7129 Northland St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.17%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +1.7/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$93,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great rental income property or great starter for a small family! Pull up a chair and enjoy this front patio which also has a ramp built on the side of the house leading up to the deck/patio! Nice size kitchen & master bedroom that's equipped with a walk-in shower! Property is currently occupied by a tenant *Enjoy an instant rental income!!!* Schedule a property showing today!
Key facts
- Built 1922
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $204 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $94k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $646 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $94k implies a 392% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.34%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $82,764
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7129 Northland St | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 684 (0%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $73 | 99 |
| 617 E 57th St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 772 (+13%) | 7mo | $136,000 | $176 | 56 |
| 803 E 58th St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 716 (+5%) | 21mo | $50,000 | $70 | 54 |
| 161 W 65th St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (+14%) | 8mo | $94,762 | $121 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-5,268
- Equity at exit
- $13,941
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $147
- Equity at exit
- $8,084
Cash invested: $26,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32208
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 291
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,062 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$490
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,265/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $204
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,375
- Closing costs
- $2,805
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6701 N Main St Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 92 W 55th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $845 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 481 E 44th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 668 | $899 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 18 W 43rd St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 4d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5035 N Main St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 816 | $1,181 | $1.45 | 23d | 69 | 1.06mi |
| 6460 Lanark Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,095 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4603 Wendell Ct Unit 14 Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $850 | $2.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 851 Broxton St Unit 851 Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $875 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18pricestatusdays on market $93,500 Under Contract
-
2026-04-15status Pending
-
2026-03-29$93,000 Active
-
2018-06-30historical 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Great rental income property or great starter for a small family! Pull up a chair and enjoy this front patio which also has a ramp built on the side of the house leading up to the deck/patio! Nice size kitchen & master bedroom that's equipped with a walk-in shower! Property is currently occupied by a tenant *Enjoy an instant rental income!!!* Schedule a property showing today!
-
2018-02-13price $39,900 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Great rental income property or great starter for a small family! Pull up a chair and enjoy this front patio which also has a ramp built on the side of the house leading up to the deck/patio! Nice size kitchen & master bedroom that's equipped with a walk-in shower! Property is currently occupied by a tenant *Enjoy an instant rental income!!!* Schedule a property showing today!
-
2018-01-25price $39,939 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Great rental income property or great starter for a small family! Pull up a chair and enjoy this front patio which also has a ramp built on the side of the house leading up to the deck/patio! Nice size kitchen & master bedroom that's equipped with a walk-in shower! Property is currently occupied by a tenant *Enjoy an instant rental income!!!* Schedule a property showing today!
-
2017-12-28price $39,949 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Great rental income property or great starter for a small family! Pull up a chair and enjoy this front patio which also has a ramp built on the side of the house leading up to the deck/patio! Nice size kitchen & master bedroom that's equipped with a walk-in shower! Property is currently occupied by a tenant *Enjoy an instant rental income!!!* Schedule a property showing today!
-
2017-11-28price $39,950 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Great rental income property or great starter for a small family! Pull up a chair and enjoy this front patio which also has a ramp built on the side of the house leading up to the deck/patio! Nice size kitchen & master bedroom that's equipped with a walk-in shower! Property is currently occupied by a tenant *Enjoy an instant rental income!!!* Schedule a property showing today!
-
2017-08-29price $39,999 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Great rental income property or great starter for a small family! Pull up a chair and enjoy this front patio which also has a ramp built on the side of the house leading up to the deck/patio! Nice size kitchen & master bedroom that's equipped with a walk-in shower! Property is currently occupied by a tenant *Enjoy an instant rental income!!!* Schedule a property showing today!
-
2017-08-14price $44,000 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Great rental income property or great starter for a small family! Pull up a chair and enjoy this front patio which also has a ramp built on the side of the house leading up to the deck/patio! Nice size kitchen & master bedroom that's equipped with a walk-in shower! Property is currently occupied by a tenant *Enjoy an instant rental income!!!* Schedule a property showing today!
-
2017-06-20$45,000 Active 385-char remark
Show marketing remark (385 chars)
Great rental income property or great starter for a small family! Pull up a chair and enjoy this front patio which also has a ramp built on the side of the house leading up to the deck/patio! Nice size kitchen & master bedroom that's equipped with a walk-in shower! Property is currently occupied by a tenant *Enjoy an instant rental income!!!* Schedule a property showing today!
-
2007-06-27historical 29-char remark
Show marketing remark (29 chars)
COMPLETELY REMODELED IN 2006.
-
2006-12-27$59,000 29-char remark
Show marketing remark (29 chars)
COMPLETELY REMODELED IN 2006.
-
1998-04-28soldstatus $19,000
-
1998-04-28soldstatus $41,000
-
1997-09-11soldstatus $9,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,265 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,265 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 17% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,738
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,237
- − Property taxes
- −$1,265
- − Insurance
- −$468
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,019
- − Management
- −$1,019
- − Depreciation
- −$2,720
- Taxable income
- $1,010
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$242
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,204/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,699
- Household income
- $41,324
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1765.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.56%
- Current HPI
- 217.9706
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.36%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+933.3% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-03-29 Listed $93,000 realMLS
- 2018-06-30 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2018-02-13 Price Changed $39,900 realMLS
- 2018-01-25 Price Changed $39,939 realMLS
- 2017-12-28 Price Changed $39,949 realMLS
- 2017-11-28 Price Changed $39,950 realMLS
- 2017-08-29 Price Changed $39,999 realMLS
- 2017-08-14 Price Changed $44,000 realMLS
- 2017-06-20 Listed $45,000 realMLS
- 2007-06-27 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2006-12-27 Listed $59,000 realMLS
- 1998-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
- 1998-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
- 1997-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,265 · +24.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…