2129 N Clinton Rd · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this 4 bedroom home with a stainless steel kitchen, with a nice granite island great for entertaining. Home has plenty of storage with large closets, basement and a big storage shed. Fully fenced yard and move in ready. Call today!
Key facts
- Big storage shed
- Granite island
- Large closets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listed by Pinnacle Realty
- HOA & community: Has homeowners association
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 25 x 115; Subdivision: YES; Cross streets: State & Davenport
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Refrigerator; Range
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Forced air (natural gas)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Oven; Refrigerator; Range; Ceiling fan(s); Central air; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $108 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $114k).
- Recommended offer: $104k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $788 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.07%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $62,839
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2408 State St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,362 (+2%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $29 | 84 |
| 1819 Delaware St | 0.33mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,334 (-0%) | 3mo | $93,000 | $70 | 77 |
| 1920 W Genesee St | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,391 (+4%) | 3mo | $53,500 | $38 | 76 |
| 1923 N Oakley St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,343 (+0%) | 4mo | $20,000 | $15 | 70 |
| 2274 Bay St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,362 (+2%) | 5mo | $148,400 | $109 | 70 |
| 1724 State St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-14%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $66 | 67 |
| 2338 N Bond St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (-3%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $59 | 66 |
| 2844 Schemm St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,336 (-0%) | 3mo | $40,000 | $30 | 64 |
| 815 W Genesee Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,305 (-2%) | 5mo | $72,000 | $55 | 59 |
| 2505 Blake St | 0.40mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,480 (+11%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $47 | 55 |
| 2454 Durand St | 0.47mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,142 (-15%) | 1mo | $33,500 | $29 | 48 |
| 623 N Woodbridge St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,217 (-9%) | 1mo | $42,500 | $35 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-10,388
- Equity at exit
- $16,998
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $4,788
- Equity at exit
- $9,857
Cash invested: $31,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48602
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,158 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$598
- Tax from tax record
- −$161 /mo · $1,933/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $108
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,500
- Closing costs
- $3,420
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 48 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $114,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $114,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $114,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $114,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $114,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $114,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $114,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $114,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $114,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $114,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $114,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $114,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $116,000 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Welcome home to this 4 bedroom home with a stainless steel kitchen, with a nice granite island great for entertaining. Home has plenty of storage with large closets, basement and a big storage shed. Fully fenced yard and move in ready. Call today!
-
2026-04-28price $116,000
-
2026-04-07price $117,000 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Welcome home to this 4 bedroom home with a stainless steel kitchen, with a nice granite island great for entertaining. Home has plenty of storage with large closets, basement and a big storage shed. Fully fenced yard and move in ready. Call today!
-
2026-04-06price $117,000
-
2026-03-03$119,000 Active 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Welcome home to this 4 bedroom home with a stainless steel kitchen, with a nice granite island great for entertaining. Home has plenty of storage with large closets, basement and a big storage shed. Fully fenced yard and move in ready. Call today!
-
2026-03-03$119,000 Active
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Welcome home to this 4 bedroom home with a stainless steel kitchen, with a nice granite island great for entertaining. Home has plenty of storage with large closets, basement and a big storage shed. Fully fenced yard and move in ready. Call today!
-
2025-10-27historical
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2025-09-02price $124,900
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2025-08-06price $127,500
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2025-07-14price $127,900
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2025-05-29$130,000 Active
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2024-09-18soldstatus $109,900
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2024-09-10soldstatus $109,900 Sold
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2024-09-10soldstatus $109,900 Closed
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2024-07-18status Pending
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2024-07-18status Pending
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2024-07-12price $109,900
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2024-07-12price $109,900
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2024-06-19$119,900 Active
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2024-06-19$119,900 Active
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2013-12-20soldstatus $16,020
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2013-12-20soldstatus $16,020
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2013-12-07historical
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2013-09-04$16,720
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2013-09-04$16,720
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2007-08-29soldstatus $70,900
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2007-08-27soldstatus $70,900
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2007-08-27soldstatus $70,900
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2007-07-12historical
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2007-07-10$69,000
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2007-07-10$69,000
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2001-03-06soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,933 · $161/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,933 · $161/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,896
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,386
- − Property taxes
- −$1,933
- − Insurance
- −$570
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,112
- − Management
- −$1,112
- − Depreciation
- −$3,316
- Taxable loss
- −$533
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$128
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,429/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 2630390
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,940
- Composite
- 19.6/100
- National rank
- #8755
- State rank
- #444 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saginaw, MI
- County
- Saginaw County · 54,884 people
- City population
- 54,884
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,127
- Household income
- $46,984
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1416.0
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.15%
- Current HPI
- 159.8807
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.98%
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+123.1% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $116,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $116,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $117,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $117,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-03 Listed $119,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-03 Listed $119,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-27 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-06 Price Changed $127,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-14 Price Changed $127,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-29 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $109,900 Public Records
- 2024-09-10 Sold (MLS) $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-09-10 Sold (MLS) $109,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-07-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-07-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-07-12 Price Changed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-07-12 Price Changed $109,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-06-19 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-06-19 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
- 2013-12-20 Sold (MLS) $16,020 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-12-20 Sold (MLS) $16,020 REALCOMP
- 2013-12-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-09-04 Listed $16,720 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-09-04 Listed $16,720 REALCOMP
- 2007-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $70,900 Public Records
- 2007-08-27 Sold (MLS) $70,900 REALCOMP
- 2007-08-27 Sold (MLS) $70,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-07-12 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-07-10 Listed $69,000 REALCOMP
- 2007-07-10 Listed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,933 · -16.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…