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1407 W Nash St Unit 1407A Duplex
B Composite 72.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.7/15.0

$100,000

1407 W Nash St Unit 1407A · Milwaukee, WI 53206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,370 sqft · MultiFamily · 124 Days on market
Built 1924 Fair condition 2,613 sqft lot $73/sqft · 15% above area Est $87k · 15% over ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Investment opportunity in Milwaukee! Unit 1: 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath. Unit 2: 1 Bedroom, 1 Bath.

Key facts

  • 2,613 sq ft lot
  • Built 1924
  • Listed 123 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×2.0bd/1.0ba + 1×1.0bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $536 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $268/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,553/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 2061% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
12.72%
Cash-on-cash
22.96%
DSCR
2.02
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$86,929
List price
$100,000
Delta
15.04%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3349 N 16th St #3351 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,288 (-6%) 2mo $195,000 $151 68
3636 N 23rd St Unit 3636A 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,360 (-1%) 14mo $140,000 $103 58
3204 N 14th St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-5%) 21mo $130,000 $100 50
3351 N 6th St Unit 3351A 0.60mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,538 (+12%) 4mo $93,000 $60 43
3147 N 13th St #3149 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,543 (+13%) 23mo $132,500 $86 33
3431 N Vel R Phillips Avenue North Ave #3433 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,189 (-13%) 17mo $185,000 $156 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.3%
Equity multiple
4.46×
Total profit
$96,818
Equity at exit
$90,088
10-year hold
IRR
40.4%
Equity multiple
10.95×
Total profit
$278,657
Equity at exit
$194,278

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 53206

Rents YoY
8.3%
Active inventory
150
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,553 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$536

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 60%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2.0 1 $795
1× unit 1.0 1 $758
Total (2 units) $1,553

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3747 N 16th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1200 $875 $0.73 44d 1 0.12mi
3646 N 19th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 935 $1,100 $1.18 4d 1 0.27mi
3927-3929 N 17th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,195 $1.33 44d 1 0.29mi
3416 N 17th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 44d 1 0.34mi
3298 N 13th St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 885 $895 $1.01 44d 1 0.43mi
3911 N 20th St Unit 3913 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 950 $995 $1.05 24d 1 0.48mi
2106A W Keefe Ave Unit 2106 Lower Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,100 $0.85 17d 1 0.52mi
3908 N 6th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 24d 1 0.60mi
4048 N 7th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 24d 1 0.62mi
2116 W Atkinson Ave Unit A Milwaukee, WI 4.0 1.0 1707 $2,000 $1.17 2d 1 0.68mi
1326 W Burleigh St Unit 1326 Lower Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $825 $0.92 2d 1 0.68mi
3600 N Vel R. Phillips Ave Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 4d 1 0.74mi
3045 N 11th St #3047 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1065 $1,175 $1.10 4d 1 0.77mi
2955 N 17th St Unit B UPSTAIRS Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 17d 1 0.90mi
3703 N 1st St Unit Upper-3705 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1034 $1,200 $1.16 44d 1 0.90mi
3025 N 6th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1153 $1,125 $0.98 44d 1 0.94mi
3388 N 27th St Unit 3388 Front House Milwaukee, WI 4.0 1.0 1212 $1,550 $1.28 4d 1 0.95mi
4227 N 26th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 17d 1 1.03mi
2945 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,195 $1.18 44d 1 1.07mi
2821 W Concordia Ave Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.5 1098 $1,595 $1.45 2d 1 1.10mi
3347 N 29th St Unit 3347A Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 950 $845 $0.89 14d 1 1.11mi
3156 N 1st St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 44d 1 1.11mi
3373 N Richards St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 24d 1 1.12mi
312 E Townsend St Unit 312 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,250 $0.89 24d 1 1.16mi
3352 N Richards St Unit Second floor Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 44d 1 1.17mi
3255 N Buffum St Unit 3255 Upper Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 44d 1 1.24mi
223 E Burleigh St Unit 223 Milwaukee, WI 4.0 1.0 1153 $1,395 $1.21 44d 1 1.25mi
4355 N 28th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1118 $975 $0.87 21d 1 1.26mi
3042 N Palmer St #5 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1718 $1,050 $0.61 24d 1 1.26mi
2741 N 23rd St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 17d 1 1.28mi
2741 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 14d 1 1.28mi
3368 N Booth St #3374 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 24d 1 1.33mi
3368 N Booth St #3374 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 44d 1 1.33mi
2931 W Chambers St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,050 $0.75 24d 1 1.37mi
2765 N 26th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,200 $1.07 4d 1 1.39mi
2765 N 26th St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 4d 1 1.39mi
2870 N 29th St #2872 Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,250 $0.96 44d 1 1.40mi
605 E Auer Ave Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 10d 1 1.41mi
3029 N Holton St Milwaukee, WI 3.0 1.0 980 $1,200 $1.22 44d 1 1.42mi
2630 N 24th St Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 934 $1,450 $1.55 20d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 124 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 123 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 122 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 121 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 119 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 118 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 115 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 114 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 113 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 110 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 109 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 108 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 107 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 106 DOM
  15. 2026-03-20
    price $100,000 90-char remark
    Show marketing remark (90 chars)

    Investment opportunity in Milwaukee! Unit 1: 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath. Unit 2: 1 Bedroom, 1 Bath.

  16. 2026-02-14
    listed $105,000 Active 90-char remark
    Show marketing remark (90 chars)

    Investment opportunity in Milwaukee! Unit 1: 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath. Unit 2: 1 Bedroom, 1 Bath.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,636
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,491
− Management
−$1,491
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$5,144
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,234
After-tax cash flow
$5,195/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This property requires moderate renovations to improve its curb appeal and interior condition, with a focus on exterior siding and interior walls. Updates to the kitchen and bathrooms would significantly enhance its value for both resale and rental.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — Significant weathering and discoloration
  • Minor interior walls — Some minor cracks and discoloration

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and value
  • Both Update kitchen cabinets — Modernizes space and adds value
  • Both Update bathrooms — Modernizes space and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Significant weathering and discoloration Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · Some minor cracks and discoloration Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $15,500–53,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and value
  • Both Update kitchen cabinets — Modernizes space and adds value
  • Both Update bathrooms — Modernizes space and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milwaukee School District
NCES district ID
5509600
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$36,339
Composite
11.61/100
National rank
#9696
State rank
#337 of 342 in WI

Livability — Milwaukee

Score
81/100
State rank
#55
US rank
#1534

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milwaukee, WI
County
Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
City population
573,768
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
Population (ZIP)
19,887
Household income
$29,336
Rent vs Own
67.8% rent · 32.2% own
Severe rent burden
2061.0

Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
995,758 people
By 2030
1,009,124 · +1.3%
By 2040
1,028,128 · +3.3%
By 2050
1,040,066 · +4.4%
By 2075
1,057,849 · +6.2%
By 2100
1,039,774 · +4.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% Two or more races 3% White 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Norwegian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 133.03%
Current HPI
397.7151
Rent YoY
▲ 8.28%
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $100,000 METROMLS
  • 2026-02-14 Listed $105,000 METROMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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