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2129 N Clinton Rd
D+ Composite 48.07
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,000

2129 N Clinton Rd · Saginaw, MI 48602
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,337 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 108 Days on market
Built 1929 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this 4 bedroom home with a stainless steel kitchen, with a nice granite island great for entertaining. Home has plenty of storage with large closets, basement and a big storage shed. Fully fenced yard and move in ready. Call today!

Key facts

  • Big storage shed
  • Granite island
  • Large closets

Tags

STAINLESS STEEL KITCHENGRANITE ISLANDLARGE CLOSETSBIG STORAGE SHEDFULLY FENCED YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listed by Pinnacle Realty
  • HOA & community: Has homeowners association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 25 x 115; Subdivision: YES; Cross streets: State & Davenport

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Refrigerator; Range
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Forced air (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Oven; Refrigerator; Range; Ceiling fan(s); Central air; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $108 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $114k).
  • Recommended offer: $104k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $788 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $103,740 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.07%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$62,839
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2408 State St 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,362 (+2%) 1mo $40,000 $29 84
1819 Delaware St 0.33mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,334 (-0%) 3mo $93,000 $70 77
1920 W Genesee St 0.14mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,391 (+4%) 3mo $53,500 $38 76
1923 N Oakley St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,343 (+0%) 4mo $20,000 $15 70
2274 Bay St 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,362 (+2%) 5mo $148,400 $109 70
1724 State St 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,144 (-14%) 2mo $75,000 $66 67
2338 N Bond St 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,302 (-3%) 1mo $77,000 $59 66
2844 Schemm St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,336 (-0%) 3mo $40,000 $30 64
815 W Genesee Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,305 (-2%) 5mo $72,000 $55 59
2505 Blake St 0.40mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,480 (+11%) 4mo $70,000 $47 55
2454 Durand St 0.47mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,142 (-15%) 1mo $33,500 $29 48
623 N Woodbridge St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,217 (-9%) 1mo $42,500 $35 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-10,388
Equity at exit
$16,998
10-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$4,788
Equity at exit
$9,857

Cash invested: $31,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48602

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
250
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,158 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$598
Tax from tax record
$161 /mo · $1,933/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$108

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,021
Max offer price $114,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,500
Closing costs
$3,420
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 48 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $114,000 Active 108 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,000 Active 107 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,000 Active 106 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,000 Active 105 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $114,000 Active 104 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $114,000 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $114,000 Active 101 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $114,000 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $114,000 Active 97 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $114,000 Active 96 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $114,000 Active 93 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $114,000 Active 92 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $114,000 Active 91 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,000 Active 90 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,000 Active 89 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $114,000 Active 88 DOM
  17. 2026-04-29
    price $116,000 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Welcome home to this 4 bedroom home with a stainless steel kitchen, with a nice granite island great for entertaining. Home has plenty of storage with large closets, basement and a big storage shed. Fully fenced yard and move in ready. Call today!

  18. 2026-04-28
    price $116,000
  19. 2026-04-07
    price $117,000 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Welcome home to this 4 bedroom home with a stainless steel kitchen, with a nice granite island great for entertaining. Home has plenty of storage with large closets, basement and a big storage shed. Fully fenced yard and move in ready. Call today!

  20. 2026-04-06
    price $117,000
  21. 2026-03-03
    listed $119,000 Active 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Welcome home to this 4 bedroom home with a stainless steel kitchen, with a nice granite island great for entertaining. Home has plenty of storage with large closets, basement and a big storage shed. Fully fenced yard and move in ready. Call today!

  22. 2026-03-03
    listed $119,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Welcome home to this 4 bedroom home with a stainless steel kitchen, with a nice granite island great for entertaining. Home has plenty of storage with large closets, basement and a big storage shed. Fully fenced yard and move in ready. Call today!

  23. 2025-10-27
    historical
  24. 2025-09-02
    price $124,900
  25. 2025-08-06
    price $127,500
  26. 2025-07-14
    price $127,900
  27. 2025-05-29
    listed $130,000 Active
  28. 2024-09-18
    soldstatus $109,900
  29. 2024-09-10
    soldstatus $109,900 Sold
  30. 2024-09-10
    soldstatus $109,900 Closed
  31. 2024-07-18
    status Pending
  32. 2024-07-18
    status Pending
  33. 2024-07-12
    price $109,900
  34. 2024-07-12
    price $109,900
  35. 2024-06-19
    listed $119,900 Active
  36. 2024-06-19
    listed $119,900 Active
  37. 2013-12-20
    soldstatus $16,020
  38. 2013-12-20
    soldstatus $16,020
  39. 2013-12-07
    historical
  40. 2013-09-04
    listed $16,720
  41. 2013-09-04
    listed $16,720
  42. 2007-08-29
    soldstatus $70,900
  43. 2007-08-27
    soldstatus $70,900
  44. 2007-08-27
    soldstatus $70,900
  45. 2007-07-12
    historical
  46. 2007-07-10
    listed $69,000
  47. 2007-07-10
    listed $69,000
  48. 2001-03-06
    soldstatus $52,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,933 · $161/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,933 · $161/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,896
− Mortgage interest
−$6,386
− Property taxes
−$1,933
− Insurance
−$570
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,112
− Management
−$1,112
− Depreciation
−$3,316
Taxable loss
−$533
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$128
After-tax cash flow
$1,429/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saginaw School District
NCES district ID
2630390
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$28,940
Composite
19.6/100
National rank
#8755
State rank
#444 of 540 in MI

Livability — Saginaw

Score
63/100
State rank
#521
US rank
#15424

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saginaw, MI
County
Saginaw County · 54,884 people
City population
54,884
Metro
Saginaw, MI
Population (ZIP)
27,127
Household income
$46,984
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
1416.0

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.15%
Current HPI
159.8807
Rent YoY
▲ 3.98%
Metro
Saginaw, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+123.1% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $116,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $116,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $117,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $117,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $119,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $119,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-02 Price Changed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-06 Price Changed $127,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-14 Price Changed $127,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-29 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $109,900 Public Records
  • 2024-09-10 Sold (MLS) $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-09-10 Sold (MLS) $109,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-07-18 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-07-18 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-07-12 Price Changed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-07-12 Price Changed $109,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-06-19 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-06-19 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2013-12-20 Sold (MLS) $16,020 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-12-20 Sold (MLS) $16,020 REALCOMP
  • 2013-12-07 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-09-04 Listed $16,720 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-09-04 Listed $16,720 REALCOMP
  • 2007-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $70,900 Public Records
  • 2007-08-27 Sold (MLS) $70,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-08-27 Sold (MLS) $70,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-07-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-07-10 Listed $69,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-07-10 Listed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,933 · -16.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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