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1907 N Clinton St
B Composite 70.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.4/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$41,000

1907 N Clinton St · Saginaw, MI 48602
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 972 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1920 4,800 sqft lot Est $43k · at est. ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

SINGLE FAMILY HOME OFFERED AS OART IF A LARGER PORTFOLIO. PROPERTY MAY BE PURCHASED INDIVUALLY OR AS PART OF THE PORTFOLIO PACKAGE. GREAT FOR POTENTIAL INVESTORS.

Key facts

  • 4,800 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $41k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $549 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $41k).
  • Cap rate 22.4% vs local median 8.3% in Saginaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $283 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $41,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.57%
Cap rate
22.37%
Cash-on-cash
57.40%
DSCR
3.55
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$42,768
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1719 N Charles St 0.17mi 3/1.0 960 (-1%) 1mo $37,000 $39 89
2125 State St 0.17mi 3/1.0 986 (+1%) 4mo $40,200 $41 87
1608 Congress Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 948 (-2%) 3mo $64,000 $68 82
1523 W Genesee St 0.27mi 3/1.0 936 (-4%) 3mo $53,500 $57 79
35 Congress Court A 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,026 (+6%) 0mo $115,000 $112 65
2513 Barnard St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 966 (-1%) 3mo $41,000 $42 64
1715 Hancock St 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 970 (-0%) 1mo $42,500 $44 63
2022 Benjamin St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,016 (+4%) 4mo $35,000 $34 62
2821 Cooper Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 917 (-6%) 3mo $95,000 $104 54
703 N Bond St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,056 (+9%) 2mo $9,000 $9 49
2312 Durand St 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 849 (-13%) 4mo $24,750 $29 48
2512 WITTERS St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,095 (+13%) 3mo $109,900 $100 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
57.0%
Equity multiple
3.56×
Total profit
$29,398
Equity at exit
$6,113
10-year hold
IRR
62.3%
Equity multiple
7.54×
Total profit
$75,094
Equity at exit
$3,545

Cash invested: $11,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48602

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
250
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,054 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$215
Tax est. 1.5%
$51 /mo · $615/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$221
Net cashflow
$549

Break-even live

Break-even rent $359
Max offer price $41,000
Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,250
Closing costs
$1,230
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-03-15
    historical
    Show marketing remark (162 chars)

    SINGLE FAMILY HOME OFFERED AS OART IF A LARGER PORTFOLIO. PROPERTY MAY BE PURCHASED INDIVUALLY OR AS PART OF THE PORTFOLIO PACKAGE. GREAT FOR POTENTIAL INVESTORS.

  2. 2026-03-15
    historical 162-char remark
    Show marketing remark (162 chars)

    SINGLE FAMILY HOME OFFERED AS OART IF A LARGER PORTFOLIO. PROPERTY MAY BE PURCHASED INDIVUALLY OR AS PART OF THE PORTFOLIO PACKAGE. GREAT FOR POTENTIAL INVESTORS.

  3. 2026-03-14
    listed $41,000
    Show marketing remark (162 chars)

    SINGLE FAMILY HOME OFFERED AS OART IF A LARGER PORTFOLIO. PROPERTY MAY BE PURCHASED INDIVUALLY OR AS PART OF THE PORTFOLIO PACKAGE. GREAT FOR POTENTIAL INVESTORS.

  4. 2026-03-14
    listed $41,000 162-char remark
    Show marketing remark (162 chars)

    SINGLE FAMILY HOME OFFERED AS OART IF A LARGER PORTFOLIO. PROPERTY MAY BE PURCHASED INDIVUALLY OR AS PART OF THE PORTFOLIO PACKAGE. GREAT FOR POTENTIAL INVESTORS.

  5. 2025-06-27
    historical
  6. 2025-06-25
    listed $47,000 Active
  7. 2025-06-25
    listed $47,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,646
− Mortgage interest
−$2,297
− Property taxes
−$615
− Insurance
−$205
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,012
− Management
−$1,012
− Depreciation
−$1,193
Taxable income
$6,313
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,515
After-tax cash flow
$5,075/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saginaw School District
NCES district ID
2630390
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$28,940
Composite
19.6/100
National rank
#8755
State rank
#444 of 540 in MI

Livability — Saginaw

Score
63/100
State rank
#521
US rank
#15424

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saginaw, MI
County
Saginaw County · 54,884 people
City population
54,884
Metro
Saginaw, MI
Population (ZIP)
27,127
Household income
$46,984
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
1416.0

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.15%
Current HPI
159.8807
Rent YoY
▲ 3.98%
Metro
Saginaw, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-15 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $41,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $41,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-25 Listed $47,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-25 Listed $47,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,157 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…