319 Lofty Rd · Delano, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Live on the outskirts with everything you need within reach. Double living rooms make this home ideal for extended family gatherings. First-floor laundry and a powder room add everyday convenience. The master suite features built-in storage, while a private second-floor office keeps work life separate. Outside, an expansive backyard with a heritage grapevine creates a natural canopy -- perfect for outdoor entertaining. A free-standing coal stove conveys with the property. Detached heated garage with compressed air system. Homes aren't just houses; they are part of our stories.
Key facts
- 0.33 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1920
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached front-entry garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Septic system; Shared well water; Electric service
- Home design: Detached single-family structure; Above-grade living space and some unfinished area
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Concrete perimeter foundation; Above-grade structure; Year built estimated
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 81 x 175; Not in a federal flood zone; No tidal water on property
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the upper level (total 4 bedrooms listed)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil-fired heating
- Interior features: Partial basement; Level entry to main level; Attic; Office
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer (electric)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,608 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Hazleton Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #476 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.58%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $236,261
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- -32.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.29×
- Total profit
- $102,737
- Equity at exit
- $144,051
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.48×
- Total profit
- $290,307
- Equity at exit
- $310,651
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18237
- Home prices YoY
- 14.9%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,709 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $245
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $356 | -5% $301 | +0% $245 | +5% $190 | +10% $135 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $110 | -5% $178 | +0% $245 | +5% $313 | +10% $380 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $326 | -0.5pp $286 | base $245 | +0.5pp $204 | +1.0pp $162 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $159,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $159,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $159,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-14historical $159,900 618-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,512
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,398
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,641
- − Management
- −$1,641
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $423
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$102
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,842/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazleton Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211700
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,247
- Composite
- 20.44/100
- National rank
- #8582
- State rank
- #476 of 539 in PA
Livability — Delano
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #1608
- US rank
- #21823
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,808
Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 137,447 people
- By 2030
- 133,121 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 124,172 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 115,611 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 100,796 · -26.7%
- By 2100
- 86,667 · -36.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 16% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 1% Dominican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 15% Subsaharan African 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 31.48%
- Current HPI
- 242.9507
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-0.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $159,000 PMAR
- 2026-05-21 Listed $159,900 GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-21 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-14 Coming Soon $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+18.5%/yrLatest (2026): $9,130 · +407.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…