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1138 Mckinley Ct SE
B+ Composite 75.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

1138 Mckinley Ct SE · Grand Rapids, MI 49506
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 948 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1900 2,309 sqft lot Est $278k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Flip opportunity. Cul-de-sac street located by Lake Dr / Fuller Ave. Solid 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Appliances included, Newer Furnace installed by the VA. Off Street Parking. Home is being sold as is. Call today for your personal private showing.

Key facts

  • Newer furnace
  • Off street parking
  • Cul-de-sac street

Tags

CUL-DE-SAC STREETNEWER FURNACEOFF STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $551 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 4.5% in Grand Rapids — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#44 in MI, #939 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Grand Rapids Public Schools (urban): math 15% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #451 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 81% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.9% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 35y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $150k implies a 525% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $149,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.70%
Cash-on-cash
15.74%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$277,764
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
638 Gladstone Dr SE 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,008 (+6%) 6mo $295,000 $293 50
312 Rosewood Ave SE 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,001 (+6%) 18mo $280,000 $280 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$18,445
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
3.27×
Total profit
$95,349
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49506

Rents YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,879 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,025/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$395
Net cashflow
$551

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,182
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1333 Wealthy St SE Unit 2 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 1113 $1,900 $1.71 44d 1 0.21mi
1400 Wealthy St SE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 907 $1,925 $2.12 3d 1 0.29mi
1114 Dunham St SE Unit 1 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 894 $1,300 $1.45 44d 1 0.37mi
11 Fuller Ave SE Apt 204 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.5 880 $1,850 $2.10 44d 1 0.42mi
638 Wealthy St SE Unit A Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,100 $2.10 44d 1 0.64mi
547 Cherry St SE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 521 $1,250 $2.40 44d 1 0.80mi
357 Madison Ave SE Grand Rapids, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 692 $1,595 $2.30 44d 4 0.98mi
1542 Michigan St NE Grand Rapids, MI 3.0 1.0–2.0 836 $1,895 $2.27 3d 6 1.04mi
345 State St SE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 2.0 1107 $1,280 $1.16 44d 2 1.05mi
434 Worden St SE Unit 2 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,495 $1.66 44d 1 1.07mi
855 Michigan St NE Unit 205 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 813 $1,575 $1.94 44d 1 1.08mi
216 Lafayette Ave SE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,395 $1.40 44d 1 1.08mi
507 Eastern Ave NE #2 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 710 $1,495 $2.11 44d 1 1.18mi
17 Lafayette Ave SE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0–2.0 720 $2,125 $2.95 44d 7 1.20mi
840 Lafayette Ave SE Unit 2 Grand Rapids, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,600 $1.68 44d 1 1.23mi
414 Benson Ave NE Grand Rapids, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1110 $2,673 $2.41 44d 14 1.24mi
90 Wealthy St SE Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0–2.0 602 $1,850 $3.07 3d 10 1.35mi
138 Fulton St E Unit 2 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,800 $2.25 44d 1 1.35mi
209 Division Ave S Grand Rapids, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1180 $1,495 $1.27 21d 2 1.44mi
26 Cherry St SW Grand Rapids, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 878 $1,275 $1.45 44d 2 1.47mi
27 Library St NE #501 Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 2.0 1109 $2,925 $2.64 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-04-06
    status Pending 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Great Flip opportunity. Cul-de-sac street located by Lake Dr / Fuller Ave. Solid 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Appliances included, Newer Furnace installed by the VA. Off Street Parking. Home is being sold as is. Call today for your personal private showing.

  2. 2026-04-06
    status Pending 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Great Flip opportunity. Cul-de-sac street located by Lake Dr / Fuller Ave. Solid 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Appliances included, Newer Furnace installed by the VA. Off Street Parking. Home is being sold as is. Call today for your personal private showing.

  3. 2026-04-06
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Great Flip opportunity. Cul-de-sac street located by Lake Dr / Fuller Ave. Solid 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Appliances included, Newer Furnace installed by the VA. Off Street Parking. Home is being sold as is. Call today for your personal private showing.

  4. 2026-04-01
    listed $149,900 Active 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Great Flip opportunity. Cul-de-sac street located by Lake Dr / Fuller Ave. Solid 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Appliances included, Newer Furnace installed by the VA. Off Street Parking. Home is being sold as is. Call today for your personal private showing.

  5. 2026-04-01
    listed $149,900 Active 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Great Flip opportunity. Cul-de-sac street located by Lake Dr / Fuller Ave. Solid 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Appliances included, Newer Furnace installed by the VA. Off Street Parking. Home is being sold as is. Call today for your personal private showing.

  6. 2026-04-01
    listed $149,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Great Flip opportunity. Cul-de-sac street located by Lake Dr / Fuller Ave. Solid 3 bedroom, 1 bath. Appliances included, Newer Furnace installed by the VA. Off Street Parking. Home is being sold as is. Call today for your personal private showing.

  7. 2015-01-30
    historical
  8. 2015-01-29
    historical
  9. 1994-12-21
    soldstatus $24,000
  10. 1994-12-21
    soldstatus $24,000
  11. 1994-03-09
    listed $24,900
  12. 1994-03-09
    listed $24,900
  13. 1993-02-14
    historical
  14. 1992-05-14
    listed $22,900
  15. 1992-05-14
    listed $22,900
  16. 1992-03-01
    historical
  17. 1991-06-01
    listed $26,000
  18. 1991-06-01
    listed $26,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,025 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,666 · $139/mo
Expected delta
+$642/yr (+$53/mo · 62.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,549
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$1,025
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,804
− Management
−$1,804
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$4,410
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,058
After-tax cash flow
$5,549/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grand Rapids Public Schools
NCES district ID
2616440
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$40,612
Composite
18.62/100
National rank
#8899
State rank
#451 of 540 in MI

Livability — Grand Rapids

Score
83/100
State rank
#44
US rank
#939

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Grand Rapids, MI
County
Kent County · 533,805 people
City population
181,325
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,673
Household income
$118,131
Rent vs Own
24.9% rent · 75.1% own
Severe rent burden
544.0

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
712,484 people
By 2030
748,618 · +5.1%
By 2040
814,777 · +14.4%
By 2050
868,556 · +21.9%
By 2075
966,487 · +35.7%
By 2100
967,975 · +35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 11% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 16% Romanian 6% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -367.25%
Current HPI
316.2553
Rent YoY
▲ 6.92%
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+476.5% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-06 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $149,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2015-01-30 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2015-01-29 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 1994-12-21 Sold (MLS) $24,000 REALCOMP
  • 1994-12-21 Sold (MLS) $24,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1994-03-09 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
  • 1994-03-09 Listed $24,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1993-02-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1992-05-14 Listed $22,900 REALCOMP
  • 1992-05-14 Listed $22,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 1992-03-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1991-06-01 Listed $26,000 REALCOMP
  • 1991-06-01 Listed $26,000 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,025 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…