5347 Portland Ave · White Bear Lake, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.0/30.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home! Enjoy living close to White Bear Lake and having included deeded beach access! A menagerie of birds will sing you songs every morning while you enjoy your coffee or tea! Entire home has been freshly painted and updated! Brand new granite countertop in kitchen with undermount sink. Bright and bold main level bathroom. Lots of natural light throughout this home. Hickory hardwood on main level. The lower level features an adult suite with walk-in closet and private master bathroom with jacuzzi! Anderson windows. Fenced in yard for your fur babies. Patio off of the dining room area. There's a garden ready for you to tend with organic strawberries and raspberries. Concrete patio between house and garage. Across the street from Longville Park and blocks away from Garden Creek Park. Insulated garage has 50 amp service - just needs an EV Charger! Gas line available in garage for connecting heater. Extra wide asphalt driveway, room for 3 vehicles and a camper!
Key facts
- Hickory hardwood
- Undermount sink
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached 2-car garage (25 x 25)
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas fuel
- Home design: Residential property; Split entry (bi-level) with multiple levels; Home faces 4th Street (corner of 4th Street and Portland Avenue)
- Construction: Slab foundation; Foundation dimensions about 30 x 23
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Lot approximately 0.257 acres (about 80 x 140)
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (two on main level, two on lower level)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Split entry (bi-level) home; Sump pump in basement
- Laundry & utility: Basement utility area with sump pump
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $329k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-256 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $284k (13.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (24.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $250k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.6% in White Bear Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#124 in MN, #2,842 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
- White Bear Lake School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #83 of 301 in MN (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Matoska International (math 45% / reading 54%, grade D, #423 of 857 statewide, top 55%, 554 students, 24% FRL); Central Middle (math 41% / reading 55%, grade C-, #90 of 258 statewide, top 35%, 1,020 students, 24% FRL); White Bear South Campus Senior (math 37%, 1,111 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools at 25% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($309k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 33y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.34%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $447,313
- List price
- $329,000
- Delta
- -26.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-70,072
- Equity at exit
- $49,055
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-83,835
- Equity at exit
- $28,446
Cash invested: $92,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55110
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,496 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,725
- Tax from tax record
- −$366 /mo · $4,390/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$524
- Net cashflow
- $-256
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-70 | -5% $-163 | +0% $-256 | +5% $-349 | +10% $-442 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-453 | -5% $-355 | +0% $-256 | +5% $-158 | +10% $-59 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-91 | -0.5pp $-173 | base $-256 | +0.5pp $-341 | +1.0pp $-428 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,250
- Closing costs
- $9,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $329,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $329,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $339,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $339,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $339,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $339,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $339,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $339,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $339,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $339,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $339,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $339,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $339,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $339,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $339,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $339,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-04-27status Active 677-char remark
-
2026-04-27price $349,000 677-char remark
-
2026-04-25historical 677-char remark
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2026-04-18$355,000 Active 677-char remark
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2025-10-23historical
-
2025-09-16price $345,000
-
2025-09-05price $350,000
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2025-08-23price $355,000
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2025-07-09$360,000 Active
-
2021-07-21soldstatus $335,900
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2021-07-12soldstatus $335,900 Sold
Show marketing remark (979 chars)
Welcome home! Enjoy living close to White Bear Lake and having included deeded beach access! A menagerie of birds will sing you songs every morning while you enjoy your coffee or tea! Entire home has been freshly painted and updated! Brand new granite countertop in kitchen with undermount sink. Bright and bold main level bathroom. Lots of natural light throughout this home. Hickory hardwood on main level. The lower level features an adult suite with walk-in closet and private master bathroom with jacuzzi! Anderson windows. Fenced in yard for your fur babies. Patio off of the dining room area. There's a garden ready for you to tend with organic strawberries and raspberries. Concrete patio between house and garage. Across the street from Longville Park and blocks away from Garden Creek Park. Insulated garage has 50 amp service - just needs an EV Charger! Gas line available in garage for connecting heater. Extra wide asphalt driveway, room for 3 vehicles and a camper!
-
2021-06-13status Pending
Show marketing remark (979 chars)
Welcome home! Enjoy living close to White Bear Lake and having included deeded beach access! A menagerie of birds will sing you songs every morning while you enjoy your coffee or tea! Entire home has been freshly painted and updated! Brand new granite countertop in kitchen with undermount sink. Bright and bold main level bathroom. Lots of natural light throughout this home. Hickory hardwood on main level. The lower level features an adult suite with walk-in closet and private master bathroom with jacuzzi! Anderson windows. Fenced in yard for your fur babies. Patio off of the dining room area. There's a garden ready for you to tend with organic strawberries and raspberries. Concrete patio between house and garage. Across the street from Longville Park and blocks away from Garden Creek Park. Insulated garage has 50 amp service - just needs an EV Charger! Gas line available in garage for connecting heater. Extra wide asphalt driveway, room for 3 vehicles and a camper!
-
2021-06-04$315,000 Active
Show marketing remark (979 chars)
Welcome home! Enjoy living close to White Bear Lake and having included deeded beach access! A menagerie of birds will sing you songs every morning while you enjoy your coffee or tea! Entire home has been freshly painted and updated! Brand new granite countertop in kitchen with undermount sink. Bright and bold main level bathroom. Lots of natural light throughout this home. Hickory hardwood on main level. The lower level features an adult suite with walk-in closet and private master bathroom with jacuzzi! Anderson windows. Fenced in yard for your fur babies. Patio off of the dining room area. There's a garden ready for you to tend with organic strawberries and raspberries. Concrete patio between house and garage. Across the street from Longville Park and blocks away from Garden Creek Park. Insulated garage has 50 amp service - just needs an EV Charger! Gas line available in garage for connecting heater. Extra wide asphalt driveway, room for 3 vehicles and a camper!
-
2021-06-01historical $315,000
Show marketing remark (979 chars)
Welcome home! Enjoy living close to White Bear Lake and having included deeded beach access! A menagerie of birds will sing you songs every morning while you enjoy your coffee or tea! Entire home has been freshly painted and updated! Brand new granite countertop in kitchen with undermount sink. Bright and bold main level bathroom. Lots of natural light throughout this home. Hickory hardwood on main level. The lower level features an adult suite with walk-in closet and private master bathroom with jacuzzi! Anderson windows. Fenced in yard for your fur babies. Patio off of the dining room area. There's a garden ready for you to tend with organic strawberries and raspberries. Concrete patio between house and garage. Across the street from Longville Park and blocks away from Garden Creek Park. Insulated garage has 50 amp service - just needs an EV Charger! Gas line available in garage for connecting heater. Extra wide asphalt driveway, room for 3 vehicles and a camper!
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2017-06-01soldstatus $194,000 Sold
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2017-05-24status Pending
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2017-05-22$179,000 Active
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2006-12-11soldstatus $195,000
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2006-11-15historical
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2006-11-05$198,500
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2006-06-06historical
-
2005-06-13historical
-
2005-06-10$209,900
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2004-10-12$261,900
-
2003-09-26soldstatus $255,000
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2003-07-10historical
-
2003-06-23$224,900
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2002-12-20historical
-
2002-08-20$239,900
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2002-08-19historical
-
2002-07-10$264,900
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2001-06-20soldstatus $139,000
-
1998-02-12soldstatus $80,000
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1993-07-04historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,390 · $366/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,390 · $366/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,955
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,429
- − Property taxes
- −$4,390
- − Insurance
- −$1,645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,396
- − Management
- −$2,396
- − Depreciation
- −$9,571
- Taxable loss
- −$8,873
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,130
- After-tax cash flow
- $-945/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- White Bear Lake School District
- NCES district ID
- 2742360
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,051
- Composite
- 45.78/100
- National rank
- #2564
- State rank
- #83 of 301 in MN
Livability — White Bear Lake
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #124
- US rank
- #2842
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Ramsey County · 542,837 people
- City population
- 37,305
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,305
- Household income
- $101,296
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 867.0
Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 603,431 people
- By 2030
- 636,459 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 700,596 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 765,819 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 929,297 · +54.0%
- By 2100
- 1,053,924 · +74.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2% German/W. Germanic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -296.94%
- Current HPI
- 237.0992
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.82%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
+1075.0% since first listed38 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Price Changed $329,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $339,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $349,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-25 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-18 Listed $355,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-23 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-16 Price Changed $345,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $350,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-23 Price Changed $355,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-09 Listed $360,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $335,900 Public Records
- 2021-07-12 Sold (MLS) $335,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-13 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-04 Listed $315,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-01 Coming Soon $315,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-06-01 Sold (MLS) $194,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-24 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-22 Listed $179,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-12-11 Sold (MLS) $195,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-11-15 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-11-05 Listed $198,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-06-06 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-06-13 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-06-10 Listed $209,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-10-12 Listed $261,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $255,000 Public Records
- 2003-07-10 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-06-23 Listed $224,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-12-20 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-08-20 Listed $239,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-08-19 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-07-10 Listed $264,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $139,000 Public Records
- 1998-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 1993-07-04 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-02-04 Listed $89,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1990-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,390 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…