214 4th St · Wilmerding, PA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Buyer responsible for all insp/permits, list office holds hand$, subject to corp addenda, corp approval, no utilities on, prequalify buyer
Key facts
- 2,613 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage
- Utilities: Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: 2-story residence; Resale property
- Exterior features: Sewer available; Water available
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Full basement with interior entry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $436 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#782 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- East Allegheny SD (suburban): math 14% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #485 of 539 in PA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.6%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $55k implies a 241% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.29%
- DSCR
- 2.70
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $107,464
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 752 Middle Ave | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,192 (+12%) | 0mo | $36,000 | $30 | 74 |
| 124 8th St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 1,024 (-4%) | 21mo | $61,500 | $60 | 62 |
| 123 Lloyd Ave | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 | 915 (-14%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $98 | 58 |
| 279 Greensburg Pike | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 929 (-13%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $140 | 54 |
| 1216 Center St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,144 (+8%) | 12mo | $116,000 | $101 | 50 |
| 160 Central Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,134 (+7%) | 15mo | $134,000 | $118 | 45 |
| 737 Patton Street Ext | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,134 (+7%) | 11mo | $175,000 | $154 | 40 |
| 422 James | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,136 (+7%) | 22mo | $122,500 | $108 | 34 |
| 415 Albert St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+13%) | 15mo | $119,900 | $100 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $19,814
- Equity at exit
- $9,177
- IRR
- 36.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.51×
- Total profit
- $53,983
- Equity at exit
- $6,450
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15148
- Home prices YoY
- -1.8%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,094 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $738/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $436
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $467 | -5% $451 | +0% $436 | +5% $420 | +10% $405 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $349 | -5% $393 | +0% $436 | +5% $479 | +10% $522 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $464 | -0.5pp $450 | base $436 | +0.5pp $422 | +1.0pp $407 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400 Greensburg Pike North Versailles, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1324 | $1,250 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1615 Lynn Ave Unit 2 Turtle Creek, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,145 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 918 Oak Ave Turtle Creek, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 906 Penn Ave Unit A Turtle Creek, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,250 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 906 Penn Ave Unit B Turtle Creek, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,250 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 906 Penn Ave Unit D Turtle Creek, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1277 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 906 Penn Ave Unit B Turtle Creek, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,250 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 221 Grant St Unit 221-B Turtle Creek, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $775 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 622 Mercer St Unit B Turtle Creek, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,300 | $1.79 | 8d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 210 Westinghouse Ave Unit 210-E Wilmerding, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $999 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 210 Westinghouse Ave Unit 210-D Wilmerding, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $999 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 165 State St Wilmerding, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $995 | $0.90 | 18d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 342 Kenyon St Turtle Creek, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,155 | $1.36 | 15d | 6 | 0.73mi |
| 450 Card Ave Unit 1 Wilmerding, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $700 | $0.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1806 Greensburg Ave North Versailles Township, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,015 | $1.35 | 2d | 10 | 0.87mi |
| 810 Wood St Unit 1 East Pittsburgh, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 8d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 215 Grant St Wall, PA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 960 | $750 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 505 Washington St Turtle Creek, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 930 Punta Gorda Ave Unit 1 East McKeesport, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $750 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 569 Woodmont Ave Apt B East McKeesport, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 569 Woodmont Ave Unit C East McKeesport, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 18d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1508 Ridge Ave Unit 3 Braddock, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $680 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 219 North Ave Unit 1 East Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $900 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 407 Bessemer Ave Unit 407-3 East Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $775 | $0.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 173 Churchill Rd Turtle Creek, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,175 | $1.43 | 17d | 2 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 438-char remark
-
2026-06-13$55,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $738 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $804 · $67/mo
- Expected delta
- +$65/yr (+$5/mo · 8.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,129
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$738
- − Insurance
- −$942
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,050
- − Management
- −$1,050
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $4,667
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,120
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,111/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Allegheny SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208060
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,748
- Composite
- 18.44/100
- National rank
- #8930
- State rank
- #485 of 539 in PA
Livability — Wilmerding
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #782
- US rank
- #7877
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wilmerding, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,287
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 25% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.60%
- Current HPI
- 138.7635
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+340.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $55,000 West Penn MLS
- 2004-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $16,150 Public Records
- 2004-08-19 Sold (MLS) $16,150 West Penn MLS
- 2004-04-13 Listed $18,900 West Penn MLS
- 1982-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2026): $738 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…