923 SW 29th St · Lawton, OK 73505

$54,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 676 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 98 Days on market

Built 1954 5,000 sqft lot Est $39k · 40% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.0/10.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity.

Key facts

• 5,000 sq ft lot
• Garage
• Built 1954

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: $577.43 annual tax amount

Exterior

• Parking: 1 total parking space; 1 covered space; 1-car garage
• Security: Smoke detectors
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; One level
• Construction: Composition roof
• Exterior features: Composition roof; Public maintained road frontage on a city street; Lot roughly 50 x 100 (about 5,000 sq ft / 0.1148 acres)

Interior

• Kitchen: Cooktop; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
• Flooring: Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Electric cooling; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Window coverings; No fireplace
• Laundry & utility: Laundry located in garage; Crawl space basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $432 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
• Recommended offer: $50k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 6.1% in Lawton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
• Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Cleveland Es (math 32% / reading 12%, grade F, #413 of 845 statewide, top 54%, 300 students, 0% FRL); Central Ms (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #153 of 345 statewide, top 45%, 994 students, 0% FRL); Lawton Hs (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #302 of 447 statewide, top 68%, 1,417 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 398 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $49,959 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.82% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.73%
• Cash-on-cash: 33.70%
• DSCR: 2.50
• GRM: 4.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $39,208
• Comps found: 6

Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
801 SW 26th Pl	0.31mi	2/1.0	700 (+4%)	1mo	$25,300	$36	78
2718 SW H Ave	0.15mi	2/1.0	720 (+6%)	7mo	$50,000	$69	76
2715 SW G Ave	0.18mi	2/1.0	700 (+4%)	14mo	$17,000	$24	74
2417 SW D	0.61mi	2/1.0	700 (+4%)	2mo	$25,000	$36	64
1004 SW 28th St	0.13mi	2/1.0	600 (-11%)	15mo	$43,000	$72	62
1210 SW 25th Pl	0.50mi	2/1.0	600 (-11%)	11mo	$35,000	$58	48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 31.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.35×
• Total profit: $20,804
• Equity at exit: $8,186

10-year hold

• IRR: 39.6%
• Equity multiple: 5.10×
• Total profit: $62,965
• Equity at exit: $4,747

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Oklahoma: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 73505

• Rents YoY: 5.1%
• Active inventory: 398
• Price-to-rent: 4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,000 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$288
• Tax from tax record: −$48 /mo · $574/yr
• Insurance: −$23
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$210
• Net cashflow: $432

Break-even live

Break-even rent $454

Max offer price $54,900

Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,725
• Closing costs: $1,647
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 27 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $54,900 Active 98 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $54,900 Active 97 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $54,900 Active 96 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $54,900 Active 95 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $54,900 Active 94 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $54,900 Active 92 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $54,900 Active 91 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $54,900 Active 89 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $54,900 Active 88 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,900 Active 87 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,900 Active 86 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $54,900 Active 83 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $54,900 Active 82 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,900 Active 81 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,900 Active 80 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,900 Active 79 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $54,900 Active 78 DOM
18. 2026-04-17
    price $54,900
19. 2026-04-16
    status Active
20. 2026-04-16
    status Active
21. 2026-04-06
    historical Active Under Contract
22. 2026-03-06
    listed $59,990 Active
23. 2025-11-25
    price $61,000
24. 2025-10-27
    listed $62,500 Active
25. 2025-03-12
    listed $67,500 Active
26. 2024-05-15
    listed $65,000 Active
27. 2022-11-04
    soldstatus $48,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $574 · $48/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $574 · $48/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,005
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,075
• − Property taxes: −$574
• − Insurance: −$274
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$960
• − Management: −$960
• − Depreciation: −$1,597
• Taxable income: $4,564
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,095
• After-tax cash flow: $4,086/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lawton
• NCES district ID: 4017250
• Math proficiency: 20% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 26% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $42,618
• Composite: 19.68/100
• National rank: #8732
• State rank: #137 of 270 in OK

Livability — Lawton

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #206
• US rank: #15131

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lawton, OK
• County: Comanche County · 96,361 people
• City population: 89,233
• Metro: Lawton, OK
• Population (ZIP): 47,790
• Household income: $58,272
• Rent vs Own: 48.2% rent · 51.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 1986.0

Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 124,518 people
• By 2030: 124,231 · -0.2%
• By 2040: 122,193 · -1.9%
• By 2050: 120,368 · -3.3%
• By 2075: 120,492 · -3.2%
• By 2100: 123,113 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: White 50% Black 17% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16% Native American 4% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Comanche

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -134.88%
• Current HPI: 169.4524
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.14%
• Metro: Lawton, OK
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.55%
• F500 in state: 6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	3	$48B

Price history

+14.4% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-17 Price Changed $54,900 LBRMLS
• 2026-04-16 Relisted — LBRMLS
• 2026-04-16 Relisted — LBRMLS
• 2026-04-06 Contingent — LBRMLS
• 2026-03-06 Listed $59,990 LBRMLS
• 2025-11-25 Price Changed $61,000 LBRMLS
• 2025-10-27 Listed $62,500 LBRMLS
• 2025-03-12 Listed $67,500 LBRMLS
• 2024-05-15 Listed $65,000 LBRMLS
• 2022-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $574 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.