502 18th Ave · Charles City, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch home offering over 2,000 sq ft of living space! This property features a generous deck overlooking the large backyard, and both a main floor living room and lower-level family room—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The lower level also includes a non-conforming bedroom for added flexibility. Enjoy the convenience of a heated single attached garage plus an additional single detached garage.
Key facts
- Generous deck
- Large backyard
- 9,052 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $580 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 6.7% in Charles City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#161 in IA, #2,944 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Charles City Community School District (town): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #262 of 289 in IA (top 91%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Washington Elementary School (375 students, 63% FRL); Charles City Ms (math 51% / reading 59%, grade B-, #201 of 246 statewide, top 82%, 423 students, 54% FRL); Charles City High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #279 of 336 statewide, top 85%, 534 students, 47% FRL).
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Floyd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Floyd County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $118k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.77%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $114,731
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- 22.02%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1104 21st Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (-1%) | 10mo | $176,000 | $104 | 71 |
| 1603 Ohio Ave. Ave | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,710 (-0%) | 8mo | $126,000 | $74 | 66 |
| 901 18th Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,816 (+6%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $50 | 65 |
| 1802 Missouri Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,645 (-4%) | 22mo | $150,000 | $91 | 55 |
| 108 15th Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,456 (-15%) | 8mo | $84,000 | $58 | 50 |
| 714 9th Ave Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,822 (+6%) | 6mo | $140,000 | $77 | 48 |
| 514 8th Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,542 (-10%) | 10mo | $88,000 | $57 | 43 |
| 603 8th Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,544 (-10%) | 12mo | $105,000 | $68 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $14,294
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $60,101
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50616
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,927 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$149 /mo · $1,793/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$405
- Net cashflow
- $580
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $660 | -5% $620 | +0% $580 | +5% $541 | +10% $501 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $428 | -5% $504 | +0% $580 | +5% $657 | +10% $733 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $651 | -0.5pp $616 | base $580 | +0.5pp $544 | +1.0pp $507 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1030 13th Ave Charles City, IA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 926 | $1,927 | $2.08 | 45d | 28 | 0.30mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $140,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $140,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $140,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $140,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-09$140,000 Active 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
Spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch home offering over 2,000 sq ft of living space! This property features a generous deck overlooking the large backyard, and both a main floor living room and lower-level family room—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The lower level also includes a non-conforming bedroom for added flexibility. Enjoy the convenience of a heated single attached garage plus an additional single detached garage.
-
2023-07-24soldstatus $118,000 Closed 654-char remark
Show marketing remark (654 chars)
Welcome home to this newly offered three bedroom, 2 bath ranch style home with a large back yard. Over 2000 sq. ft. of living space with 3 bedrooms on the main floor and a non-conforming bedroom in lower level. Main floor opens to living room and large formal dining area. Newer addition features an oversized master bedroom. Gally kitchen completes the main level. Lower level features a family room, laundry room, and bathroom with shower. Attached garage is heated and includes a gas line for easy cooker hookup. Wood deck and additional backyard garage are excellent added features. Owner is moving closer to family and motivated to sell. Call today!
-
2023-07-21soldstatus $118,000
-
2023-05-28status Pending 654-char remark
Show marketing remark (654 chars)
Welcome home to this newly offered three bedroom, 2 bath ranch style home with a large back yard. Over 2000 sq. ft. of living space with 3 bedrooms on the main floor and a non-conforming bedroom in lower level. Main floor opens to living room and large formal dining area. Newer addition features an oversized master bedroom. Gally kitchen completes the main level. Lower level features a family room, laundry room, and bathroom with shower. Attached garage is heated and includes a gas line for easy cooker hookup. Wood deck and additional backyard garage are excellent added features. Owner is moving closer to family and motivated to sell. Call today!
-
2023-05-25$112,000 Active 654-char remark
Show marketing remark (654 chars)
Welcome home to this newly offered three bedroom, 2 bath ranch style home with a large back yard. Over 2000 sq. ft. of living space with 3 bedrooms on the main floor and a non-conforming bedroom in lower level. Main floor opens to living room and large formal dining area. Newer addition features an oversized master bedroom. Gally kitchen completes the main level. Lower level features a family room, laundry room, and bathroom with shower. Attached garage is heated and includes a gas line for easy cooker hookup. Wood deck and additional backyard garage are excellent added features. Owner is moving closer to family and motivated to sell. Call today!
-
2004-02-11soldstatus $77,000
-
1996-04-24soldstatus $65,000
-
1991-10-07soldstatus $53,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,793 · $149/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,996 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- +$202/yr (+$17/mo · 11.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,793
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,850
- − Management
- −$1,850
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $5,016
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,204
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,761/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charles City Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1907080
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,414
- Composite
- 47.32/100
- National rank
- #2299
- State rank
- #262 of 289 in IA
Livability — Charles City
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #161
- US rank
- #2944
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Charles City, IA
- City population
- 9,419
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,419
Population outlook (Floyd County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,524 people
- By 2030
- 15,254 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 14,830 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 14,660 · -5.6%
- By 2075
- 15,548 · +0.2%
- By 2100
- 17,406 · +12.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Scandinavian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Floyd
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.7) · D 36.5% · R 62.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.6pp toward R · 2008: 21.9pp · 2024: -25.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.7 2020: R+19.4 2016: R+14.9 2012: D+14.7 2008: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.03%
- Current HPI
- 187.4742
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+161.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed $140,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2023-07-24 Sold (MLS) $118,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2023-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
- 2023-05-28 Pending — NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2023-05-25 Listed $112,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2004-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
- 1996-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 1991-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $53,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,793 · +19.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…