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10 Pontotoc Trl
C- Composite 50.99
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$195,000

10 Pontotoc Trl · Cherokee Village, AR 72529
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,968 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 302 Days on market
Built 2009 10,454 sqft lot $99/sqft · 21% below area Est $248k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment Opportunity! Tucked away on a cul-de-sac near Lake Chanute is this stylish 1-level home with a large 420sqft 1-car garage. Built in 2009. This home is very spacious and freshly painted throughout. Central HVAC. 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, (one of which has a walk-in shower and a jetted tub!) large livingroom with a bay window, kitchen with lots of cabinet space and a bar & dining room with french-doors leading out to the side porch. Tile flooring in kitchen, dining, laundry area, and bathrooms. Laminate flooring in all other rooms. All electric and there is a security system installed. Stainless steel dishwasher stays. Ownership of this beautiful home comes with access to Cherokee Village amenities which includes 7 lakes, 2 golf courses, South Fork River, parks, walking trails, tennis court, community center with work-out equipment, pickleball and miniature golf & swimming pools to name a few. Holiday festivities throughout the year and other local town activities give our residence plenty to do in any season. Many tourists enjoy our beautiful Spring River where you can kayak or canoe, fish or swim. Will be on a Year Lease Contract starting April 1st

Key facts

  • Central hvac
  • Bay window
  • Walk-in shower

Tags

CUL-DE-SACLAKE CHANUTECENTRAL HVACWALK-IN SHOWERJETTED TUBBAY WINDOW

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (15.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.7% in Cherokee Village — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#227 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Highland School District (town): math 43% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 238 in AR (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 688 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 302 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 12900% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $46k; list at $195k implies a 324% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $165,331 (15.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 302 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.90%
Cash-on-cash
2.18%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$248,379
List price
$195,000
Delta
-21.49%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4 Susquehanna Dr 0.72mi 2/2.0 (-1) 2,204 (+12%) 4mo $115,000 $52 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.9%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-25,339
Equity at exit
$29,075
10-year hold
IRR
-3.9%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-14,176
Equity at exit
$16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72529

Home prices YoY
-18.2%
Active inventory
688
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,653 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,236/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$347
Net cashflow
$99

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,528
Max offer price $195,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $195,000 Active 302 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $195,000 Active 301 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $195,000 Active 300 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $195,000 Active 299 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $195,000 Active 298 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $195,000 Active 296 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $195,000 Active 295 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active 292 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 291 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active 290 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $195,000 Active 286 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,000 Active 285 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,000 Active 284 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,000 Active 283 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,000 Active 282 DOM
  16. 2026-03-06
    historical $1,500
  17. 2025-11-15
    listed $1,500
  18. 2025-08-15
    listed $195,000 New Listing 1188-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1188 chars)

    Investment Opportunity! Tucked away on a cul-de-sac near Lake Chanute is this stylish 1-level home with a large 420sqft 1-car garage. Built in 2009. This home is very spacious and freshly painted throughout. Central HVAC. 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, (one of which has a walk-in shower and a jetted tub!) large livingroom with a bay window, kitchen with lots of cabinet space and a bar & dining room with french-doors leading out to the side porch. Tile flooring in kitchen, dining, laundry area, and bathrooms. Laminate flooring in all other rooms. All electric and there is a security system installed. Stainless steel dishwasher stays. Ownership of this beautiful home comes with access to Cherokee Village amenities which includes 7 lakes, 2 golf courses, South Fork River, parks, walking trails, tennis court, community center with work-out equipment, pickleball and miniature golf & swimming pools to name a few. Holiday festivities throughout the year and other local town activities give our residence plenty to do in any season. Many tourists enjoy our beautiful Spring River where you can kayak or canoe, fish or swim. Will be on a Year Lease Contract starting April 1st

  19. 2005-05-24
    soldstatus $46,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,236 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,248 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$12/yr (+$1/mo · 0.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,840
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$1,236
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,587
− Management
−$1,587
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$2,142
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$514
After-tax cash flow
$1,705/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highland School District
NCES district ID
0507770
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$32,066
Composite
33.63/100
National rank
#5400
State rank
#66 of 238 in AR

Livability — Cherokee Village

Score
62/100
State rank
#227
US rank
#17211

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cherokee Village, AR
City population
5,090
Population (ZIP)
5,090

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,739 people
By 2030
11,330 · -3.5%
By 2040
10,483 · -10.7%
By 2050
9,717 · -17.2%
By 2075
8,351 · -28.9%
By 2100
6,853 · -41.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Italian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.0% · R 80.1% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-43.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -62.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.1 2020: R+57.2 2016: R+50.7 2012: R+33.1 2008: R+18.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -40.53%
Current HPI
182.4438
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-96.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-06 Rental Removed $1,500 CARMLS
  • 2025-11-15 Listed for Rent $1,500 CARMLS
  • 2025-08-15 Listed $195,000 CARMLS
  • 2005-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,236 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…