403 N Hitchcock St · Hobart, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $435 – $905
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for a spacious home with room to grow? This 3-bedroom, 2-bath property offers generous living space, abundant storage, and endless potential. Inside, you’ll find a large living room, spacious dining area, and beautiful custom cabinetry throughout, adding both character and functionality. The home also features central heat and air with a well-maintained HVAC system that’s only 4 years old, two hot water heaters, and an attached garage. Outside, a storage shed provides even more room for tools and equipment. With its spacious layout and solid features, this home is ready for you to make it your own.
Key facts
- Custom cabinetry
- Central heat and air
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $267 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#627 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Hobart (town): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 270 in OK (top 41%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.97%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $80,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415 N Hitchcock St | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 | 1,372 (+6%) | 6mo | $5,000 | $4 | 81 |
| 329 N Bailey St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,132 (-13%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $62 | 71 |
| 512 N Randlett St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-4%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $92 | 71 |
| 613 N Broadway | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,407 (+8%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $82 | 64 |
| 325 W Dogwood St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,246 (-4%) | 9mo | $73,000 | $59 | 63 |
| 215 N Washington | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,416 (+9%) | 9mo | $139,500 | $99 | 59 |
| 200 S Pueblo Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-5%) | 19mo | $100,000 | $81 | 56 |
| 400 N Stephens St | 0.11mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,123 (-14%) | 13mo | $109,500 | $98 | 55 |
| 229 S Hill St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,254 (-4%) | 15mo | $45,000 | $36 | 50 |
| 118 S Hitchcock St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,456 (+12%) | 20mo | $11,666 | $8 | 44 |
| 409 S Park Rd | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,366 (+5%) | 18mo | $79,000 | $58 | 43 |
| 416 S Hill St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,188 (-9%) | 20mo | $16,666 | $14 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.47×
- Total profit
- $79,611
- Equity at exit
- $103,601
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.86×
- Total profit
- $220,931
- Equity at exit
- $223,420
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73651
- Home prices YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,190 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$22 /mo · $261/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $267
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $333 | -5% $300 | +0% $267 | +5% $235 | +10% $202 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $173 | -5% $220 | +0% $267 | +5% $314 | +10% $362 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $325 | -0.5pp $297 | base $267 | +0.5pp $238 | +1.0pp $207 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21remarks 613-char remark
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 105-char remark
-
2026-06-08$115,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $261 · $22/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,035 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$774/yr (+$64/mo · 296.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,282
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$261
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,143
- − Management
- −$1,143
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,373
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$330
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,880/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hobart
- NCES district ID
- 4014700
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,779
- Composite
- 21.2/100
- National rank
- #8417
- State rank
- #110 of 270 in OK
Livability — Hobart
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #627
- US rank
- #24677
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hobart, OK
- City population
- 4,070
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,070
Population outlook (Kiowa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,842 people
- By 2030
- 8,733 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 8,641 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 8,758 · -1.0%
- By 2075
- 9,894 · +11.9%
- By 2100
- 11,194 · +26.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 10% Black 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 8% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Kiowa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.3) · D 20.1% · R 78.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.5pp toward R · 2008: -34.8pp · 2024: -58.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.3 2020: R+57.6 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+35.4 2008: R+34.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.68%
- Current HPI
- 158.6311
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $115,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $261 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…