1907 N Clinton St · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$41,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SINGLE FAMILY HOME OFFERED AS OART IF A LARGER PORTFOLIO. PROPERTY MAY BE PURCHASED INDIVUALLY OR AS PART OF THE PORTFOLIO PACKAGE. GREAT FOR POTENTIAL INVESTORS.
Key facts
- 4,800 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $41k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $549 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $41k).
- Cap rate 22.4% vs local median 8.3% in Saginaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $283 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 57.40%
- DSCR
- 3.55
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $42,768
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1719 N Charles St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-1%) | 1mo | $37,000 | $39 | 89 |
| 2125 State St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 986 (+1%) | 4mo | $40,200 | $41 | 87 |
| 1608 Congress Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 948 (-2%) | 3mo | $64,000 | $68 | 82 |
| 1523 W Genesee St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-4%) | 3mo | $53,500 | $57 | 79 |
| 35 Congress Court A | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,026 (+6%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $112 | 65 |
| 2513 Barnard St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 966 (-1%) | 3mo | $41,000 | $42 | 64 |
| 1715 Hancock St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 970 (-0%) | 1mo | $42,500 | $44 | 63 |
| 2022 Benjamin St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,016 (+4%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $34 | 62 |
| 2821 Cooper Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 917 (-6%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $104 | 54 |
| 703 N Bond St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (+9%) | 2mo | $9,000 | $9 | 49 |
| 2312 Durand St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 849 (-13%) | 4mo | $24,750 | $29 | 48 |
| 2512 WITTERS St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,095 (+13%) | 3mo | $109,900 | $100 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 57.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.56×
- Total profit
- $29,398
- Equity at exit
- $6,113
- IRR
- 62.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.54×
- Total profit
- $75,094
- Equity at exit
- $3,545
Cash invested: $11,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48602
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,054 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$215
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$51 /mo · $615/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $549
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,250
- Closing costs
- $1,230
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-03-15historical
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
SINGLE FAMILY HOME OFFERED AS OART IF A LARGER PORTFOLIO. PROPERTY MAY BE PURCHASED INDIVUALLY OR AS PART OF THE PORTFOLIO PACKAGE. GREAT FOR POTENTIAL INVESTORS.
-
2026-03-15historical 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
SINGLE FAMILY HOME OFFERED AS OART IF A LARGER PORTFOLIO. PROPERTY MAY BE PURCHASED INDIVUALLY OR AS PART OF THE PORTFOLIO PACKAGE. GREAT FOR POTENTIAL INVESTORS.
-
2026-03-14$41,000
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
SINGLE FAMILY HOME OFFERED AS OART IF A LARGER PORTFOLIO. PROPERTY MAY BE PURCHASED INDIVUALLY OR AS PART OF THE PORTFOLIO PACKAGE. GREAT FOR POTENTIAL INVESTORS.
-
2026-03-14$41,000 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
SINGLE FAMILY HOME OFFERED AS OART IF A LARGER PORTFOLIO. PROPERTY MAY BE PURCHASED INDIVUALLY OR AS PART OF THE PORTFOLIO PACKAGE. GREAT FOR POTENTIAL INVESTORS.
-
2025-06-27historical
-
2025-06-25$47,000 Active
-
2025-06-25$47,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,646
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,297
- − Property taxes
- −$615
- − Insurance
- −$205
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,012
- − Management
- −$1,012
- − Depreciation
- −$1,193
- Taxable income
- $6,313
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,515
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,075/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 2630390
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,940
- Composite
- 19.6/100
- National rank
- #8755
- State rank
- #444 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saginaw, MI
- County
- Saginaw County · 54,884 people
- City population
- 54,884
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,127
- Household income
- $46,984
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1416.0
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.15%
- Current HPI
- 159.8807
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.98%
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-12.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-15 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-14 Listed $41,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-14 Listed $41,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-27 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-25 Listed $47,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-25 Listed $47,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,157 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…