52436 Winston Ct · New Haven, MI 48051

$62,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured · 149 Days on market

Built 2025 Excellent condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +5.0/5.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Step into this brand-new 2025 home in Carriage Way and feel the ease of modern living. The open layout brings the kitchen, dining, and living spaces together, with abundant cabinetry and a large island that makes storage and gathering effortless. With three bedrooms, including a private primary suite with a walk-in closet and full bath, the home offers comfort and smart design throughout. Everything is new, efficient, and ready for immediate enjoyment, an opportunity that will not last. Photographs may be digitally stage for illustration purposes. Actual property may differ. Prospective residents should verify information to their own satisfaction. Contact our location for clarification and viewing arrangements.

Key facts

• Walk-in closet
• Open layout
• Large island

Tags

• BRAND-NEW HOME
• OPEN LAYOUT
• ABUNDANT CABINETRY
• LARGE ISLAND
• PRIVATE PRIMARY SUITE
• WALK-IN CLOSET

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $63k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $775 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $63k).
• Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 3.2% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#650 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• L'Anse Creuse Public Schools (suburban): math 31% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #184 of 540 in MI (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $435 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $55,352 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.43% ✓
• Cap rate: 21.07%
• Cash-on-cash: 52.79%
• DSCR: 3.35
• GRM: 3.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $28,512
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
52259 Quaker Hill Ln	0.36mi	3/2.0	956 (-10%)	13mo	$21,250	$22	56
52857 Bunker Hill Blvd Blvd	0.23mi	3/2.0	924 (-12%)	15mo	$25,000	$27	56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 50.8%
• Equity multiple: 3.22×
• Total profit: $39,176
• Equity at exit: $9,379

10-year hold

• IRR: 56.2%
• Equity multiple: 6.55×
• Total profit: $97,747
• Equity at exit: $5,438

Cash invested: $17,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 48051

• Home prices YoY: -31.8%
• Active inventory: 142
• Price-to-rent: 3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,531 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$330
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$79 /mo · $944/yr
• Insurance: −$26
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$321
• Net cashflow: $775

Break-even live

Break-even rent $550

Max offer price $62,900

Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $818	-5% $796	+0% $775	+5% $753	+10% $731
Rent	-10% $654	-5% $714	+0% $775	+5% $835	+10% $896
Rate	-1.0pp $806	-0.5pp $791	base $775	+0.5pp $758	+1.0pp $742

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $15,725
• Closing costs: $1,887
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 20 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
52436 Winston Ct Unit 209 Chesterfield, MI	3.0	2.0	1056	$1,479	$1.40	44d	1	0.03mi
29811 W Essex Ct Unit 114 New Baltimore, MI	3.0	2.0	1456	$1,729	$1.19	44d	1	0.06mi
29810 W Essex Ct Unit 107 New Baltimore, MI	3.0	2.0	1056	$1,439	$1.36	6d	1	0.07mi
29778 W Essex Ct Unit 109 New Baltimore, MI	3.0	2.0	1056	$1,469	$1.39	44d	1	0.09mi
52758 S Yorktown Ct Unit 176 New Baltimore, MI	2.0	2.0	960	$1,449	$1.51	0d	1	0.12mi
29649 Cambridge Ct Unit 256 New Baltimore, MI	3.0	2.0	1152	$1,579	$1.37	0d	1	0.12mi
52705 Van Buren Dr Unit 297 Chesterfield, MI	3.0	2.0	1056	$1,479	$1.40	0d	1	0.13mi
52780 S Zacharias Ct Unit 152 Chesterfield, MI	3.0	2.0	1056	$1,499	$1.42	0d	1	0.14mi
29909 Flushing Dr Unit 71 New Baltimore, MI	3.0	2.0	1440	$1,669	$1.16	17d	1	0.14mi
52792 S Zacharias Ct Unit 151 Chesterfield, MI	3.0	2.0	1056	$1,479	$1.40	0d	1	0.15mi
52871 N Zacharias Ct Unit 161 Chesterfield, MI	3.0	2.0	1152	$1,519	$1.32	0d	1	0.18mi
52962 N Yorktown Ct Unit 168 Chesterfield, MI	3.0	2.0	1056	$1,519	$1.44	0d	1	0.20mi
29805 Jamestown Dr Unit 435 New Baltimore, MI	3.0	2.0	1344	$1,739	$1.29	0d	1	0.22mi
29890 Donna Ln New Baltimore, MI	2.0	1.5	1120	$1,500	$1.34	0d	1	0.61mi
28346 Adler Park Dr S #246 Chesterfield, MI	2.0	2.0	1332	$1,750	$1.31	44d	1	0.75mi
28218 S Pointe Ln New Baltimore, MI	2.0	2.0	1427	$1,850	$1.30	6d	1	0.82mi
28218 S Pointe Ln New Baltimore, MI	2.0	2.0	1425	$2,100	$1.47	25d	1	0.82mi
50450 Bay Run N #50 Chesterfield, MI	2.0	1.5	1200	$1,500	$1.25	18d	1	1.02mi
28123 23 Mile Rd New Baltimore, MI	1.0–2.0	1.0	800	$1,059	$1.32	0d	5	1.06mi
50031 S Benny Ct New Baltimore, MI	2.0	1.0	1056	$1,450	$1.37	44d	1	1.31mi

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $62,900 Active 149 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $62,900 Active 146 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $62,900 Active 145 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $62,900 Active 144 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $62,900 Active 143 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $62,900 Active 141 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $62,900 Active 140 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $62,900 Active 137 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $62,900 Active 136 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $62,900 Active 135 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $62,900 Active 132 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $62,900 Active 131 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $62,900 Active 130 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $62,900 Active 129 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $62,900 Active 128 DOM
16. 2026-03-26
    status Active 721-char remark

    Show marketing remark (721 chars)

    Step into this brand-new 2025 home in Carriage Way and feel the ease of modern living. The open layout brings the kitchen, dining, and living spaces together, with abundant cabinetry and a large island that makes storage and gathering effortless. With three bedrooms, including a private primary suite with a walk-in closet and full bath, the home offers comfort and smart design throughout. Everything is new, efficient, and ready for immediate enjoyment, an opportunity that will not last. Photographs may be digitally stage for illustration purposes. Actual property may differ. Prospective residents should verify information to their own satisfaction. Contact our location for clarification and viewing arrangements.

17. 2026-02-12
    historical 721-char remark

    Show marketing remark (721 chars)

    Step into this brand-new 2025 home in Carriage Way and feel the ease of modern living. The open layout brings the kitchen, dining, and living spaces together, with abundant cabinetry and a large island that makes storage and gathering effortless. With three bedrooms, including a private primary suite with a walk-in closet and full bath, the home offers comfort and smart design throughout. Everything is new, efficient, and ready for immediate enjoyment, an opportunity that will not last. Photographs may be digitally stage for illustration purposes. Actual property may differ. Prospective residents should verify information to their own satisfaction. Contact our location for clarification and viewing arrangements.

18. 2025-12-12
    listed $62,900 Active 721-char remark

    Show marketing remark (721 chars)

    Step into this brand-new 2025 home in Carriage Way and feel the ease of modern living. The open layout brings the kitchen, dining, and living spaces together, with abundant cabinetry and a large island that makes storage and gathering effortless. With three bedrooms, including a private primary suite with a walk-in closet and full bath, the home offers comfort and smart design throughout. Everything is new, efficient, and ready for immediate enjoyment, an opportunity that will not last. Photographs may be digitally stage for illustration purposes. Actual property may differ. Prospective residents should verify information to their own satisfaction. Contact our location for clarification and viewing arrangements.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,371
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,523
• − Property taxes: −$944
• − Insurance: −$314
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,470
• − Management: −$1,470
• − Depreciation: −$1,830
• Taxable income: $8,821
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,117
• After-tax cash flow: $7,180/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This brand-new 2025 manufactured home is move-in ready with modern amenities and a smart design, offering a seamless living experience.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
• Both Smart home integration — Improves convenience and adds modern appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
• Both Smart home integration — Improves convenience and adds modern appeal ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: L'Anse Creuse Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2621870
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $57,757
• Composite: 35.99/100
• National rank: #4790
• State rank: #184 of 540 in MI

Livability — New Haven

• Score: 57/100
• State rank: #650
• US rank: #22110

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 11,065
• Population (ZIP): 17,716

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 925,296 people
• By 2030: 948,226 · +2.5%
• By 2040: 983,961 · +6.3%
• By 2050: 1,010,200 · +9.2%
• By 2075: 1,076,222 · +16.3%
• By 2100: 1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (79%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 79% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 18% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

• 2024 margin: R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -98.06%
• Current HPI: 210.6017
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-26 Relisted — Zillow
• 2026-02-12 Delisted — Zillow
• 2025-12-12 Listed $62,900 Zillow