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319 Lofty Rd
B- Composite 69.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$159,900

319 Lofty Rd · Delano, PA 18237
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,976 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1920 0.33 ac lot $81/sqft · 32% below area Est $236k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Live on the outskirts with everything you need within reach. Double living rooms make this home ideal for extended family gatherings. First-floor laundry and a powder room add everyday convenience. The master suite features built-in storage, while a private second-floor office keeps work life separate. Outside, an expansive backyard with a heritage grapevine creates a natural canopy -- perfect for outdoor entertaining. A free-standing coal stove conveys with the property. Detached heated garage with compressed air system. Homes aren't just houses; they are part of our stories.

Key facts

  • 0.33 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1920

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached front-entry garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Septic system; Shared well water; Electric service
  • Home design: Detached single-family structure; Above-grade living space and some unfinished area
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Concrete perimeter foundation; Above-grade structure; Year built estimated
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 81 x 175; Not in a federal flood zone; No tidal water on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the upper level (total 4 bedrooms listed)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil-fired heating
  • Interior features: Partial basement; Level entry to main level; Attic; Office
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer (electric)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,608 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Hazleton Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #476 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $157,501 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.13%
Cash-on-cash
6.58%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$236,261
List price
$159,900
Delta
-32.32%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.1%
Equity multiple
3.29×
Total profit
$102,737
Equity at exit
$144,051
10-year hold
IRR
25.3%
Equity multiple
7.48×
Total profit
$290,307
Equity at exit
$310,651

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18237

Home prices YoY
14.9%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,709 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax est. 1.5%
$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$359
Net cashflow
$245

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,399
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $356 -5% $301 +0% $245 +5% $190 +10% $135
Rent -10% $110 -5% $178 +0% $245 +5% $313 +10% $380
Rate -1.0pp $326 -0.5pp $286 base $245 +0.5pp $204 +1.0pp $162

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $159,900 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $159,900 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    historical $159,900 618-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,512
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,398
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,641
− Management
−$1,641
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable income
$423
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$102
After-tax cash flow
$2,842/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hazleton Area SD
NCES district ID
4211700
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$42,247
Composite
20.44/100
National rank
#8582
State rank
#476 of 539 in PA

Livability — Delano

Score
57/100
State rank
#1608
US rank
#21823

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,808

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 16% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 1% Dominican 15%
Common ancestry
Romanian 15% Subsaharan African 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 31.48%
Current HPI
242.9507
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $159,000 PMAR
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $159,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Coming Soon $159,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+18.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $9,130 · +407.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…