7358 Forrestal St · Houston, TX 77033

$145,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,015 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 114 Days on market

Built 1947 7,866 sqft lot Est $136k · 7% over ↓ 5% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.3/30.0
• DSCR +7.8/10.0
• 1% rule +6.6/10.0
• ARV discount +4.5/15.0
• Rent growth +3.9/5.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Charming Corner-Lot Home with Endless Potential! Welcome to 7358 Forrestal St, a two-bedroom home located on a spacious corner lot in Houston, TX. This inherited property offers a wonderful opportunity for investors or homeowners looking to customize and create their dream space. With its solid foundation and desirable location, this home is ready for a fresh vision and personal touch. Don’t miss your chance to bring new life to this gem and make it truly your own

Key facts

• Desirable location
• Solid foundation
• Corner lot

Tags

• CORNER LOT
• SOLID FOUNDATION
• DESIRABLE LOCATION

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
• Recommended offer: $132k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
• Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Attucks Middle (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 439 students, 98% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $1,688/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $131,950 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.16% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.71%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.64%
• DSCR: 1.38
• GRM: 7.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $136,010
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7314 Forrestal St	0.12mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,020 (+0%)	0mo	$105,000	$103	88
5041 Southwind St	0.15mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,020 (+0%)	7mo	$195,000	$191	77
5306 Kenilwood Dr	0.58mi	2/1.0	1,038 (+2%)	5mo	$80,000	$77	65
5007 Northridge Dr	0.49mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,069 (+5%)	2mo	$163,900	$153	62
5034 Rapido Rd	0.36mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,058 (+4%)	12mo	$109,000	$103	61
7330 Hurtgen Forest Rd	0.16mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,154 (+14%)	3mo	$154,900	$134	58
5113 Doolittle Blvd	0.32mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,107 (+9%)	11mo	$120,000	$108	56
5106 Malmedy Rd	0.47mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,071 (+6%)	9mo	$159,999	$149	54
7129 Foster St	0.66mi	2/1.0	1,107 (+9%)	5mo	$120,000	$108	50
5318 Longmeadow St	0.56mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,138 (+12%)	3mo	$125,000	$110	46
7713 St Lo Rd	0.73mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,151 (+13%)	4mo	$199,900	$174	32
5035 Andrea St	0.69mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,156 (+14%)	6mo	$195,000	$169	31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -0.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.99×
• Total profit: $-563
• Equity at exit: $21,620

10-year hold

• IRR: 11.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.04×
• Total profit: $42,086
• Equity at exit: $12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77033

• Home prices YoY: -16.3%
• Rents YoY: 5.5%
• Active inventory: 345
• Price-to-rent: 7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,688 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$760
• Tax from tax record: −$221 /mo · $2,648/yr
• Insurance: −$60
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$355
• Net cashflow: $292

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,318

Max offer price $145,000

Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $374	-5% $333	+0% $292	+5% $251	+10% $210
Rent	-10% $159	-5% $226	+0% $292	+5% $359	+10% $426
Rate	-1.0pp $365	-0.5pp $329	base $292	+0.5pp $255	+1.0pp $217

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $36,250
• Closing costs: $4,350
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7818 Calhoun Rd Unit 8 Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	800	$1,200	$1.50	44d	1	0.51mi
4530 Mayflower St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1302	$1,800	$1.38	44d	1	0.52mi
6928 Paris St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1276	$1,900	$1.49	0d	1	0.57mi
6926 Paris St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1276	$1,900	$1.49	0d	1	0.57mi
4615 Redbud St Unit b Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	872	$1,149	$1.32	25d	1	0.58mi
7918 Jutland Rd Houston, TX	3.0	1.0	996	$1,295	$1.30	44d	1	0.61mi
8107 Calhoun Rd Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1304	$2,250	$1.73	25d	1	0.62mi
4609 Bricker St Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1300	$3,500	$2.69	13d	1	0.62mi
4609 Bricker St Unit C Houston, TX	2.0	1.5	1100	$3,200	$2.91	13d	1	0.62mi
4609 Bricker St Unit ABC Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1375	$3,500	$2.55	12d	1	0.62mi
5314 Northridge Dr Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	872	$1,185	$1.36	44d	1	0.73mi
6532 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	3.0	1484	$2,200	$1.48	19d	1	0.86mi
6528 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	3.0	1484	$2,200	$1.48	0d	1	0.86mi
6528 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	3.0	1484	$2,200	$1.48	44d	1	0.86mi
7032 Conley St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1220	$2,850	$2.34	44d	1	0.88mi
8521 Dosia St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1028	$1,665	$1.62	13d	1	0.90mi
4007 Corder St Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	814	$885	$1.09	25d	1	0.91mi
5537 Bataan Rd Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	880	$1,300	$1.48	44d	1	0.92mi
4410 Bellfort Ave Unit 4404 8 Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	812	$999	$1.23	8d	1	1.00mi
5818 Glenhurst Dr Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1441	$1,750	$1.21	0d	1	1.08mi
4526 Knoxville St Unit A Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1474	$1,775	$1.20	15d	1	1.13mi
7823 Gladstone St Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	850	$1,600	$1.88	44d	1	1.14mi
5954 Doolittle Blvd Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1371	$1,575	$1.15	44d	1	1.17mi
7826 Gladstone St Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	760	$1,250	$1.64	0d	1	1.17mi
5835 Southmont St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,700	$1.42	44d	1	1.17mi
6030 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	740	$850	$1.15	44d	1	1.19mi
4515 Dewberry St Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	1400	$664	$0.47	21d	1	1.21mi
5918 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0	850	$1,000	$1.18	44d	1	1.32mi
5924 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	800	$795	$0.99	25d	1	1.33mi
5924 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	900	$895	$0.99	44d	1	1.33mi
5924 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	900	$895	$0.99	23d	1	1.33mi
5036 Mallow St Houston, TX	3.0	3.0	1472	$2,050	$1.39	44d	1	1.33mi
4723 Mallow St Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1472	$1,850	$1.26	6d	1	1.34mi
3603 Alice St Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	850	$1,000	$1.18	5d	1	1.42mi
3603 Alice St Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	848	$1,000	$1.18	5d	1	1.42mi
8010 Livingston St Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1400	$1,800	$1.29	44d	1	1.43mi
3603 Alice St Unit 15 Houston, TX	2.0	1.0	850	$999	$1.18	8d	1	1.44mi
3603 Alice St Unit 3725-B Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	850	$999	$1.18	8d	1	1.44mi
8328 Corinth St Unit B Houston, TX	3.0	2.5	1500	$2,800	$1.87	21d	1	1.45mi
5116 Griggs Rd Houston, TX	3.0	2.0	1131	$1,316	$1.16	44d	1	1.47mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-02-26
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-13
   status Pending
3. 2026-01-28
   price $145,000
4. 2025-11-03
   listed $153,000 Active
5. 1988-01-02
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,648 · $221/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,654 · $221/mo
• Expected delta: +$6/yr ($0/mo · 0.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,260
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,122
• − Property taxes: −$2,648
• − Insurance: −$725
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,621
• − Management: −$1,621
• − Depreciation: −$4,218
• Taxable income: $1,306
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$313
• After-tax cash flow: $3,195/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Houston ISD
• NCES district ID: 4823640
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $46,054
• Composite: 26.63/100
• National rank: #7173
• State rank: #593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #184
• US rank: #4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Houston, TX
• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 3,226,434
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 29,154
• Household income: $38,071
• Rent vs Own: 41.0% rent · 59.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1728.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (55%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 35%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada
• Languages at home: 61% English-only · Spanish 39%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -41.49%
• Current HPI: 212.6472
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.45%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-5.2% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-26 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-02-13 Pending — HARMLS
• 2026-01-28 Price Changed $145,000 HARMLS
• 2025-11-03 Listed $153,000 HARMLS
• 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,648 · +17.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.