1138 Mckinley Ct SE · Grand Rapids, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Flip opportunity. Cul-de-sac street located by Lake Dr / Fuller Ave. Solid 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Appliances included, Newer Furnace installed by the VA. Off Street Parking. Home is being sold as is. Call today for your personal private showing.
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- Off street parking
- Cul-de-sac street
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $551 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 4.5% in Grand Rapids — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#44 in MI, #939 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Grand Rapids Public Schools (urban): math 15% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #451 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 81% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.9% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 35y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $150k implies a 525% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.74%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $277,764
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 638 Gladstone Dr SE | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,008 (+6%) | 6mo | $295,000 | $293 | 50 |
| 312 Rosewood Ave SE | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,001 (+6%) | 18mo | $280,000 | $280 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $18,445
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.27×
- Total profit
- $95,349
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49506
- Rents YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 202
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,879 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $551
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1333 Wealthy St SE Unit 2 Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,900 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1400 Wealthy St SE Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $1,925 | $2.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1114 Dunham St SE Unit 1 Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,300 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 11 Fuller Ave SE Apt 204 Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 880 | $1,850 | $2.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 638 Wealthy St SE Unit A Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,100 | $2.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 547 Cherry St SE Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 521 | $1,250 | $2.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 357 Madison Ave SE Grand Rapids, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 692 | $1,595 | $2.30 | 44d | 4 | 0.98mi |
| 1542 Michigan St NE Grand Rapids, MI | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 836 | $1,895 | $2.27 | 3d | 6 | 1.04mi |
| 345 State St SE Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,280 | $1.16 | 44d | 2 | 1.05mi |
| 434 Worden St SE Unit 2 Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,495 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 855 Michigan St NE Unit 205 Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 813 | $1,575 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 216 Lafayette Ave SE Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 507 Eastern Ave NE #2 Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,495 | $2.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 17 Lafayette Ave SE Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 720 | $2,125 | $2.95 | 44d | 7 | 1.20mi |
| 840 Lafayette Ave SE Unit 2 Grand Rapids, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,600 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 414 Benson Ave NE Grand Rapids, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1110 | $2,673 | $2.41 | 44d | 14 | 1.24mi |
| 90 Wealthy St SE Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 602 | $1,850 | $3.07 | 3d | 10 | 1.35mi |
| 138 Fulton St E Unit 2 Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,800 | $2.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 209 Division Ave S Grand Rapids, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1180 | $1,495 | $1.27 | 21d | 2 | 1.44mi |
| 26 Cherry St SW Grand Rapids, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 878 | $1,275 | $1.45 | 44d | 2 | 1.47mi |
| 27 Library St NE #501 Grand Rapids, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1109 | $2,925 | $2.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-04-06status Pending 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Great Flip opportunity. Cul-de-sac street located by Lake Dr / Fuller Ave. Solid 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Appliances included, Newer Furnace installed by the VA. Off Street Parking. Home is being sold as is. Call today for your personal private showing.
-
2026-04-06status Pending 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Great Flip opportunity. Cul-de-sac street located by Lake Dr / Fuller Ave. Solid 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Appliances included, Newer Furnace installed by the VA. Off Street Parking. Home is being sold as is. Call today for your personal private showing.
-
2026-04-06status Pending
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Great Flip opportunity. Cul-de-sac street located by Lake Dr / Fuller Ave. Solid 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Appliances included, Newer Furnace installed by the VA. Off Street Parking. Home is being sold as is. Call today for your personal private showing.
-
2026-04-01$149,900 Active 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Great Flip opportunity. Cul-de-sac street located by Lake Dr / Fuller Ave. Solid 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Appliances included, Newer Furnace installed by the VA. Off Street Parking. Home is being sold as is. Call today for your personal private showing.
-
2026-04-01$149,900 Active 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Great Flip opportunity. Cul-de-sac street located by Lake Dr / Fuller Ave. Solid 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Appliances included, Newer Furnace installed by the VA. Off Street Parking. Home is being sold as is. Call today for your personal private showing.
-
2026-04-01$149,900 Active
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Great Flip opportunity. Cul-de-sac street located by Lake Dr / Fuller Ave. Solid 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Appliances included, Newer Furnace installed by the VA. Off Street Parking. Home is being sold as is. Call today for your personal private showing.
-
2015-01-30historical
-
2015-01-29historical
-
1994-12-21soldstatus $24,000
-
1994-12-21soldstatus $24,000
-
1994-03-09$24,900
-
1994-03-09$24,900
-
1993-02-14historical
-
1992-05-14$22,900
-
1992-05-14$22,900
-
1992-03-01historical
-
1991-06-01$26,000
-
1991-06-01$26,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,025 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,666 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- +$642/yr (+$53/mo · 62.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,549
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,025
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,804
- − Management
- −$1,804
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $4,410
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,058
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,549/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grand Rapids Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2616440
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,612
- Composite
- 18.62/100
- National rank
- #8899
- State rank
- #451 of 540 in MI
Livability — Grand Rapids
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #44
- US rank
- #939
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grand Rapids, MI
- County
- Kent County · 533,805 people
- City population
- 181,325
- Metro
- Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,673
- Household income
- $118,131
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 544.0
Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 712,484 people
- By 2030
- 748,618 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 814,777 · +14.4%
- By 2050
- 868,556 · +21.9%
- By 2075
- 966,487 · +35.7%
- By 2100
- 967,975 · +35.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 11% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 16% Romanian 6% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kent
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -367.25%
- Current HPI
- 316.2553
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.92%
- Metro
- Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+476.5% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-06 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-06 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $149,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
- 2015-01-30 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2015-01-29 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 1994-12-21 Sold (MLS) $24,000 REALCOMP
- 1994-12-21 Sold (MLS) $24,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 1994-03-09 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
- 1994-03-09 Listed $24,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1993-02-14 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1992-05-14 Listed $22,900 REALCOMP
- 1992-05-14 Listed $22,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1992-03-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1991-06-01 Listed $26,000 REALCOMP
- 1991-06-01 Listed $26,000 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,025 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…