOM
  33. 2026-06-28
    days on market $396,000 Active 23 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $396,000 Active 22 DOM
  35. 2026-06-27
    days on market $396,000 Active 21 DOM
  36. 2026-06-25
    days on market $396,000 Active 19 DOM
  37. 2026-06-23
    days on market $396,000 Active 17 DOM
  38. 2026-06-22
    days on market $396,000 Active 16 DOM
  39. 2026-06-18
    days on market $396,000 Active 13 DOM
  40. 2026-06-17
    days on market $396,000 Active 12 DOM
  41. 2026-06-16
    days on market $396,000 Active 11 DOM
  42. 2026-06-15
    days on market $396,000 Active 10 DOM
  43. 2026-06-14
    days on market $396,000 Active 8 DOM
  44. 2026-06-13
    days on market $396,000 Active 7 DOM
  45. 2026-06-10
    days on market $396,000 Active 5 DOM
  46. 2026-06-09
    days on market $396,000 Active 4 DOM
  47. 2026-06-08
    days on market $396,000 Active 3 DOM
  48. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  49. 2026-06-07
    listed $396,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,400
− Mortgage interest
−$25,682
− Property taxes
−$6,877
− Insurance
−$2,292
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,072
− Management
−$3,072
− Depreciation
−$13,337
Taxable loss
−$15,932
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,824
After-tax cash flow
$-3,861/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It is move-in ready and would benefit from fresh paint and landscaping to further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more buyers
  • Both Kitchen appliances — Upgrading appliances can increase both resale and rental value
D Composite school gradezoned avg 56/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Oak Hill Elementary B IN #117/994 Nat'l #6,818/41,679 Middle North Junior High School C IN #43/330 Nat'l #3,367/14,009 High New Tech Institute C- IN #79/369 Nat'l #4,461/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803450
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,270
Composite
33.41/100
National rank
#5471
State rank
#153 of 301 in IN
C Composite livability gradescore 63/100

Livability — Evansville

Score
63/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#15047

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Vanderburgh · 187,038 people
City population
146,793
Metro
Evansville, IN
Population (ZIP)
19,436
Household income
$105,528
Rent vs Own
2.8% rent · 97.2% own
Severe rent burden
13% of renters

Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,038 people
By 2030
188,907 · +1.0%
By 2040
190,272 · +1.7%
By 2050
188,871 · +1.0%
By 2075
180,751 · -3.4%
By 2100
163,015 · -12.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh

2024 margin
R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…