1427 100th St SW #160 · Everett, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PARK is OFFERING 3 MTHS OF FREE SPACE RENT THROUGH AUG 1, 2026 for all APPROVED APPLICANTS!!! Best Buy in Fairway Estates - A 55+ Lifestyle Community offers this 1452 sq. ft. home features a Front Porch that Opens into the Entry w/ Vaulted Ceilings in Living Areas, Updated Kitchen Cabinets & Appliances plus Skylight, Living Room w/ Built in Hutch & Wall of Windows letting all the Natural Lighting fill the Room & a Family Room Slider opens to Private & Covered Deck for BBQing & Relaxing! Spacious Primary Bedroom w/ Ensuite enhanced w/ Skylight & Guest Bedroom with a Continental 3/4 Bath! Exterior boasts Custom Designed Covered 3 Car Carport w/ Storage Sh
Key facts
- Built in hutch
- Front porch
- Wall of windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 2.5% in Everett — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Mukilteo School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #111 of 291 in WA (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 366 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $109k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 366 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.15%
- DSCR
- 3.01
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $166,956
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- -34.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1427 100th St SW #27 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,560 (+7%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $144 | 87 |
| 1427 100th St SW #90 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,504 (+4%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $80 | 86 |
| 1427 100th St SW #116 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,505 (+4%) | 9mo | $185,000 | $123 | 82 |
| 1427 100th St SW #97 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,326 (-9%) | 5mo | $146,000 | $110 | 82 |
| 1427 100th St SW #57 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (+8%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $83 | 81 |
| 1427 100th St SW #50 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,296 (-11%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $116 | 79 |
| 10029 Montana Rd | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-1%) | 9mo | $375,000 | $260 | 73 |
| 1427 100th St SW #149 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,668 (+15%) | 1mo | $278,000 | $167 | 69 |
| 1427 100th St SW #72 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-7%) | 19mo | $226,000 | $168 | 67 |
| 1427 100th St SW #118 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (-11%) | 20mo | $135,000 | $104 | 61 |
| 9931 18th Ave W #1 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,288 (-11%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $132 | 59 |
| 9931 18th Ave W #34 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,288 (-11%) | 17mo | $209,500 | $163 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $48,613
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 43.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.60×
- Total profit
- $110,006
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98204
- Rents YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,340 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,002/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$491
- Net cashflow
- $1,148
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,210 | -5% $1,179 | +0% $1,148 | +5% $1,117 | +10% $1,087 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $963 | -5% $1,056 | +0% $1,148 | +5% $1,241 | +10% $1,333 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,203 | -0.5pp $1,176 | base $1,148 | +0.5pp $1,120 | +1.0pp $1,091 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9900 12th Ave W Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1033 | $2,210 | $2.14 | 0d | 14 | 0.16mi |
| 9327 16th Dr W Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1708 | $3,100 | $1.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1826 98th Pl SW Unit B Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1467 | $2,650 | $1.81 | 6d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1826 98th Pl SW Unit B Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1467 | $2,650 | $1.81 | 4d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 9916 18th Ave W Unit G Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $2,850 | $1.82 | 18d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1309 102nd Pl SW Unit N/A Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1860 | $3,295 | $1.77 | 0d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 10115 Holly Dr Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1003 | $2,208 | $2.20 | 0d | 25 | 0.39mi |
| 10115 Holly Dr Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1003 | $2,278 | $2.27 | 11d | 22 | 0.39mi |
| 10111 9th Ave W Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1098 | $2,550 | $2.32 | 6d | 4 | 0.48mi |
| 9515 Holly Dr Unit 1 Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $3,000 | $1.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 8600 18th Ave W Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 796 | $2,042 | $2.57 | 0d | 11 | 0.67mi |
| 9925 4th Ave W Apt 6 Everett, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,445 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1126 W Casino Rd Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 827 | $1,850 | $2.24 | 45d | 5 | 0.77mi |
| 222 W Marilyn Ave Everett, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 18d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1020 W Casino Rd Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,825 | $2.07 | 6d | 20 | 0.82mi |
| 8710 5th Ave W Everett, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,998 | $2.10 | 0d | 11 | 0.85mi |
| 702 W Casino Rd Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 850 | $1,749 | $2.06 | 6d | 21 | 0.85mi |
| 2020 Hollow Dale Pl Unit A Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1525 | $2,650 | $1.74 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1305 W Casino Rd Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 881 | $1,800 | $2.04 | 6d | 5 | 0.88mi |
| 8530 5th Ave W Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 808 | $1,595 | $1.97 | 6d | 2 | 0.90mi |
| 1001 W Casino Rd Unit A306 Everett, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $2,150 | $2.33 | 6d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 923 112th St SW Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 858 | $1,950 | $2.27 | 3d | 24 | 0.98mi |
| 11207 9th Pl W Everett, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $1,899 | $1.91 | 21d | 7 | 1.01mi |
| 1730 112th St SW Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 805 | $2,245 | $2.79 | 0d | 6 | 1.04mi |
| 8220 5th Ave W Apt F Everett, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,595 | $1.68 | 0d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 120 W Casino Rd Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 818 | $1,992 | $2.43 | 0d | 13 | 1.11mi |
| 120 SE Everett Mall Way Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 813 | $2,134 | $2.62 | 0d | 43 | 1.16mi |
| 115 Dorn Ave Everett, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 946 | $1,738 | $1.84 | 18d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2301 116th St SW Unit E Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $2,595 | $1.85 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 233 Dorn Ave Unit 1 Everett, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,950 | $2.07 | 12d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 229 Dorn Ave Unit C101 Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1452 | $2,900 | $2.00 | 0d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 11625 Center Rd Unit C Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1608 | $3,200 | $1.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 11026 Meridian Dr SE Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $3,000 | $1.76 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 11719 12th Ave W Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1533 | $2,800 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1108 Center Rd Everett, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,150 | $1.79 | 16d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 11727 12th Ave W #77 Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1533 | $3,100 | $2.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4 112th St SW Unit A Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1661 | $3,300 | $1.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 11812 E Gibson Rd Everett, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 956 | $1,814 | $1.90 | 0d | 6 | 1.36mi |
| 12121 Admiralty Way Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1116 | $2,245 | $2.01 | 0d | 15 | 1.48mi |
| 12118 Highway 99 Everett, WA | 1.0–5.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1117 | $1,941 | $1.74 | 3d | 5 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $109,000 Active 366 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 363 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 362 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 361 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 360 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $109,000 Active 358 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 354 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 353 DOM
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2026-06-07remarks 675-char remark
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2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 352 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $109,000 Active 349 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $109,000 Active 348 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 347 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 346 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 345 DOM
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2026-04-15price $109,000
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2026-01-04price $119,000
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2025-12-04price $129,000
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2025-08-22price $139,900
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2025-08-04price $154,950
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2025-07-16price $159,950
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2025-06-20$169,500 Active
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2011-10-21soldstatus $56,000 Sold
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2011-09-19historical Contingent
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2011-09-18status Active
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2011-09-13historical Expired
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2011-08-23price $59,950
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2011-07-12$66,950 Active
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2006-07-14soldstatus $90,000
-
2006-05-11$94,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,002 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,068 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$66/yr (+$6/mo · 6.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,082
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,002
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,247
- − Management
- −$2,247
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $12,765
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,064
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,715/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mukilteo School District
- NCES district ID
- 5305430
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,807
- Composite
- 48.17/100
- National rank
- #4733
- State rank
- #111 of 291 in WA
Livability — Everett
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5489
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Everett, WA
- County
- Snohomish County · 786,756 people
- City population
- 173,457
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,130
- Household income
- $68,513
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2874.0
Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 899,800 people
- By 2030
- 960,975 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 1,074,447 · +19.4%
- By 2050
- 1,171,954 · +30.2%
- By 2075
- 1,384,849 · +53.9%
- By 2100
- 1,497,296 · +66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 22% Asian 14% Two or more races 11% Black 9% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Subsaharan African 4% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 18% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Vietnamese 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -540.03%
- Current HPI
- 321.7923
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.70%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
+14.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $109,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-04 Price Changed $119,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $129,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-22 Price Changed $139,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-04 Price Changed $154,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-16 Price Changed $159,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-20 Listed $169,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-10-21 Sold (MLS) $56,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-19 Contingent — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-18 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-13 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-08-23 Price Changed $59,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-07-12 Listed $66,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-07-14 Sold (MLS) $90,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-05-11 Listed $94,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2026): $1,002 · -10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…