Duplex
1407 W Nash St Unit 1407A · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.7/15.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity in Milwaukee! Unit 1: 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath. Unit 2: 1 Bedroom, 1 Bath.
Key facts
- 2,613 sq ft lot
- Built 1924
- Listed 123 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2.0bd/1.0ba + 1×1.0bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $536 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $268/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,553/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 2061% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.96%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $86,929
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- 15.04%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3349 N 16th St #3351 | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,288 (-6%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $151 | 68 |
| 3636 N 23rd St Unit 3636A | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (-1%) | 14mo | $140,000 | $103 | 58 |
| 3204 N 14th St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-5%) | 21mo | $130,000 | $100 | 50 |
| 3351 N 6th St Unit 3351A | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,538 (+12%) | 4mo | $93,000 | $60 | 43 |
| 3147 N 13th St #3149 | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,543 (+13%) | 23mo | $132,500 | $86 | 33 |
| 3431 N Vel R Phillips Avenue North Ave #3433 | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,189 (-13%) | 17mo | $185,000 | $156 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.46×
- Total profit
- $96,818
- Equity at exit
- $90,088
- IRR
- 40.4%
- Equity multiple
- 10.95×
- Total profit
- $278,657
- Equity at exit
- $194,278
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53206
- Rents YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,553 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $536
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2.0 | 1 | $795 |
| 1× unit | 1.0 | 1 | $758 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,553 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3747 N 16th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $875 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3646 N 19th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3927-3929 N 17th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,195 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3416 N 17th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3298 N 13th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $895 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3911 N 20th St Unit 3913 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $995 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2106A W Keefe Ave Unit 2106 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 17d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3908 N 6th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4048 N 7th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2116 W Atkinson Ave Unit A Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1707 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 2d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1326 W Burleigh St Unit 1326 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $825 | $0.92 | 2d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3600 N Vel R. Phillips Ave Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 4d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3045 N 11th St #3047 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $1,175 | $1.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2955 N 17th St Unit B UPSTAIRS Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 17d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3703 N 1st St Unit Upper-3705 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3025 N 6th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1153 | $1,125 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3388 N 27th St Unit 3388 Front House Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,550 | $1.28 | 4d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4227 N 26th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 17d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2945 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,195 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2821 W Concordia Ave Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1098 | $1,595 | $1.45 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3347 N 29th St Unit 3347A Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $845 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3156 N 1st St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3373 N Richards St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 312 E Townsend St Unit 312 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,250 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3352 N Richards St Unit Second floor Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3255 N Buffum St Unit 3255 Upper Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 223 E Burleigh St Unit 223 Milwaukee, WI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1153 | $1,395 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4355 N 28th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $975 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3042 N Palmer St #5 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1718 | $1,050 | $0.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2741 N 23rd St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2741 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3368 N Booth St #3374 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3368 N Booth St #3374 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2931 W Chambers St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,050 | $0.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2765 N 26th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2765 N 26th St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2870 N 29th St #2872 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 605 E Auer Ave Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 10d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3029 N Holton St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,200 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2630 N 24th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 934 | $1,450 | $1.55 | 20d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-03-20price $100,000 90-char remark
Show marketing remark (90 chars)
Investment opportunity in Milwaukee! Unit 1: 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath. Unit 2: 1 Bedroom, 1 Bath.
-
2026-02-14$105,000 Active 90-char remark
Show marketing remark (90 chars)
Investment opportunity in Milwaukee! Unit 1: 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath. Unit 2: 1 Bedroom, 1 Bath.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,636
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,491
- − Management
- −$1,491
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $5,144
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,234
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,195/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This property requires moderate renovations to improve its curb appeal and interior condition, with a focus on exterior siding and interior walls. Updates to the kitchen and bathrooms would significantly enhance its value for both resale and rental.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Significant weathering and discoloration
- Minor interior walls — Some minor cracks and discoloration
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and value
- Both Update kitchen cabinets — Modernizes space and adds value
- Both Update bathrooms — Modernizes space and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Significant weathering and discoloration | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · Some minor cracks and discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $15,500–53,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and value ↑
- Both Update kitchen cabinets — Modernizes space and adds value ↑
- Both Update bathrooms — Modernizes space and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,887
- Household income
- $29,336
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2061.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% Two or more races 3% White 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Norwegian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 133.03%
- Current HPI
- 397.7151
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.28%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
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Price history
-4.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $100,000 METROMLS
- 2026-02-14 Listed $105,000 METROMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…